Friday Horse Racing Betting Tips
14:50 Market Rasen
Didtheyleaveuotto – 0.5pt Win – 12/1 (Bet365, PaddyPower & Betfair)
Celestial Horizon - 0.5pt Win - 40/1 (Bet365)
This is a nice £10.5k pot to the winner for the summer jumps and it would not surprise me if this has been targeted by their connections.
You can easily make a case for both horses on their previous form too and they are lovely prices.
Didtheyleaveuoutto ran off very similar conditions back in October in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow, finishing a close 4th off a mark of 131, achieving a RPR of 133. That form has worked out as well. His form has tailed off since but 2m4f on Good ground with a strong pace, should be right up his street and it could spark a revival. The worry is how poor he was last time out over similar conditions but he was carrying 12st 2lb and the slow pace did not help his cause. A mark of 123 should be very workable.
The second runner is Celestial Horizon. This horse was rated 137 at his peak in Ireland and came to the UK with an opening mark of 142. His best form was winning at Killarney for Joseph O’Brien off 127, achieving a RPR of 141. He has shown little in the UK so far, which has seen his mark tumble from 142 to 128. However, three out of four of those runs have been on soft ground, which would not have suited. Now he returns to his favoured better ground and that could spark the revival.
They are both well handicapped, they both get their ideal ground and the connections are known for landing some nice pots, I think they are both worth these small win bets here at big prices.
Fiscal Policy – 1pt Each Way – 15/2 (William Hill, 4 places)
I put this horse in my tracker before his run at Kempton two runs ago. He had been Gelded, he was said to be ahead of his mark and it was also said that he might just need that run but his talent may get him through it.
He came second that day and I would have backed him last time when he went one better but he was short enough at 5/4F.
The last twice he has run to RPRs of 71 and 72, so the handicap rise from 60 to 63 looks lenient and I think he can continue on performing well.
When winning last time, he was badly outpaced over 5f in the early stages but stayed on well to get up late on. I think the step back up to 6f should suit and I cannot see the switch to Turf being an issue for the horse. Therefore, 15/2 looks a great each way bet.
Double - 17:15 Goodwood & 20:10 Goodwood
Trais Fluors and Age Of Sail - 1pt Win Double – 9.52/1 (Bet365)
My final selection today is a double.
The first horse is Trais Fluors for the Channon stable. This horse was running off and to a mark in the mid-high 80’s last summer.
His form tailed off at the back end of 2022 and his mark began to tumble as a result. Just over a year ago he was rated 88 and now he is rated just 70.
His last two runs have seen a return to some form, achieving RPRs of 75 on both occasions and that is likely inspired by the cheekpieces that have been applied. On both runs, he has blown the start before doing well to finish 3rd.
Last time, it can be marked up not only for blowing the start but for also challenging on the wrong part of the track (far side). The handicapper has left his mark alone and with more luck in-running, I think it his time to get his head in front.
The second selection should be a pretty straightforward task and I’m using the horse as leverage to boost the odds on the first selection.
I fancied and tipped Far Horizon last time out but he was readily beaten by Age Of Sail for Gary Moore. Age Of Sail went clear impressively over 1f out and never looked like stopping.
He has been put up from 73 to 81 (8lb) for that but he achieved a RPR of 84 that day and he wasn’t asked too many questions. So he could still be nicely handicapped and he also comes here under a 5lb penalty, meaning he is 3lb well in on official ratings.
I think he dominates from start to finish again and hopefully in doing so, he lands the second leg of our double here.
Total Outlay – 4 points.