Napoli vs Granada Betting Tips
- Over/Under - Over 2.58/11
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- To Qualify - Napoli11/4
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Napoli have hit a bumpy patch in the season. Following a 1-0 win at home versus Juventus just over a week ago in Serie A, the Partenopei are now on a two-match losing streak in all competitions. A 2-0 shock loss to Granada away was followed by a defeat at the hands of Atalanta, 4-2, at the weekend.
Napoli have now lost four of their last five games in all competitions and Gennaro Gattuso is back on the hotseat. Rumours swirled that Napoli were ready to sack Gattuso and re-hire Rafa Benitez until the 1-0 Juventus win a week and a half ago. It looks like Gattuso’s success against Juventus may have been a false dawn.
Granada may have surprised Napoli with a 2-0 home win in the first leg of their Europa League last 32 game, but their form in the competition has shown that opponents must take them seriously. Granada have posted an 18W-10D-11L record this season in all competitions. They are a midtable team in a very competitive La Liga in which 11 points separate last-placed Huesca and ninth-placed Granda.
Los Rojiblancos’ win against Napoli was their only victory in the last six matches in all competitions. At the weekend, Granda were beaten 3-2 by last-placed Huesca. In the first leg of the Europa League last 32, Granada scored goals thanks to Yangel Herrera and Kenedy within the opening 21 minutes. From there, neither side could find the back of the net.
Napoli vs Granada Betting Odds
Napoli have to score two goals without reply from Granada just to overturn the visitors’ advantage. An away go would mean Napoli must score four times to progress to the last 16. It is a difficult task ahead of the Italians and one that other clubs will not envy. While qualifying for the next round may not be on the cards, Napoli are favourite to win the second leg according to leading sportsbooks. Napoli are 13/20 to claim a win at home versus Granada.
Gattuso’s team have been excellent at home this season posting a record of 10W-3D-4L. They have scored a brilliant 38 times for 2.24 goals per match. Defensively, Napoli have been sound at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona conceding a mere 16 goals for an average of 0.94 goals per match.
Granada are not in great form despite their win against Napoli in the Europa League last 32 first leg. Manager Diego Martinez will hope his side can get an away goal and end the tie. Los Rojiblancos are at odds of 5/1 to win at full-time versus Napoli. Martinez’s team have a 9W-5D-7L record away from home this season. They have outscored opponents 34-30 on their travels. With an average of 1.43 goals allowed on the road, Napoli may not be out of this tie.
Napoli vs Granada Team News
Gattuso has a long injury list and it is similar to the one the manager had a week ago. The good news is that forward Dries Mertens could return to the team from an ankle injury. Mertens has appeared in just 12 Serie A matches this season scoring four times and assisting six. If Mertens is fit to play, he is the game changer Gattuso needs to overturn this tie.
Kalidou Kouibaly is back from a bout of COVID-19 but may not be fit enough to start the second leg. He came off the bench in Napoli’s 4-2 loss to Atalanta last weekend. Hirving Lozano and Andrea Petagna are both doubts to appear due to their respective injuries. David Ospina is a doubt to appear once more as is Diego Demme. Defender Konstantinos Manolas is ruled out until March.
Victor Osimhen will miss the fixture after suffering a concussion over the weekend. He was knocked unconscious and spent the night in the hospital.
Martinez also has a long injury list going into the match on Thursday night. Midfielder Yangel Herrera is a doubt due to a muscle problem. Alberto Soro, Quini, Roberto Soldado, and Luis Milla are all ruled out until March. They could return for the last 16 if Granda can qualify. Luis Javier Suarez and Neydar Lozano are both expected to miss the game as well through their respective injuries.
Napoli vs Granada Prediction
Over 2.5 goals scored @ 73/100 - BET NOW
Thursday night’s match could be a shootout between these teams. Napoli have to score goals to overturn this tie and not give up any goals either. That played out a six-goal game in which they lost 4-2 at the weekend. With Napoli’s defence at home being very good and the goalscorers in the team, they can certainly get the goals needed to win this game. Three of their last five games in all competitions ended with over 2.5 goals scored.
Dries Mertens to score anytime @7/5 - BET NOW
There is no guarantee that Mertens will play against Granada. We know that Osimhen is not able to play due to injury. Mertens is back in training this week and could make the squad in some way. It would be a huge mental and physical boost for the team if Mertens can play a part in the game. Mertens has five goals and seven assists in all competitions. He could be the catalyst to a win Gattuso needs.
Napoli to qualify @3/1 - BET NOW
If Napoli can get an early goal, they will put pressure on Granada to keep the lead. The Partenopei can certainly get the goals needed to win this game and overturn the tie. That said, if Granada get an early goal, they will practically kill off the last 32 tie. Napoli have far more European experience than Granada. Gattuso could rouse the Partenopei and lead them to victory. He did it against Juventus a little over a week ago. Now, he must get them to win against a midtable Spanish side that is experiencing injury issues. Don’t count Napoli out of qualifying for the Europa League last 16.
Napoli vs Granada Tips
Here are our Napoli vs Granada tips for Thursday's Europa League match at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
1. Over 2.5 goals scored @ 73/100
2. Dries Mertens to score anytime @7/5
3. Napoli to qualify @3/1
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