Southwell is the only National Hunt meeting of the day alongside the two all-weather cards at Kempton Park and across at Wolverhampton. Paul Jacobs offers his best tips of the day below after going two from three at Musselburgh on Sunday.
2.40 – Wolverhampton – WAVING has always looked as though this kind of trip would suit and it will be a minor surprise in my book if he fails to add to his two wins to date in what looks a pretty weak affair. Set to race off a full 20lbs lower mark than for his last success and for the successive start off a rating of 50, Tony Carroll’s charge probably has most to fear from Jebulani, returning to action fit from jumping.
The last named has also looked as though a step up to this distance would suit on the level and the market will be a pretty good guide to his chances.
BET NOW – WAVING
3.40 – Wolverhampton – I was slightly torn here between the Andrew Balding trained Communicator and KASHMIR PEAK. The former put up an encouraging display when upped to two miles for the first time on the flat when just touched off by Arch Villain and gets the chance to race from the same mark of 90.
However, in the end I plumped for the John Quinn charge. The selection just seemed a tad short of pace over a mile and a half here last time out and based on all his previous form this distance could bring about a modicum of improvement. That run behind Magika and his staying on second to Thomas Hobson at Doncaster are a couple of lines of form that give this son of Tiger Hill very solid claims. The other possible player is Shelford, a winner over course and distance last time out and five pounds higher here. His breeding is all about stamina and I suspect that Andrew Mullen will try and press on early enough to bring that side of his game into play.
BET NOW – KASHMIR PEAK
5.10 – Wolverhampton –The most valuable race of the day and a really good chance for BIRDMAN to follow up his win over a mile at Lingfield Park last time out. He has a bit to find on the official ratings with the likes of Don’t Call Me and Chookie Royale, but this slightly further trip allied to the fact he still has some mote improvement to come on this kind of surface leads me to believe that he can close the gap.
Don’t Call Me has been a consistent servant to connections over the past few season having raced in some of the hottest handicaps over a variety of distances. His best performance arguably came last year with a huge effort to finish fourth in the competitive Royal Hunt Cup. The majority of his form suggests a fast run seven furlongs is his trip, but all his runs in Meydan over a mile on turf suggest that this new distance could be right up his street. I suspect Dandy will have him ready after a break to go close in such a valuable event and he in turn is preferred to the likes of Apostle and Luhaif.
BET NOW - BIRDMAN