Denmark are the Cinderella team of Euro 2020. Following the nearly tragic collapse of star player Christian Eriksen, the team looked down and out losing to Finland and Belgium in the group stage. Despite going into the final group stage matchday with zero points, the Danish still progressed to the last 16 thanks to a resounding 4-1 win over Russia which propelled them ahead of Finland and Russia and into second place.

Now, Kasper Hjulmand’s team will be wiping their eyes in disbelief at the team they will face in the last 16 on Saturday in Amsterdam. Denmark avoided some of the stronger sides at Euro 2020 – no offence to Wales – and will play Rob Page’s Red Dragons, who looked good in Group A posting four points from nine possible.

Wales opened the tournament with a come from behind 1-1 draw with Switzerland before defeating Turkey 2-0. A 1-0 loss to Italy wasn’t the worst result as the Italians won for a third straight game. The winner of Saturday’s game in Amsterdam will advance to the quarterfinals against either the Netherlands (winners of Group C or the third-place team of Group D or F (France, Portugal, Germany, Hungary, or Czech Republic).

Denmark are the feel-good team of the tournament. They will have the support of a nation and many of the neutral fans cheering them on. Although playing in Amsterdam, Wales may feel the neutral ground is more like an away fixture.

Wales vs Denmark Betting Odds

 

Wales may have lost their final game of the group stage to Italy 1-0, but allowing just one goal to the Italians will feel like a minor victory. The Azzurri ran rampant in Group A scoring seven goals and conceding zero. Page’s team were always going to struggle against the Italians. Now, Denmark pose challenge that Wales can certainly overcome. Even with the issues surrounding manager Ryan Giggs, the Welsh have played well under Page as the team’s caretaker boss.

Heading into the round of 16, Denmark’s odds to win the tournament have changed to 22/1 according to leading sportsbooks. They are still a long shot to lift the trophy, especially with the national team’s best player (Eriksen) being out of action. Wales are at even longer odds to win the tournament. They go into the round of 16 at odds of 125/1 to claim the tournament trophy.

Denmark are favourites for the Amsterdam match on Saturday versus Wales. Sportsbooks have the Danes at odds of 17/20 to win the match and qualify for the quarterfinals. On paper, the route to the final could have been more difficult. Still, a top team could be waiting for Saturday’s round of 16 winner. The Dutch, French, Germans, or Portuguese could advance as well.

Wales are the underdogs going into the round of 16. They finished second in Group B just ahead of third-place Switzerland thanks to a +1-goal difference. The Welsh are 15/4 to win a full-time. The teams have played 10 times in their histories. Wales have posted a record of 4W-0D-6L versus Denmark. The teams played twice in 2018 in the UEFA Nations League with Denmark winning both matches by a combined score of 4-1.

Wales vs Denmark Team News

Page will be without defender/midfielder Ethan Ampadu on Saturday. The Chelsea player was sent off against Italy in the 55th minute. Despite his sending off, Wales did not concede a second goal to the Azzurri. Ampadu’s exit would partially explain Wales’ 30% possession and just three shots on target.

Wales need captain Gareth Bale to play his best match of the tournament. Bale may have received praise from pundits for his performance versus Turkey. Yet, Bale has still played like a shell of his former self. Against Turkey, Bale missed a penalty that would have sealed the game early in the second half. He also missed Wales’ best scoring chance of the game against Italy. The composure just hasn’t been with the Real Madrid man.

Both Wales and Denmark are “teams” and have a togetherness that isn’t always seen in national sides. Even before Eriksen’s collapse on matchday 1 of the group stage, Denmark had a closeness which helped them string together five straight games without a loss prior to the Euro 2020 tournament.

The entire squad stepped up against Russia sending Denmark to a 4-1 win. The two standout players were Mikkel Damsgaard (who’s gorgeous long-range effort put Denmark on the way to the win) and Joakim Maehle. Wales right side may struggle to contain the never-ending engine of Maehle. Yussuf Poulsen has two goals and should start as the team’s No. 9 once more.

Wales vs Denmark Prediction

Both teams to score: NO @ 4/7 - BET NOW

 

Wales were held to a loss to nil against the Italians. Yes, they played a man down for 35 minutes, but didn’t trouble the Azzurri’s goal with just three shots and one on target. Denmark are playing inspired and anything can now happen in the last 16. Wales could struggle in the final third as Denmark have a new energy about them.

Yussuf Poulsen to score anytime @ 3/1 - BET NOW

 

Poulsen has been excellent leading the line for the Danes. He has two goals in three matches at the tournament. Poulsen offers a target man option for Damsgaard to run off of. Expect the RB Leipzig striker to hustle and hurry the Welsh defence. His constant work-rate is what led to a scrappy goal from a Russia mistake to give Denmark the winner.

Under 2.5 goals scored @ 8/15 - BET NOW

 

Wales saw each of their three group stage matches finish with under 2.5 goals scored. They are built on a strong defence and timely goalscoring. Denmark had one of their three matches in the group stage finish with under 2.5 goals.

The team that wins moves to the quarterfinals while the loser goes home. Saturday’s game in Amsterdam should be close and cagey with Denmark getting the goal needed to qualify for the quarterfinals. Wales have been good, but Denmark will be better on the day.