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Remind me next time

Last week was a solid week with two places for the preview at 25/1 with Antoine Rozner making a late push to finish T8 and then our 50/1 tip Tapio Pulkannen finished solo 3rd with a cracking effort where he finished -22.

Unfortunately, Pulkannen was miles off the pace as Jordan Smith was the eventual victor with a mammoth total of -30. I have tipped Smith 7/8 times this year, chasing that week where his putter lights up as his Tee 2 Green game is always consistently one of the best on Tour. It certainly lit up for him last week where he made a total amount of 35 birdies on the week… was a pretty impressive week to watch I must admit!

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Mayakoba Golf Classic Betting Odds

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The DP World Tour is taking a weeks break after the last regular event of the season before the top players on the Race to Dubai rankings travel to South Africa for the Nedbank Golf Challenge and then onto Dubai for the big finale for the top 50 players!

In the meantime, our attention for this week turns to the PGA Tour for the WWTC at Mayakoba, situated at El Camaleon Golf Course in Riviera Maya, Mexico for a bit of coastal golf! Lets get right into it.

El Camaleon Golf Course

  • Par 71, 7000 yards approx.
  • LIVs finest Greg Norman designed the course – 2006
  • Course style – Resort/Coastal
  • Fairways/Rough and Greens all Paspalum grass
  • No major water hazards but there are a fair few small streams/canals along each hole
  • 4 x Par 3s – ranging from 116-200 yards
  • 11 x Par 4s – ranging from 36-489 yards
  • 3 x Par 5s – 532 and two 554 yard holes
  • Jungle areas/wasteland areas aplenty – threats of Out of Bounds
  • Larger than standard Paspalum greens

On paper yes, this is a short course. There are short Par 3s to be had this week (3 out of 4 are under 160 yards) and all Par 5s are reachable in 2 for almost every players that drives it 290 yards+.

4/5 holes are exposed to the Riviera Maya coastline and if the wind is up then this part of the golf course is one to change your style of play for and to go into defensive mode. The rest of the course is tucked away inside forest/jungle areas, with a lot of tree cover and accuracy will definitely be tested. The only reprieve for the players if they veer off the straight and narrow is that these greens are quite big, so hitting them from dodgy lies has proved to be simpler than normal. 

As the Mayakoba has been based at El Camaleon GC we have up to 14 years of leaderboards stats to run through if we wanted. However, no strokes gained stats unfortunately have ever been recorded here so we have to refer back to the classic performance stats to try and decipher the winner this week! See the below stats for the last 3 winners.

Previous Winners

2021 winner – Viktor Hovland -23

  • 8th DD
  • 2nd DA
  • 5th GIR
  • 5th SCR
  • 4th PA

2020 winner – Viktor Hovland -20

  • 8th DD
  • 13th DA
  • 1st GIR
  • 70th SCR
  • 10th PA

2019 winner – Brendan Todd -20

  • 79th DD
  • 25th DA
  • 3rd GIR
  • 4th SCR
  • 8th PA  

Average stats for the past 3 winners – Score -21

  • 32nd DD
  • 13th DA
  • 3rd GIR
  • 26th SCR
  • 7th PA

Stats to Focus on this Week

  • SG: OTT/Accuracy
  • SG: APP/GIR
  • Scrambling
  • Good experience on Paspalum greens

Keeping it short and simple this week stats wise as I do not want to over complicate things with the track looking pretty predictable as its clear to see what will go well this week its just all about picking the right guy to do it!

Accuracy is a massive one for me this week from Tee 2 Green. As I have said above, a good two thirds of this course is within the heavy trees. The winning score this week will get upto and maybe beyond the -20 mark so giving yourself plenty of scoring opportunities will be the play. Overpowering this course is not an option as many lay ups will be needed to be hit off these tees.

The greens are large as I say but the scrambling numbers have always been fantastic for the winners previously, disregarding Hovland’s 2020 victory where he didn’t really need to scramble as he hit 89% of Greens in Regulation! Getting up and down ever from the tough Paspalum run off areas or from the jungle/tree areas will clearly be needed at some stage this week.

A classic all round plodder is needed this week who doesn’t really have to excel in areas but doesn’t really have any weaknesses in their game. Lets get into it…

Mayakoba Golf Classic Betting Tips

5 each way tips again this week and all taken with 8 places unless stated in brackets, hopefully emulate the profitable week last week! Good luck all.

1. Billy Horschel (3 places)

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2. Tom Hoge

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3. Mav McNealy

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4. Joel Dahmen

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5. Justin Lower

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