Register for FREE to read this article.

Already have an account?

You have article views left.
Register for FREE to read more articles.

Already have an account?

Remind me next time

It was another close call last week at the Open De France with our 80/1 tip Marcel Schneider taking a late run at the places but faltered on his final hole. 3/5 tips made the 36 hole cut but unfortunately Adrian Oteagui and Matt Southgate both had poor last rounds that meant they took a major step back.

A brilliant 9 under par 62 meant that Guido Migliozzi stole the victory from Rasmus Hojgaard who led by a massive 6 strokes going into the weekend. But 3 balls in the water early on his 3rd round meant he slipped right back into the pack.

A superb 2nd shot on 18 set up Guido’s 9th birdie of the day to win the Open De France by 1 stroke. Staking an early claim for the 2023 European Ryder Cup team, which is starting to look very hopeful with the young Euro talent on show each week at the moment on the DP World Tour.

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Betting Odds

odds

A slightly stranger format to what guys are used too this week in Scotland. Players will be partnered each with an Amateur golfer who will play 36 holes of the tournament with them, so play can be slowed down quite a bit to what the professionals are used too.

The tournament consists of the players each playing a round at the 3 courses of; Kingsbarns, Carnoustie and St. Andrews. A cut will then be made, with all players then playing their last round at the 2022 Open Championship venue of St. Andrews.

St. Andrews – Old Course

  • Par 72, 7300 yards approx.
  • Designer – Old Tom Morris
  • Links/Coastal style track
  • Fairways – Fescue/Bent grass
  • Rough – Fescue/Bent grass
  • Greens – Predominantly Fescue grass
  • 2 x Par 3s – 174 and 188 yards
  • 14 x Par 4s – ranging from 348-495 yards
  • 2 x Par 5s – 568 and 618 yards

Carnoustie Golf Links – Championship Course

  • Holder of 8 Open Championships (latest being 2019, won by Francesco Molinari)
  • Par 72 – 7400 yards approx.
  • Designer – Old Tom Morris
  • Links style track
  • 3 x Par 3s – 174, 188 and 249 yards
  • 12 x Par 4s – ranging from 348 – 499 yards
  • 3 x Par 5s – 505, 510 and 579 yards

Kingsbarns

  • Regular in the Aflred Dunhill Links, holder of the 2017 Women’s Open
  • Par 72 – 7230 yards approx.
  • Original Designer – Kyle Phillips
  • Links/Coastal Track
  • 4 x Par 3s – ranging from 148 - 212 yards
  • 10 x Par 4s – ranging from 338 – 481 yards
  • 4 x Par 5s – ranging from 520 - 606 yards

From a punters point of view reading the above, it is a lot too take in for sure. But let me try and simplify it for you this week; the weather plays a massive part always in this tournament every year so it really is down too luck (you don’t want to be on the harder course when the wind blows!), Carnoustie is notoriously the hardest out of the 3 course, Kingsbarns is the more scorable course and St. Andrews for the Championship Sunday gets tougher as no Amateurs are involved on Sunday.

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Weather

Thursday – looks dry and settled most of the day, a steady wind with gusts upto 15mph
Friday – heavy rain starting mid-morning with wind gusts reaching a potential 40mph
Saturday – dry all day, steady wind of 20mph, gusts up to 30mph
Sunday – More settled day, dry with winds of 15-20mph

With most of the courses in play this week near the coast, the weather can change in a split second so do not rely too much on this early weather reading.

Past Winners

2021 winner – Danny Willett -18

  • 32nd DA
  • 3rd GIR
  • 15th SCR
  • 16th Putting  

2019 winner – Victor Perez -22

  • 21st DA
  • 3rd GIR
  • 38th SCR
  • 12th Putting

2018 winner – Lucas Bjerregard -15

  • 19th DA
  • 3rd GIR
  • 32nd SCR
  • 1st Putting    

Average stats for the past 3 winners – Score -18

  • 24th DA
  • 3rd GIR
  • 28th SCR
  • 10th Putting  

No Strokes gained stats have ever been recorded for this event, probably to do with the fact its at 3 different courses every year and hard to measure. So, we just have the old faithful performance stats to go over this week.

The rough in Scotland is always tricky, the wispy Fescue grass can provide inconsistent torrid lies and the odd natural hazard, burn or bush can prove tricky to avoid or navigate if found. Accuracy is always going to be, both off the tee and with the irons so DA and GIR are a must when looking at the stats of our selections this week.

Putting is always going to be a factor on the large greens we are used to seeing in Scotland. Especially at St. Andrews where there are 7 shared greens which are huge, errant approaches can easily leave 100 feet+ putts. So, PA and 3 putt avoidance will also be key this week.

To keep it simple and to not overthink the Dunhill Links this year as we have seen a range of winners here in the past ranging from favourites to triple figure guys. Last stat I will look at is Par 4 scoring, players will play on Par 4s 66% of the time this week, they take up 36 of the 54 holes they will face on the 3 courses. So, looking at that, a glance over how guys have performed on Par 4s this year will not go a miss.

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Betting Tips

5 each way selections again for you guys, good luck!

  • Victor Perez 33/1
  • Robert MacIntyre 35/1
  • Jordan Smith 40/1
  • Adrian Otaegui 75/1
  • Richie Ramsay 100/1