Everton’s hopes of qualifying for Europe have taken a hit in recent weeks. The Toffees are winless in three straight games and are four points behind fifth-place Chelsea in the race for Europe. On Monday, Carlo Ancelotti’s team head south to the Amex Stadium to face off with Brighton. Graham Potter’s team have lost three of their last five games in the league and are only six points above 18th-place Fulham in the race for Premier League survival.
Brighton are coming off of a 2-1 away loss to Manchester United in the league. The loss ended a two-match winning streak. Just when Brighton look like they are going to move away from the bottom three, they get sucked back into the relegation fight.
Everton suffered a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace on matchday 29. The draw ended a two-game losing streak. For all of the money spent by Everton in the offseason to acquire James Rodriguez and others, the club are on the verge of once again missing out on European qualification.
The home team have won the last six matches in the Premier League between these clubs. Everton have won the last two meetings with Brighton but both games were played at Goodison Park. Brighton won this fixture 3-2 at the Amex in 2019-20. Will the home team winning trend continue?
Brighton vs Everton Betting Odds
Everton won 4-2 against Brighton at Goodison Park back in October. James Rodriguez scored twice while Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Yerry Mina got goals for the Toffees. Brighton got goals from Neal Maupay and Yves Bissouma, but the scoreline slightly flattered the Seagulls. They were down 4-1 in the 90th minute before Bissouma got the second.
Ancelotti’s team go into the fixture at odds of 12/5 to pick up an away victory on the south coast. It would be their first win against Brighton away in the Premier League. The Toffees took 10 points from the last 18 on offer in the division, but are on a three-game winless run. Still, they have played well away from Goodison this season claiming 29 points from 42 possible. Five of their last six away games ended without a defeat.
Brighton took six points from the last 18 on offer in the Premier League. They tallied a zero-goal difference with eight goals for and eight against. Home has not been where the heart is for Brighton in 2020-21. They have the third-fewest home points with 13 from 45 available. Only West Brom, Sheffield United, and Fulham have fewer points. Those three teams are in the relegation zone. Brighton have managed just 16 goals scored on their own pitch.
History does bode well for the Seagulls on Monday night. They have won their last two games against Everton at home. Brighton do have the sixth lowest goals scored total in the league this season. They have managed just 33 goals.
Brighton vs Everton Team News
Potter received good news this week as Adam Webster returned to training for the Seagulls. The player is one of the key men in the team and his presence could be a big boost for chances of staying up. Website has been recovering from a foot/ankle injury. He must undergo a fitness test before being passed fit for Monday night.
Dan Burn, Aaron Connolly, and Florin Andone are all three nearing returns from their respective injuries as well. The trio will undergo fitness tests in the lead up to Monday night’s game. Percy Tau is unlikely to make the squad following an injury. Solomon March is ruled out with a thigh injury.
Ancelotti has seven names on the Everton injured and suspended list for the weekend. Full-back Bernard is ruled out of the match along with midfielders Fabian Delph, Abdoulaye Doucoure and goalie Jordan Pickford. Ancelotti is hopeful that one or all of the trio of Alex Iwobi, Allan, and/or Andre Gomes will be fit for the game. All three are nursing injuries. On Friday, it was reported that Everton are interested in signing Juventus forward Paulo Dybala. The Argentine is on the outs with Juventus after being suspended for breaching COVID-19 rules.
Everton’s biggest issue this season has been consistency. The Toffees have strung together some key wins only to falter and go winless for several matches on the trot. Their current three-match winless run came following victories over Liverpool, Southampton, and West Brom.
Brighton vs Everton Prediction
Both teams to score: YES @ 19/20 - BET NOW
Four of the last seven games between Brighton and Everton finished with both teams scoring goals. These teams have been able to find the back of the net against one another. With Everton in poor form going into the game, their defence could concede to the Seagulls once more. Everton’s last two league games finished with both teams scoring goals. Four of Brighton’s last six league games saw both sides score.
James Rodriguez to score anytime @ 4/1 - BET NOW
Everton fans have seen the best and worst of James Rodriguez this season. He has only appeared in 19 of Everton’s 29 league matches and fitness and consistency are reasons both Real Madrid and Bayern Munich were quick to write off the Colombian. Rodriguez has six goals and four assists this season, accounting for 24% of Everton’s scoring. He tallied the team’s goal in last weekend’s 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace. Can he do it again?
Over 2.5 goals scored @ 5/4 - BET NOW
Three of the last five league games between Brighton and Everton finished with over 2.5 goals tallied. The two teams have been free-scoring in games against one another. The Toffees recent games have been low scoring, but that is likely to change this weekend versus Brighton. The Seagulls’ last four games in the league ended with over 2.5 goals tallied. They have scored and conceded to opponents with regularity over the course of those four fixtures.
Which team will prevail this week at the Amex? The trend tells us that the home team wins when these sides meet. Everton have been poor over the course of their last three games. Brighton have been better despite last weekend’s loss to Manchester United.
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