Bayern Munich are in poor form heading into the Champions League last 16 first leg against Lazio. The Germans are winless in back-to-back league matches and are coming off of a 2-1 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt at the weekend. Bayern Munich’s once seven-point lead over RB Leipzig has been reduced to just two points. Since winning the FIFA Club World Cup trophy, Bayern Munich are struggling on the domestic front.
Lazio are coming off of a 1-0 win at the Stadio Olimpico against Sampdoria. The Biancocelesti have been excellent over their last 10 games in all competitions with eight of those matches finishing in wins. Simone Inzaghi’s team finished second in Group F behind Borussia Dortmund with 10 points from 18 possible. Lazio won and drew against Borussia Dortmund in the group and have experience getting results against German competition in the Champions League.
Bayern Munich were previously the favourite to win the Champions League this season, but over the last few weeks, Manchester City have leapfrogged them as the favourite to lift the trophy. Manchester City are regularly considered favourite to win the Champions League from year to year but fail to top the competition. Bayern Munich are at odds of 15/4 to win the Champions League. Lazio are at odds of 150/1 to lift the European Cup.
Lazio vs Bayern Munich Betting Odds
While Champions League games featuring English teams were moved to neutral venues, Tuesday night’s match between Lazio and Bayern Munich will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. Lazio have been excellent on their home turf in 2020-21 posting a record of 10W-3D-3L in all competitions. They have outscored opponents 28-19 in the capital.
Lazio are at odds of 4/1 to win at home versus Bayern Munich this week in the first leg of their Champions League last 16 tie. The Biancocelesti have kept four clean sheets at home in 2020-21. However, it is unlikely that they will keep the reigning Champions League winners out of the back of the net.
Bayern Munich go into the first leg of their Champions League tie with Lazio at odds of 5/7 to win at full-time. While Bayern Munich have not lost at home in any competition this season, they have suffered three defeats away from the Allianz Arena. The Bavarians have posted a record of 11W-3D-3L on the road while scoring 39 goals and allowing 22. It is the 1.29 goals allowed per game away from home that is a shock.
Lazio won’t be bashful on Tuesday night against the Bavarians. It has been over a decade since they have been in this situation. Can they upset the reigning cup holders?
Lazio vs Bayern Munich Team News
Flick will be forced to start centre-back Niklas Sule at right-back on Tuesday. The reason for this is that usual right-back, Benjamin Pavard, is ruled out with COVID-19. Interestingly, Chelsea have reported opened negotiations over a transfer for Sule next summer. Bouna Sarr is the right-back back-up to Pavard but due to some poor performances is not being considered for the position.
Bayern Munich’s Thomas Mueller is ruled out until March 6th due to a positive COVID-19 test. Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting, Jamal Musiala, or Leon Goretzka could play the “Mueller role” against Lazio. Although Flick doesn’t have a like for like replacement. Flick has a number of injuries heading into the game this week. According to the latest reports, Corentin Tolisso is suffering from a knee injury that will keep him out until May.
Douglas Costa has a broken ankle and will be out for the rest of the season and Serge Gnabry is out until March with a hamstring problem. The amount of football Bayern Munich have played looks to be taking its toll.
Inzaghi has just four names on his injury list but they are significant ones. Stefan Radu is out until April while Luiz Felipe could miss out due to an ankle injury. Pepe Reina will remain in goal due to an injury to Thomas Strakosha. Silvio Proto is a doubt due to an upper body injury.
Lazio vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Both teams to score: YES @ 8/15 - BET NOW
Do not count Lazio out of the first leg just because Bayern Munich won the Champions League last season. Bayern Munich are suffering from injury and form issues. They have conceded five goals in their last two matches in the Bundesliga. They conceded 1.29 goals per game in all competitions on the road. Lazio average 1.75 goals per game at the Stadio Olimpico.
Ciro Immobile to score anytime @6/4 - BET NOW
Striker Ciro Immobile has scored 19 goals in 26 games in all competitions. The reigning Serie A Golden Boot winner tallied five goals in four Champions League group stage matches. Immobile scored in each of the group stage matches he appeared in. The striker missed two of the six games due to a positive COVID-19 test. Immobile has not scored in his last two Serie A game. This is a huge stage for the Italian to play on and he will most likely be hungry to star.
Over 2.5 goals scored @ 13/25 - BET NOW
Bayern Munich’s last two games in the Bundesliga ended with over 2.5 goals tallied. They are struggling due to player injuries and positive COVID-19 tests. Eight of the last 12 games for Lazio ended with over 2.5 goals tallied.
Three of the Biancocelesti’s six Champions League group stage matches finished with more than 2.5 goals tallied. Four of Bayern Munich’s six group stage matches ended with over 2.5 goals scored. This game has the potential to see goals thanks to the two strikers – Robert Lewandowski and Immobile – that will line up to play.
Bayern Munich are in a rut following the FIFA Club World Cup. Don’t be surprised if Lazio put a scare into the reigning tournament champions. Lazio are a good team and in good form in the league. This is a massive opportunity for Inzaghi’s side.
Lazio vs Bayern Munich Tips
Here are our Lazio vs Bayern Munich tips for Tuesday's Champions League match at Stadio Olimpico di Roma.
1. Both teams to score: YES @ 8/15
2. Ciro Immobile to score anytime @6/4
3. Over 2.5 goals scored @ 13/25
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