Will Lecce’s stay in Serie A finally come to an end? The club head into the final day of the Serie A season just one point behind 17th-placed Genoa. Genoa and Lecce will kick off simultaneously with both sides seeking a win. A victory would keep Genoa in the top flight. A loss or draw and they would need to see how Lecce’s game against Parma turns out. Lecce’s Serie A safety is not in their own hands. A win against Parma would be the first thing they need to fall in place.
Lecce are coming off of a win in gameweek 37 against Udinese 2-1. The victory gave Lecce hope of survival and could achieve it at the expense of Genoa – one of the Italy’s most historic clubs. Parma head into the final game of the season with two wins from their last three games. The Crociati did lose in midweek to Atalanta 2-1. They allowed Atalanta to score twice in the second half to come from behind for the victory.
The reverse fixture saw Parma claim a 2-0 win. History doesn’t bode well for Lecce but they could spring a surprise on Parma and Genoa on the final day of the campaign.
When the sides met at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma scored twice in the second half through Simone Iacoponi and Andreas Cornelius. Lecce have collected seven points from their last 18 possible in Serie A. Parma have collected an identical number of points over their last six games. The Crociati have nothing to play for on Sunday, so the outcome of the game could hinge on their interest in gaining a point.
Serie A does not use goal difference to determine the final table position in a relegation race. If Lecce draw against Parma and Genoa lose to Hellas Verona, Lecce would still be relegated, not due to their goal difference, but due to Genoa having a better head to head record. Genoa took four of six points from Lecce in their two matches.
Lecce have taken 17 points from 54 possible at home this season. It is the third-worst home point total in the league. They have allowed 37 goals against while scoring 27 times. Parma have a respectable away point total of 23 from 54 possible. The Crociati have scored 26 goals and allowed 30. Heading into the final day of the Serie A season, anything can happen.
Two players are set to miss out on Sunday for coach Fabio Liverani when Parma visit Lecce. Liverani will be without Marco Mancosu due to a knock. Mancosu won’t be back until next season. Meanwhile, Alessandro Deiola is a doubt for the game. He has a knee injury keeping him sidelined. Nehuen Paz is set to miss the fixture as well due to a suspension.
There is a subplot going into the final game of the season for Liverani. In 2013, Liverani was appointed coach of Genoa in his first ever managerial job. He lasted just eight games as Genoa posted a mere one victory. Since 2017, Liverani has managed Lecce posting a 44.7%-win rate. He would love nothing more than to relegate his former employers.
Parma coach Roberto D’Aversa has several players expected to miss the game. Midfielder Juraj Kucka is suspended for the fixture while Alberto Grassi, Gaston Brugman, Hernani, Matteo Scozzarella, and Andreas Cornelius will all miss out due to injury. Based on the large number of key players missing for D’Aversa, it is possible that Parma will fall to a second straight defeat. Can Lecce take advantage of Parma’s injury woes on Sunday?
Both teams to score - BET NOW
Parma may have won 2-0 when these teams last met but Lecce’s Serie A survival is on the line. A win could keep the club in the top flight. A loss or draw would send the club back down to Serie B. Lecce should come out to score which could leave them open at the back for Parma to counter-attack. Parma’s last six Serie A games all ended with both teams scoring goals. Five straight Lecce games finished with both sides scoring.
Over 2.5 goals scored - BET NOW
Lecce must win on Sunday. A draw does them no good. They have allowed a league high 81 goals this term and cannot count on the defence to keep Parma’s attack at bay. If Liverani and company want to win, they will need to outscore Parma in what could be a high-scoring fixture. Five straight Lecce Serie A games ended with over 2.5 goals scored. Parma’s last six league games ended with over 2.5 goals.
Gianluca Lapadula to score anytime - BET NOW
How fitting would it be for striker Gianluca Lapadula to score for Lecce and relegate Genoa? Lapadula is signed to Genoa but on loan at Lecce. The club’s allowance of Lapadula to join a direct rival once shows the board’s lack of foresight. The striker is a fantastic story having come from the lower levels of Italian football after leaving Juventus’s youth team in 2004. After years of playing for Atletico Roma, San Marino, and twice being on the books at Parma, Lapadula thrived a Pescara scoring 27 goals in 40 games. A subsequent move to AC Milan saw him play 27 times before joining Genoa.
At Lecce, Lapadula has played well scoring 10 Serie A goals in 24 matches. How much do Genoa wish they had Lapadula? He has scored one more goal than Genoa’s top goal scorer, Goran Pandev. The striker has scored three goals in his last three games, including a strike against Udinese in midweek.
Lecce are the favourite going into matchday 38 according to leading sportsbooks. Do not be surprised to see them win and relegate Genoa. Parma have nothing to play for and Lecce should get the win on the final day of the campaign. They will have to wait and see what happens over 1,050 kilometres away in Genoa to find out their fate.
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The stadoum that is hosting Lecce vs Parma is Stadio Via del Mare.
The match between Lecce and Parma kicks-off at 19:45 UK Time on Sunday 2nd August