Burnley and Southampton will meet on Saturday for matchday 3 in the Premier League. The Clarets head into the weekend on the back of a 4-2 away loss to Leicester City. Sean Dyche’s team have played just once this term and the manager will hope matchday 3 ends much better than last weekend.
Southampton manager Ralph Hassenhuttl has pressure on himself once more. The Saints lost for a second week in a row allowing Tottenham Hotspur to score five goals in a 5-2 loss at home. Southampton had led in the first half but capitulated after conceding a goal before halftime to Spurs. The Saints went from dominating the fixture to chasing the game.
Burnley have a brilliant record against Southampton in the Premier League. The Clarets are unbeaten in seven straight games in the league against Burnley. Southampton have not beaten Burnley since the 2016-17 Premier League campaign. To find Southampton’s last win at Turf Moor, you would need to go back to last decade. The Saints have not won away to Burnley since the 2007-08 season.
Hassehuttl’s side started very slowly last term but turned it on at midseason. They were one of the league’s best teams in the second half of the campaign. A lack of transfer business is hurting the side. Can Hassenhuttl turn things around this weekend with a first away win at Burnley since 2007-08?
Southampton’s two losses from two games leaves them on zero points. Their expected points total is 2.56, however. They should have played well at times, but just like in the early stages of last season, made mistakes to allow goals.
Last season’s trip to Turf Moor ended in a 3-0 loss for Southampton. Ashley Barnes scored twice after the hour-mark and Johann Berg Gudmundsson added a third with 15 minutes left on the clock. All three goals came within a 12-minute time span in the second half. The quick strike goals showed Southampton’s penchant for putting their heads down after conceding once. Their resilience can certainly be questioned.
The reverse fixture at St. Mary’s ended 2-1 in favour of the Clarets. Barnes scored in the second minute but Burnley were pegged back before halftime by Danny Ings. Burnley’s Matej Vydra settled things on 60 minutes with the winner.
Southampton are winless in seven straight trips to Turf Moor. The Clarets have posted a 4W-3D-0L record over their last seven games at Turf Moor against Southampton. If Hassenhuttl fails to claim a win this weekend – or a point at the least – it could force Southampton’s board to consider a change.
Dyche has six players on his injury list heading into matchday 3. Some usual suspects populate the list including Gudmundsson, Ben Mee, Barnes, and Jack Cork. Barnes will be a big loss after he scored three times in two games versus Southampton last season.
The manager is waiting on fitness assessments for both James Tarkowski and Robbie Brady. Tarkowski has been linked with a move away from Turf Moor. Leicester City and West Ham have been linked with the centre-back's signature.
Hassenhuttl is without forward Nathan Redmond. His absence is significant as it takes away one of Southampton’s creative players. Redmond can also score goals and his injury will limit what Southampton can do in the final third.
Summer signing Mohamed Salisu is still working toward full fitness. The Centre-back joined from Real Valladolid in the offseason but hasn’t made his Southampton debut after two games. Having given up five goals to Spurs – four to Heung-min Son alone – Hassenhuttl could use the big centre-back in defence.
Both teams to score - BET NOW
Southampton are coming off of a 5-2 loss to Spurs at home on matchday 2. The Saints showed they can score goals against a top side in the league. However, they did show keeping goals out is difficult too. Burnley conceded four times to Leicester City away. Their defence is typically praised for its solidity, but it was weak on matchday 2. Both teams should be able to find the back of the net on Saturday, just like they did in their second game of last season. That ended 2-1.
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Both clubs gave up goals on matchday 2. Leicester City had free reign of Burnley’s goal putting four goals past Nick Pope. Southampton let in five goals with four of those coming in the second half of the match. Southampton have now lost three games to start the 2020-21 season in league and cup fixtures. Last season, both Premier League games between Burnley and Southampton finished with over 2.5 goals scored.
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Danny Ings remains Southampton’s most dangerous scoring threat. If Ings leaves the club for Tottenham Hotspur this transfer window, Southampton’s attack will be decimated and relegation would be likely without a top goalscorer. Ings scored against Tottenham Hotspur last weekend and could get on the scoresheet at Turf Moor this weekend. He scored against Burnley last season at St. Mary’s.
The Englishman goes into matchday 3 with two goals in two games. He is slightly ahead of his 1.26 expected goals total and averages 0.63 expected goals per match. Ings also averages 2.50 shots per 90 minutes. If Burnley’s defence was taken apart by Leicester City last weekend, there is no reason Southampton won’t get on the scoresheet this time around.
Southampton have a pitiful record away to Burnley. Can they end a seven-match winless run at Turf Moor? The Saints don’t play well against Burnley and have not won against the Clarets since 2016-17. They are seven games without a win versus the Dyche’s team.
Burnley should once again claim points against Southampton. They have a voodoo over the Saints and it should result in points for them on matchday 3.
Burnley vs Southampton kicks-off at 20:00 on Saturday 26 September.