In a special guest article, darts betting expert LockupTipster looks at the chances of a 9-dart finish in the Premier League and thinks backing ‘No’ at 11/10 is top value…
LockupTipster’s Recommended Bet:
No Nine-Dart Premier League Finish @ 11/10 – BET NOW
Could the field for this season’s Premier League be the best ever? With four previous world champions and four former runners-up compiling eight of the ten places this year, we ask the question will we see a 9-darter?
The bet itself will give any punter mileage. Over sixteen weeks of tungsten action, we are a few minutes from a perfect leg, if any player can achieve it this year!
Total Nine-Dart Finishes Betting Odds:
None – 11/10 Coral
One – 13/8 Coral
Two or more – 7/2 William Hill
Points to consider, although there are forty five matches in the first nine weeks, we then reduce to eight players generating another round of meetings, which compile the next six meetings.
Just to remind punters on the nine dart finish, there are many combinations a player can take to hit this. Most commonly used being 180, 180, 141, although it is not uncommon to see 180, 177, 144 as examples. The format of the game is two legs shorter than the last time we saw a nine dart finish, which was all the way back in 2012 with the infamous Taylor and Whitlock efforts being recognised in separate rounds.
We did not see a perfect leg in the 2013 tourney, but can understand why bookmakers have priced up two or more, seeing that 2010 and 2012 saw two occur in the event. There was no perfect leg in 2011 or 2013 and have to think, with the race to six, shorter than a race to eight, can the players get in enough momentum to hit this?
Only Phil Taylor, Simon Whitlock and Raymond van Barneveld have succeeded in this feat! All of the players have ability to hit the perfect leg. Hitting a perfect leg is a tall task, with one mistake all that is required to hamper the nine darter and we would rather be backing an outcome not to happen, than an outcome to happen especially on the complexity of the task. With micro factors, such as nerves and individual match circumstances, and macro factors, such as the TV screens, the crowd and heat the task is by no means a given!
Players are said to be in that zone when it is going to happen, but we have seen many attempts blown on the final visit.
This is why we must back no nine darter at 11/10 merely for the reason that we believe a nine dart finish can be aided with momentum, and the format of the competition at least until finals night is not ideal for a player to strike. Although it is possible, the represented odds in our opinion do not represent the individual probability of this happening. But I do believe we will see a few near chances.
*You can LockupTipster's darts betting tips on leroysbettingtips.co.uk and he is also a contributor to dartsmad.co.uk - a darting community site with news, stats, competitions and more.