The Premier League season is wrapped up with Chelsea taking the title of champions and Sunderland, Hull and Middlesbrough, bidding a farewell as they were relegated to the Championship. Ross Casey looks back at his Premier League preview…
"The clubs in this article are in order of their Premier League odds pre-season and I feature a blurb of my own thoughts on each club from that time period as well as analysis of how good or bad my predictions were! I hope you enjoy my 2016/17 Premier League betting review!" RC
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MAN CITY @ 5/2 – THIRD
“Guardiola brings with him an air or dominance and he has already signed Ilkay Gundogan from Dortmund – but in my view I don’t see them as favourites to win the league like the bookies do.”
That was what I wrote about Man City pre-season and after six games where they had won every single fixture and only conceded five goals, I was feeling worried! As it was the Citizens struggled to maintain their consistency and finished in third.
MAN UTD @ 7/2 – SIXTH
“I fully expect Mourinho to make the Premier League his priority this season and fancy them to finish above Man City.”
Well that didn’t come true did it? For a man who once said winning the Europa League would be a "big disappointment" when he was at Chelsea, he more than made the competition his priority towards the latter stages of the season!
ARSENAL @ 6/1 – FIFTH
“They always start rather well so back them at sixes now and wait for the price to drop and then lay off your bet before the inevitable collapse.”
I advised a back to lay option on Arsenal, but this season the quick start never materialised. However, by week nine they were joint top and would have been a far shorter price than 9/1.
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CHELSEA @ 13/2 – CHAMPIONS
“This Chelsea team has no European football this year and that is a positive. I fancy them for a top 4 finish at 8/13 this season.”
Antonio Conte took a while to put across his ideas of a 3-4-3 formation but after an embarrassing 3-0 loss at Arsenal he took the plunge with it and his side improved significantly. The Blues went on a 13 match winning streak at one point on their way to the Premier League title! 13/2 in hindsight was a massive price. I will take my 8/13 short price win, however!
TOTTENHAM @ 9/1 – SECOND
“I see another decent campaign from them this year, but wouldn’t take the 9/1 on them to win the Premier League.”
Anyone who has followed my tips and opinions over the past five or so years at Easyodds knows I believe that Spurs are bottlers. They made a believer of me this season, though and I think they played some unbelievable football. I worry for them next season at Wembley, after their terrible Champions League campaign at the same venue where they were knocked out in the group stage.
LIVERPOOL @ 9/1 – FOURTH
“I’m going to be backing them at 1/2 to finish in the top six this season. Largely thanks to the Klopp factor and that they have no European competition to exert themselves in.”
I think that this tip was fantastic value and if it wasn’t for a terrible beginning to 2017 then I would have not been worried at all for the nine months I waited for it to come in!
LEICESTER @ 33/1 – TWELFTH
“With Champions League football to contend with also this season, it looks a difficult task to replicate the unthinkable of last season.”
I was pretty spot on with Leicester this season. It was only once they were done and dusted from the European Cup and sadly Claudio Ranieri was sacked that they looked anything like the Foxes of the previous season.
WEST HAM @ 100/1 – ELEVENTH
“Thus far they have managed to hold onto their diamond Dimitri Payet and also signed four decent players, so I expect them to be even closer to the upper echelons of the league than last season – where they finished seventh, 19 points off Leicester. I will be backing them to finish in the top half at 9/20.”
Annoyingly they sold their diamond and lost me my bet as they finished eleventh – despite being equal on points with West Brom in tenth!
EVERTON @ 100/1 - SEVENTH
“They finished outside the top 10 last season and I fear that they will do so again this season – they are 12/5 to finish in the bottom half.”
SOUTHAMPTON @ 200/1 – EIGHTH
“They also have the Europa League to deal with after finishing sixth last season, so there are plenty of question marks over them this year. They are 6/4 to finish in the bottom half if you fancy them to take a backward step this year.”
If you backed this selection, you would be tearing your hair out as the point difference between the Saints in eighth and Stoke all the way down in 13th was just two points.
STOKE @ 1000/1 – THIRTEENTH
“After spending big last year, they are yet to sign any new players and I think another mid-table finish is on the cards for the Potters.”
Pretty spot on, I would say.
CRYSTAL PALACE @ 1000/1 – FOURTEENTH
“FA Cup finalists Crystal Palace were a disappointment in the Premier League last season. They have signed the likes of Steve Mandanda, James Tomkins and Andros Townsend whilst departing with Marouane Chamakh and Emmanuel Adebayor. That should help the dressing room in my opinion and I fancy Palace to be more consistent in the Premier League this time around.”
Well they hardly found their consistency, but they did finish one place higher in the Premier League table than last time out.
MIDDLESBROUGH @ 1000/1 - NINETEENTH
“After years of Championship football, Middlesbrough finally got promotion to the Premier League last season and they have wasted no time in spending big to improve the squad. They have signed no less than eight new players so far including big names such as Victor Valdes. I can see why they are the most fancied of the three promoted teams. They are 8/5 for relegation, but I fancy them to stay up.”
They continued to have a half decent defence, but this Middlesbrough side was woeful in front of goal.
SWANSEA @ 1000/1 – FIFTEENTH
“Francesco Guidolin and his backroom staff really turned things around for Swansea last season as they finished in 12th place after a season that started terribly. I can’t see them finishing in the top 10 this year, though. Some may even fancy backing them for the drop at 17/4.”
I am happy with my pre-season thoughts on the Swans. Three managers in a season is proof that they struggled this time around!
WEST BROM @ 1500/1 – TENTH
“Tony Pulis did it again last season, keeping another side in the Premier League. It means that WBA fans never get ideas above their station, but how fun can it actually be to be a Baggies fan in recent years? Nonetheless, Matt Phillips is a decent signing and will fit the hard working mould at the Hawthorns and they will likely stay up again with odds of 2/5.”
Fun or not, Tony Pulis did another fantastic job, not just keeping the Baggies up, but finishing in the top half.
WATFORD @ 1500/1 - SEVENTEENTH
“The former Inter Milan boss is charged with the task of making this squad more exciting… but I think they may struggle this season and odds of 9/4 for relegation appeal.”
Watford finished just one spot above the relegation zone and Walter Mazzarri gas been replace by former Hull boss Marco Silva ahead of next season.
BOURNEMOUTH @ 1500/1 – NINTH
“£15m for Jordan Ibe? A player with one Premier League goal? Bournemouth fans must be seriously frazzled right now after years of raising money to keep the club alive!”
The Jordan Ibe transfer certainly wasn’t a success, but a ninth place finish in the Premier League for Bournemouth is absolutely incredible!
SUNDERLAND @ 1500/1 – TWENTIETH
“If they lose Big Sam I do worry for them this season, but if he stays I believe they will stay up.”
They did lose Big Sam and they replaced him with David Moyes. The rest is history…
HULL @ 1500/1 – EIGHTEENTH
“Hull are back in the Premier League after a one year hiatus but for me they look likely to be relegated again. Steve Bruce has hardly shown eagerness to stay at the club and they have had a very quiet transfer window.”
The pre-season was an absolute shambles and Hull never truly recovered from it, despite Marco Silva’s best efforts post January.
BURNLEY @ 1500/1 – SIXTEENTH
“Even money on them for relegation looks a decent price, but strangely I fancy them to have a better season than Hull.”
I showed my faith in Burnley and they repaid me by my staying up tip landing to finish off my 2016/17 Premier League betting review.
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