Sweden are in the driver’s seat of Euro 2020 tournament Group E. Janne Andersson’s team have taken four points from six possible. After a nil-nil draw with Spain, in which the Swedes should have won having had the two best chances of the game, they defeated Poland 1-0 thanks to a second half Emil Forsberg penalty.

Poland lost 2-1 to Slovakia on matchday 1 of Group E. They followed it up with a 1-1 draw versus Spain in which Robert Lewandowski tallied a second half penalty. Poland are at the bottom of the Group E table. A win would send them to four points and possible qualification to the last 16. Sweden are assured of finishing third. A win or draw will send them into the last 16. A defeat may see Sweden fail to qualify for the next round.

Sweden have a great record against Poland. They have won 14 times, drawn four games, and lost eight matches to Poland. The teams have not played since 2004 with Sweden winning 3-1. In Group E, Spain have been the poorest side. They were expected to win the group, yet Luis Enrique’s team are third in the group and on the verge of being eliminated. A Sweden win along with a draw or loss for Spain could see the latter go home for the rest of the summer. Can Sweden keep their good Euro 2020 form going against Poland?

Sweden vs Poland Betting Odds

 

Sweden won 1-0 thanks to a Forsberg second half penalty against Slovakia. It was a game in which Sweden were second best conceding 59% possession to Slovakia and being outpassed 609 to 432. Still, Sweden’s defence played well keeping a second straight clean sheet. They conceded zero shots on target to the Slovakians. Meanwhile, Sweden posted 13 shots with four hitting the target.

Leading sportsbooks have Sweden as favourites to win at full-time. They are 19/10 to claim a win and win Group E. Group E has been a low-scoring group at the Euro 2020 tournament. Just six goals combined have been scored by the four teams in the group.

Poland are at odds of 13/8 to win the game at full-time and strengthen their chances of progression to the last 16. Against Spain, Poland kept a mere 23% possession and tallied five shots with two on target. Poland tallied just 217 passes against the Spanish. Lewandowski finally stepped up for the national team to score the equaliser.

Sweden will qualify for the last 16 by simply avoiding defeat against Poland. A win or draw will do for Andersson’s team. Slovakia will progress with a win against Spain. A draw will also do as long as Sweden do not lose. Spain will qualify for the last 16 with a victory over Slovakia. A draw is likely to see them eliminated. Poland will finish second if they defeat Sweden and Slovakia versus Spain doesn't end as a draw.

Sweden vs Poland Team News

Lewandowski finally got a goal for the national team when it mattered. Poland’s draw allowed them to keep qualification hopes alive. Paulo Sousa used a 3-5-2 formation against Spain to slow down the Spanish attack. It was a slightly different formation than Sousa used against Slovakia. The team were set up in a 3-1-4-2 formation against Slovakia with more of an emphasis on going forward.

Sousa could tweak the team’s formation once more as Poland have to go out and score goals to win the game. That is the only way Poland can progress. In an interview ahead of Wednesday’s game, Sousa has called for an “aggressive” performance from Poland.

Poland defensive midfielder Grzegorz Krychowiak was sent off for two yellow cards against Slovakia. He should slot back into the team’s defensive midfield position against Sweden.

Sweden have not shown themselves to be free-flowing going forward. Poland have conceded the most goals in the group thus far with three allowed in two games. Andersson’s team have been excellent in defence. They have conceded zero goals at the Euros. Six of the last seven Sweden games finished with them keeping a clean sheet. Only Armenia found the back of the net versus Sweden in the last seven matches.

Sweden vs Poland Prediction

Both teams to score: YES @ 23/25 - BET NOW

Robert Lewandowski to score anytime @ 13/10 - BET NOW

 

 

Forty-eight goals in 41 matches were scored by Robert Lewandowski in 2020-21 at the club level. He has long been criticised for not scoring goals for the national team in major tournaments. Against Spain, he stepped up and got a goal. Poland need him once more to step up and score to inch the team closer to the next round. Lewandowski has scored 67 goals in 121 international matches.

Over 2.5 goals scored @ 5/4 - BET NOW

 

Sweden do not concede many goals, but with a lot on the line, we could see over 2.5 goals scored on Wednesday between these teams. Five of Poland’s last seven matches finished with over 2.5 goals tallied. Their defence has been poor and the attack has done enough to get goals for the team to stay in games. Two of Sweden’s last six games ended with more than 2.5 goals scored.

Sweden are in the driver’s seat to qualify for the round of 16. They simply need a draw at the very least to qualify for the last 16. Poland must win to have any hope of going through to the next round. They have the chance of going through, but Sweden should do enough to keep Poland from winning the game. Sweden have scored just once at the tournament and it came from the penalty spot. They need to do more in attack and should do.