Sweden are the in-form team at the women’s Olympic football tournament. The Swedes completed the group stage with a perfect nine from nine points to top Group G. After shocking the United States 3-0, Sweden defeated Australia 4-2 and New Zealand 2-0. Now, coach Peter Gerhardsson’s team take on Japan in the quarterfinals with passage to the semifinals versus Great Britain or Australia on the line.

Sweden Women vs Japan Women Match Preview

Japan finished as one of the tournament’s two best third-place teams. The Japanese took four points from nine available to finish behind Great Britain and Canada in Group E. Asako Takakura’s team drew 1-1 versus Japan before losing 1-0 to Great Britain on matchday 2. The Japanese’s 1-0 win over Chile on matchday 3 led to their progression to the quarterfinals.

Takakura’s team has not set the tournament on fire. They have underwhelmed and struggle in front of goal over the course of their three group stage games. The positive aspect of the quarterfinals for Japan is that form may go out the window as the pressure is ratcheted up.

Sweden have been the tournament’s best team and their 3-0 win over the United States set the stage for their great group stage play. Remarkably, despite defeating the United States and playing so well in the group stage, Sweden are not favourites to win the women’s Olympic tournament. Sportsbooks’ best betting odds on Sweden to win the tournament are 6/1.

Sweden Women vs Japan Women Betting Odds


Sweden go into Friday’s quarterfinal as leading sportsbooks’ favourite to win and progress to the final four. Sportsbooks’ best betting odds are 4/6 for a Sweden win. With the team coming through the group stage with three wins, it feels like performances may have been too good to be true for the Swedes. Will they fail at the next hurdle versus a good but unspectacular Japan team?

Japan’s best betting odds for a quarterfinal win against Sweden are at 9/2. The Japanese have lost just once in 2021 and are a dark horse to get to the final and win gold. Japan’s only loss in eight matches in 2021 came against Great Britain on matchday 2 of Group E.

Despite going unbeaten in seven of eight matches this year, Japan’s wins came against poor women’s national teams. Japan thrashed Mexico, Ukraine, Paraguay, and Panama. None of those four teams are amongst the elite in women’s international football. Their come from behind draw against Canada to start the women’s Olympic tournament was a significant result. They had the chance to win the game, but had a penalty saved. Sportsbooks’ best betting odds for a draw on Friday are 29/10.

Sweden Women vs Japan Women Team News

Peter Gerhardsson has watched Sweden attacking player Stina Blackstenius star at the Olympic tournament. She scored twice against the United States and grabbed another goal versus Australia. She will be the team’s most dangerous player against Japan as she drifts in between defenders seeking space.

Sweden’s Anna Anvegard scored Sweden’s opener against New Zealand. The Everton player’s goal was followed by a strike from Madelen Janogy goal just 12 minutes later as Sweden eased to a 2-0 victory over New Zealand. Despite playing Group G’s weakest team, Sweden managed under 2.5 goals for the first time at the tournament.

Goals have been few and far between for Japan at the Olympic tournament. Mana Iwabuchi scored versus Canada to lead the team to a draw. Mina Tanaka’s late goal versus Chile to achieve progression to the last eight.

Takakura needs the team to improve in the final third against a Sweden team that conceded just twice in three games in the group stage. Those goals were both scored by Australia on matchday 2 of the group stage. Sweden’s defence should be difficult to breakdown and Gerhardsson has no reason to change the back four.

Sweden Women vs Japan Women H2H

Sweden and Japan have not met since July 2016. Sweden claimed a 3-0 victory against Japan when the teams played last. Their previous meeting came in 2014 at the Algarve Cup. Japan claimed a 2-1 win versus Sweden. The teams do not have recent trends to go off of for the match.

Sweden are in form. They are unbeaten in nine straight matches with seven ending in wins. Japan are unbeaten in seven of their last eight games. Just one match this year has ended in a loss for the Japanese. The loss came against Great Britain at the Olympics.

Sweden Women vs Japan Women Prediction

Both teams to score: NO @ 4/6 - BET NOW


Sweden have kept two clean sheets at the women’s Olympic tournament. They defeated the United States 3-0 and New Zealand 2-0. Japan’s only loss at the tournament came against Great Britain as the game finished 1-0. Our betting tips experts believe Friday’s game will be low scoring with both teams not scoring.

Stina Blackstenius to score anytime

Stina Blackstenius is a brilliant footballer. She has three goals in three appearances at the Olympics for Sweden. The BK Hacken forward is the team’s danger player and should have plenty of chances to get goals. Blackstenius has scored 11 goals in 12 matches in the Sweden domestic league for BK Hacken.

Under 2.5 goals scored @ 6/10 - BET NOW


Japan’s last four matches all ended with under 2.5 goals scored. The Japanese are not scoring many goals and their games earlier in 2021 against weak international sides makes the squad look stronger in the final third. Three of Sweden’s last five matches ended with under 2.5 goals scored.

Friday’s game should be low scoring with Sweden coming out on top. Our betting tips experts believe Sweden are just too strong and Japan’s poor goalscoring record at the Olympics this summer should help the Swedes in the end.

Sweden, if they win as our experts predict, will face either Great Britain or Australia in the semifinals on 2 August. On paper, Sweden should face Team GB.