Italy punched their ticket to the Euro 2020 tournament round of 16 with an impressive 3-0 win against Switzerland. Now, Roberto Mancini’s team are aiming to finish off Group A with a win against Wales on Sunday in Rome. Wales won’t be pushovers having collected four points from six possible. Right now, they have the inside track to qualification ahead of fellow Group A teams Switzerland and Turkey.

A win or draw for Wales would send them through to the knockout stage of the Euro 2020 tournament. A loss would mean the Welsh need Switzerland to either draw or lose to be assured of advancing. Wales can still progress as group runners-up with a loss and Swiss win, but need to keep a superior goal difference.

As it stands, Wales’ goal difference is +2 while Switzerland’s is at –3. Wales are coming up against Group A’s most difficult side on Sunday and they are playing in Rome. Italy were the first team to qualify for the last-16 thanks to their win over Switzerland.

Italy have scored three goals in each of their two group stage matches. Wales are assured of a third-place finish in Group A. It is unlikely that a team with four points will miss out on qualification to the knockout stage. However, it is not impossible that Wales will be eliminated from the Euros by finishing third in Group A.

Italy vs Wales Betting Odds


Italy have dominated the head-to-head record against Wales. The Azzurri have posted a record of 7W-0D-2L over the course of nine all-time meetings. Italy and Wales have not played since 2003. The Azzurri have been fantastic at the Euro 2020 tournament scoring six goals and allowing zero goals to opponents. Both matches finished with the Azzurri claiming 3-0 wins.

Mancini has returned Italy to the forefront of world football. Italy’s 2020-21 has been excellent with 13 games ending in wins, two in draws, and zero in losses. Their last 10 matches all ended in wins to nil. Wales do not score a lot of goals.

Yes, they scored twice versus Turkey following a 1-1 draw with Switzerland. Gareth Bale had the chance to seal the Welsh win earlier than it actually was, but missed from the penalty spot.

Italy at odds of ½ to win the match on Sunday versus Wales. The Welsh are heavy underdogs at odds of 15/2. The Welsh have not defeated Italy since 2002. However, just one match between the teams has been played since Wales’ 2-1 win nearly 20 years ago. Italy don’t need to win the game while Wales would love to seal progression to the next round with a win or draw. The teams are at odds of 10/3 to draw.

Italy vs Wales Team News

After winning two games by 3-0 scorelines in each game respectively, the Azzurri have been dubbed “a winning machine”. They certainly look like one of the frontrunners to win the tournament. Odds have been altered by leading sportsbooks making Italy the third-favourite to win the competition at odds of 6/1. Only France and England are better odds to win the tournament.

Mancini was without the injured duo of Marco Verratti and Alessandro Florenzi for the match against Switzerland. Verratti has not appeared at the tournament but could be in line to play versus Wales. Florenzi played versus Turkey but came off due to injury. He could return for the game against the Welsh.

The current pressing issue for Mancini is the fitness of centre-back Giorgio Chiellini. The captain limped off in the first half of the 3-0 win over Switzerland with a left hamstring issue. He has 10 days to get fit before the Azzurri play in the knockout stage. Chiellini did not leave the bench after coming off the pitch and walked around well enough to massage fears that he is done for the tournament.

Wales caretaker manager Rob Page is likely to have a fully fit squad to pick from. Aaron Ramsey played brilliantly against Turkey and turned back the clock a few years. Bale put in a great performance but missed a penalty with a terribly taken spot-kick. Kieffer Moore led the line and took a beating from Turkey’s defence. Page will hope Moore is fit to lead the line once more on Sunday.

Italy vs Wales Prediction

Italy to win to nil @ 23/20 - BET NOW


Italy have kept 10 straight clean sheets winning all 10 games. They have been brilliant and could keep tally another win to nil versus Wales on Sunday. The Azzurri will be difficult to stop. Wales are unlikely to step up against the Azzurri like they did versus Switzerland and Turkey. Italy are a major step up in competition.

Ciro Immobile to score anytime @ 6/4 - BET NOW


There is no guarantee Ciro Immobile will start for the Azzurri on Sunday. Mancini may want to keep the in-form squad firing on all cylinders. If so, Immobile could lead the line for a third straight game. The Lazio striker scored in each of Italy’s two matches at the Euro 2020 tournament.

Over 2.5 goals scored @ 6/5 - BET NOW


Can Italy score three goals once more at the Euro 2020 tournament? They defeated Turkey 3-0 and followed it up by thrashing Switzerland 3-0. The game against Switzerland was supposed to be the Azzurri’s most difficult.

Wales are also on a good run of form, but not to the level that Italy are currently at. Two of Wales’ last seven games finished with over 2.5 goals scored. They don’t concede a lot of goals, but are likely to give up goals to Italy.

The game may hinge on Mancini’s team. The manager could rotate the side, but it is possible the squad will remain the same – or similar – to keep the team as hot as possible. Italy should claim a win to nil versus Wales and keep their brilliant run of form going.