Last week was another profitable week, which makes it 3 weeks in a row we have made money from the bookies! Always a good sign...
It was our 66/1 tip Joel Dhamen who finished in a tie for 3rd place who provided our returns. Unfortunately for us, it was another week where we never really threatened the winner as again it was a runaway victor who beat the field by 6 shots, that guy was Russell Henley.
Henley just like Jordan Smith last week found his flat stick finally after being consistently in the top 10 on Tour all year which the irons and somewhat had the bottler reputation that Smith had too, so its far to so their victorys were well deserved over the last fortnight.
Nedbank Golf Challenge Betting Odds
Once again we turn our attention to a different Tour this week in the DP World Tour for the Nedbank Golf Challenge which will be the penultimate tournament of the DP World Tour 21/22 season.
This week players travel to the Sun City region of South Africe, where they will compete for the Nedbank Golf Challenge at The Gary Player Country Club, lets see what they will face.
The Gary Player Country Club
- Par 72, 7830 yards approx.
- Gary Player design
- Fairways/Rough - Kikuyu grass
- Greens - Bentgrass
- Narrow and long fairways with thick rough surrounding it
- Smaller than average greens that play fast
- 4 x Par 3s - ranging from 210-219 yards
- 10 x Par 4s - ranging from 424-518 yards (6 over 450 yards)
- 4 x Par 5s - ranging from 547-601 yards
At first glance at the above, the course looks an absolute monster and the longest we have seen on both the PGA Tour and the DP World Tour all season. However, the course and surrounding area sits at over 1000 metres above sea level, meaning that altitude will play a massive factor this week and bring the actual yardage of the course down considerably, levelling the playing field to those who average under 300 yards off the tee.
We have not seen the Nedbank Golf Challenge here at this place since 2019 due to Covid/scheduling reasons, since then this course has hosted 4 tournaments; both the 2020 Royal Swazi Open and the 2021 Blue Label Challenge on the Sunshine Tour and the 2020/2021 South Africa Opens, so it may be worth a look at time of player who was vicorious on those occasions also! Lets have a look at some of the performances on the what was then the Europen Tour then back in 2017, 18 and 19.
2019 winner – Tommy Fleetwood -12
- 8th DA
- 8th GIR
- 40th SCR
- 32nd PA
2018 winner – Lee Westwood -11
- 36th DA
- 4th GIR
- 14th SCR
- 1st PA
2017 winner – Branden Grace -11
- 54th DA
- 31st GIR
- 12th SCR
- 4th PA
Average stats for the past 3 winners – Score -11
- 33rd DA
- 14th GIR
- 22nd SCR
- 12th PA
The altitude will bring the yardage down as i said yes but that clearly isn't the only defence to ths course as the last 3 winners of the Nedbank have clearly only just over come the -10 mark.
Daniel Van Tonder won the 2021 South African Open and Christiaan Bezuidenhot won the 2020 version, they scored -16 and -18 for your information, with very similar stats than what is above.
For the Nedbank, the wind has always been a factor that has minimised scoring. We wont see the wind get above 10mph this week so scoring maybe much better than what we have seen with some reachable holes in play in this altitude, the only danger in play this week is the Thunder Storms forecast for Friday-Sunday, let's hope they stay away!
Stats to focus on this week
- SG: T2G/Approach/GIR
- Putting on bentgrass greens
- Good experience playing golf at altitude
- Par 5 scoring
Fairways are narrow, tree lined fairways loom on the majority of the course and the fairways are surrounded by thick Kikuyu rough which is renowned for poor lies if found. Driving will have to be top notch again this week if the players want to overcome this track. Hopefully once they have found the fairway, the task is then to find these small undulating greens in regulation and getting the ball in the right areas of the greens. I will be looking for a guy that has performed well in these compartments consistently all year.
Golf at this level of altitude is a different beast, not just for the players but for the caddies for sure. Working out the % increase in how far the ball will travel will be the challenge of the week, so good experience on Tour will be ideal if they want t compete in it this week. Crans sur Sierre in Switzerland and Karen Country Club in Kenya are two that come to mind that the players use regularly on Tour in altitude.
Unike most weeks, we get to see 4 Par 5s this week, ranging from the 547 yard mark and going upto 601 yards. Even the biggest Par 5 isnt long in todays standards and the altitude will make it even shorter. Find the fairways and they all shoud be easy 2/3 shot holes for the guys, so they need to maximise their scoring on these holes.
Nedbank Golf Challenge Betting Tips
5 each way picks for you this week as usual, all 8 places unless stated in brackets! Let's keep the profit going! Good luck.
- Robert MacIntyre (3 places) 20/1
- Rasmus Hojgaard 22/1
- Richard Mansell 40/1
- Adri Arnaus 50/1
- Marcus Armitage 70/1