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Villarreal vs Valencia Betting Tips, Predictions, Odds

Villarreal host La Liga rival Valencia at El Madrigal on Sunday. The Yellow Submarine are fourth in La Liga heading into matchday 6. Unai Emery’s team took eight points from 15 possible prior to the international break. A win over Valencia at home on Sunday could see Villarreal move to the top of the table depending on results elsewhere.

Valencia sit in eighth place after five games. They took seven points from 15 possible and just like Villarreal, have blown hot and cold in the early stages of the campaign. Manager Javi Gracia is in the early stages of his reign at Valencia. Like Emery, he was hired in the offseason to turn the side into a European contender.

Valencia are coming off of a matchday 5 loss to Real Betis, 2-0. They have registered a zero-goal difference with seven goals for and seven conceded. Villarreal have a –1-goal difference after five games. They have conceded even times while scoring six goals in five matches.

The home team are unbeaten in seven of the last eight games between Villarreal and Valencia in all competitions. Last season’s game at El Madrigal finished in a Villarreal win, 2-0. Can the Yellow Submarine grab another home win versus Valencia?

Villarreal vs Valencia Betting Odds

Last season’s game between Villarreal and Valencia finished 2-0 in favour of the Yellow Submarine. Paco Alcacer and Gerard Moreno both scored goals in the first half as Villarreal eased to victory. Valencia returned the favour when the teams met at the Mestalla, winning 2-1.

All three goals came in the second half as Rodrigo and Ferran Torres scored on either side of an Andre Anguissa goal. Valencia’s goalscorers in that game are now both gone. Rodrigo was sold to Leeds United while Torres joined Manchester City.

Villarreal have the best home points total in La Liga. They took seven points from their opening nine available. After a 1-1 draw versus Huesca, they earned a 2-1 win versus Eibar and 3-1 victory of Deportivo Alaves.

Valencia played twice on the road prior to the international break. Los Che won 1-0 away against Real Sociedad but fall to defeat to Celta Vigo, 2-1. Five of the last six games in all competitions between the clubs finished with Valencia winning. The last time Valencia went to El Madrigal and won was in 2018-19 in the Europa League knockout stages. Valencia won that game 3-1. It was the last time an away team won a fixture in this series.

Villarreal vs Valencia Team News

Emery has important players fighting injury at the moment. Striker Gerard Moreno is likely to miss the game due to a hamstring injury. Sofian Chakla is set to miss the game due to a positive COVID-19 test. Midfielder Francis Coquelin and Ramiro Guerra are both expected to miss the game, but could be passed fit before matchday.

Villarreal do not score a lot of goals with just six tallied thus far. Their expected goal figure is 8.12. Moreno has scored three of Villarreal’s six goals, but with him likely to miss the game, the team’s only other goalscorer this term is Paco Alcacer.

Valencia manager Gracia has several players on the injured list as well. Javi Moyano could return to action this weekend as he nears a return from a muscle strain. Joaquin Fernandez is a doubt due to a hamstring issue. Meanwhile, Kiko Olivas is a long-term absentee and won’t be back until the spring.

Valencia have scored seven goals this season but only have an expected goal figure of 3.80. The team’s expect points figure is at just 3.67 while their actual total is seven points. Striker Maxi Gomez has scored three goals in five games. He averages a goal in La Liga every 150 minutes.

Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction

Over 2.5 goals scored - BET NOW

Four of the last six games between Villarreal and Valencia finished with over 2.5 goals scored. All four of those games were won by Valencia. If Villarreal can keep the scoreline low, then perhaps they can get the victory. However, according to recent historical trends, Valencia win games versus Villarreal when over 2.5 goals are tallied. Two of Valencia’s five games this season finished with over 2.5 goals.

Valencia to win either half - BET NOW

Five of the last six games in all competitions between Villarreal and Valencia ended with the latter winning either half. Valencia have been good against Villarreal in head to head matches despite being hot and cold against the rest of La Liga. Villarreal are coming off of a draw last time out while Valencia lost at home. The international break may give Gracia the chance to get his players fit and tactics across for the weekend.

Maxi Gomez to score anytime - BET NOW

Valencia striker Maxi Gomez leads the team in goals with three in five games. He averages 2.40 shots per 90 minutes and 0.34 expected goals per 90 minutes. Gomez has been very good for Valencia and could get on the scoresheet once again this weekend. Gomez has an expected goals figure of just 1.72 compared to an actual total of 3.0.

All three of Gomez’s goals this season have come within around 12 yards of the goal. Each goal was scored from open play. Gomez’s long-range shooting isn’t great. He needs supply put to him in the box to get goals. His goals have come from assists from three different players – Jose Gaya, Daniel Wass, Lee Kang-in – which are all wide players or full-backs.

Can Valencia get a big win on Sunday and move above Villarreal in the table? Emery’s team have been very good defensively, but have conceded goals. They have allowed seven in five games and have a –1-goal difference. Villarreal got a draw versus Atletico Madrid on matchday 5. They should be good enough to get a draw or win at El Madrigal against Valencia on Sunday.

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Villarreal vs Valencia Frequently Asked Questions

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What stadium will host Villarreal vs Valencia on Sunday?

El Madrigal

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What are the odds on Valencia winning vs Villarreal on Sunday?

9/2

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What are the odds on Villarreal winning vs Valencia on Sunday?

4/6

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Q

What time is kick-off for Villarreal vs Valencia on Sunday?

The Villarreal vs Valencia match kicks-off at 15:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October.

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