Atalanta have the opportunity to take a massive scalp in the Champions League last 16 as they face off with Real Madrid. Gian Piero Gasperini’s team reached the quarterfinals of last season’s tournament where they lost to an underachieving Paris Saint-Germain. La Dea were minutes away from winning and moving onto the semifinals. Now, Gasperini’s team are back and focused on knocking off one of the favourites to move on in the competition.
Real Madrid are not the powerhouse they once were when Cristiano Ronaldo led the team to Champions League glory. Still, Real Madrid are the all-time winningest team in the competition. Zinedine Zidane’s side are on a four-game winning streak. Three straight fixtures played by Los Blancos in La Liga finished in wins to nil.
Los Blancos underachieved in the group stage but did finish top of Group B. They posted a 3W-1D-2L record in the group and needed a victory on matchday 6 to get through. Zidane’s team were humiliated by Manchester City in the last 16 last season. They have a lot to prove heading into the last 16 against Atalanta.
Atalanta are unbeaten in five straight games in all competitions with three consecutive matches finishing in victories. Can Atalanta take another big scalp in the Champions League?
Atalanta vs Real Madrid Betting Odds
Atalanta finished second in Group D and were just two points off group winners Liverpool. Gasperini masterminded a brilliant 2-0 win at Anfield just weeks after Atalanta were thrashed by Liverpool 5-0 in Bergamo. Atalanta score goals but they concede them in nearly equal measure. They were +2 in goal difference with 10 goals for and eight against.
Leading sportsbooks have atalanta at odds of 29/20 to win at full-time. They have posted a 9W-5D-4L record at the Gewiss Stadium in all competitions. La Dea have scored a brilliant 42 goals in 18 home matches for an average of 2.33 goals per game. The problem has been the number of goals conceded by the team. They have allowed 30 per match for 2.0 per game in all competitions.
Real Madrid head into the Champions League last 16 first leg game in Bergamo at odds of 15/8 to win at full-time. Los Blancos have posted a record of 9W-6D-2L away from the Di Stefano Stadium in 2020-21. Real Madrid are not necessarily the free-scoring team they were just few seasons ago. Los Blancos average 1.93 goals per game on the road while allowing 1.0 goals a match.
The teams are at odds of 11/4 to finished in a draw. Atalanta have seen 10 of their 33 games in all competitions finished in draws while Real Madrid have had six of their 31 games in all competitions end in draws. Note that all six of Real Madrid’s draws have come on the road.
Atalanta vs Real Madrid Team News
Atalanta are coming off of a 4-2 home win versus Napoli. The win sent La Dea into the top four for the time being. Gasperini has just one player that is likely to miss the game on Wednesday night due to injury. Hans Hateboer is recovering from a muscle injury and unlikely to make the team. Luis Muriel and Duvan Zapata are in great form for Gasperini heading into the game. The duo has combined for 23 goals in Serie A this term.
While it was expected by some that Atalanta would fall off the pace in all competitions without former captain Papu Gomez, the club have done the opposite. Since the midfielder fell out with Gasperini and was subsequently sold by the club, Atalanta’s form has improved, showing the team are stronger as a group and more than just one player.
Zidane has a long list of injured players heading into Wednesday night. There is an injury crisis at the Spanish club as forwards Eden Hazard and Karim Benzema are now both injured. Benzema sat out the weekend La Liga match and could be rushed back to the team.
Sergio Ramos, Marcelo, Dani Carvajal, Fede Valverde, Rodrygo Goes, Alvaro Odriozola and Eder Militao are all on the sidelines. The injury problem is magnified by January’s loans of Martin Odegaard to Arsenal and Luka Jovic to Eintracht Frankfurt.
Atalanta vs Real Madrid Prediction
Both teams to score: YES @ 8/15 - BET NOW
Atalanta score goals, there is no doubt about it. They have bagged 72 goals in all competitions for an average of 2.18 goals per match. The problem Gasperini’s team has had is the number of goals allowed. They have allowed 43 goals in all competitions with 1.30 allowed per match. Real Madrid average 1.74 goals per match in all competitions.
Duvan Zapata to score anytime @7/5 - BET NOW
Duvan Zapata is having a brilliant campaign for Atalanta. He has scored 13 goals in 32 matches in all competitions for the club. Three of his goals came in the club’s six Champions League group stage matches. Zapata is in fine form and could start in attack rather than Luis Muriel after scoring and assisting a goal against Napoli at the weekend. With so many injuries in defence, Zapata could bully Real Madrid’s back four.
Over 2.5 goals scored @ 13/20 - BET NOW
Real Madrid’s injuries are significant. If Benzema is out of the game due to his calf issue or cannot play to his full potential, Atalanta could take another scalp in the Champions League. The Italians went to Anfield and outclassed Liverpool in a 2-0 win. They have held their own against sides that are rated much more highly over the last two seasons.
Zidane’s team are playing well but have benefitted from playing very poor La Liga teams of recent. Wins have come against Huesca, Valencia, Getafe, and Real Valladolid. Those teams are all 12th or lower in the La Liga standings. Two of which are in the bottom three and all four clubs are fighting for La Liga survival.
Expect goals to be scored with Atalanta out to prove they are one of the top sides in Europe today. Like Barcelona, this Real Madrid are not the team we saw from 2010 to 2019.
Atalanta vs Real Madrid Tips
Here are our Atalanta vs Real Madrid tips for Wednesday's Champions League Round of 16 match at the Gewiss Stadium.
1. Both teams to score: YES @ 8/15
2. Duvan Zapata to score anytime @7/5
3. Over 2.5 goals scored @ 13/20
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New customers only • Promotion valid until March 16th, 2021 • 18+ • Min deposit of €10 with promo code CHEL40 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least €10 on Horse racing• Min odds 1.50 • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet placement and on the 16th March 2021 and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Restrictions apply to withdrawals, payment methods, and countries. Full T&Cs apply