Colombia and Ecuador go into matchday 12 of CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying needing a win to improve their hope of finishing in the top five. The Colombians are fifth in CONMEBOL which is the playoff qualification place. Los Cafeteros have taken 15 points from 33 possible. They are just three points above sixth-place Paraguay.
Colombia vs Ecuador Match Preview
Ecuador go into the game in third place in the standings. La Tri have taken 16 points from 33 possible and need to continue collecting points to improve hope of qualifying for the World Cup. Ecuador are coming off of a shock 2-1 loss to Venezuela on Sunday. The result was a shock as Venezuela are bottom of the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying standings.
Colombia are coming off of a nil-nil draw against Brazil. It was the team’s second straight nil-nil draw in World Cup qualifying. Los Cafeteros are unbeaten in eight straight matches in all competitions dating back to June. Reinaldo Rueda’s team have not scored a lot of goals on their unbeaten streak. Six of the eight games finished with under 2.5 goals scored.
The reverse fixture in World Cup qualifying between Colombia and Ecuador saw the latter thrash the former 6-1. The teams also played at the Copa America 2021 over the summer with the game finishing 1-0 in the favour of Colombia.
Colombia vs Ecuador Betting Odds
Colombia lead the head-to-head series versus Ecuador. Los Cafeteros have posted a record of 25W-13D-13L dating back to 1938. Ecuador have won just once in the last six matches against Colombia. The one win for Ecuador was in the reverse fixture of World Cup qualifying versus Colombia.
Rueda’s Colombia team go into the fixture on Thursday night as the favourite to win the match. Leading bookies’ best betting odds on a Colombia win at full-time are 4/6. Colombia are on a great run of form with eight straight games ending without wins. Six of those eight fixtures were all draws, including Colombia’s last two matches in World Cup qualifying.
Bookies’ best betting odds on a draw between Colombia and Ecuador at full-time are at 13/5. Ecuador are third in CONMEBOL World Cup standings, but the team is winless in three of the last five matches in qualifying. Ecuador were shocked by Venezuela at the weekend. Gustavo Alfaro’s team go into the match at the best betting odds of 4/1 to win at full-time versus Colombia.
Ecuador thrashed Colombia in the reverse fixture, 6-1. La Tri were 4-0 up by the time James Rodriguez pulled a goal back just before halftime.
Colombia vs Ecuador Team News
Radamel Falcao and Rafael Borre started in attack for Colombia against Uruguay. Borre could drop out of the attack with Roger Martinez or Duvan Zapata getting nod in attack instead. Rueda played a 4-4-2 formation. The manager deployed Juan Cuadrado and Luis Diaz on the wings, but neither player could create a goal.
Rueda is likely to play a similarly strong squad versus Ecuador as this is a must-win game for the Colombians. Carlos Cuesta and Yerry Mina have played in central defence for Colombia in the team’s last two games. Rueda should stick with the Cuesta-Mina pairing.
Ecuador captain Enner Valencia scored from the penalty spot against Venezuela at the weekend. The goal opened the scoring for Ecuador, but the team’s defence allowed Venezuela to score twice on either side of halftime. Valencia started on the left side of the attack. He should start the game in attack once more.
Alfaro used a 3-4-3 formation against Venezuela. He could switch things up and go with a back four, which was used against Bolivia in a 3-0 win earlier in the October international break. Playing a must-win game on Thursday night, it would make sense for Alfaro to play a 4-2-3-1 formation. Michael Estrada could start in attack alongside Valencia.
Colombia vs Ecuador H2H
Colombia lead the head-to-head series versus Ecuador. Los Cafeteros have posted a record of 25W-13D-13L dating back to 1938. Ecuador have won just once in the last six matches against Colombia. The one win for Ecuador was in the reverse fixture of World Cup qualifying versus Colombia. Six of Colombia’s last eight games in all competitions finished in draws.
The Colombians are failing to turn draws into wins, which could see them struggle to finish in the top five of CONMEBOL standings. A loss to Ecuador could see Colombia drop out of the top five, if Paraguay win their game against Bolivia and overturn an inferior goal difference. Ecuador could finish the October international break in fifth place with a loss.
Colombia vs Ecuador Prediction
A penalty in the match @ 5/4 - BET NOW
The reverse fixture between the teams saw a penalty given in the game. Colombia were awarded the penalty and James Rodriguez scored it in the first half. Our betting tips prediction is for a penalty to be given in the match. Colombia are 4-1 to score a penalty during the match, just like they did in the reverse fixture.
Colombia to win either half @ 4/9 - BET NOW
Colombia were overrun by Ecuador in the reverse fixture losing 6-1. It is highly unlikely that Ecuador will come out and win the game with six goals. Colombia should be far better in the fixture on Thursday and our betting tips prediction is for the Colombians to win either half. Los Cafeteros should end their scoring drought and get on the scoresheet versus Ecuador.
Full-time result: DRAW @ 13/5 - BET NOW
Colombia have drawn four of their last six games. They are struggling to turn draws into wins in World Cup qualifying. Their last two games finished as draws. Our betting tips prediction is for Colombia to experience a third straight draw in World Cup qualifying. Four of Ecuador’s last nine games finished in draws. These are two of the also-rans in CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying. Both teams desperately need wins. However, in their desperation, a draw is a likely outcome.
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