Ludlow looks set to go ahead on Wednesday with a seven race card from 1.30 alongside Carlisle and Lingfield on the flat. The twilight action is provided by Kempton Park from 5.00. 4x NAPs champion Paul Jacobs offers his best betting tips below.
4.30 – Carlisle – An extended two and a half miles around here in the deep ground will take some getting and the lightly raced King’s Grace looks sure to be better suited to the task in hand than the sharper test at Sedgefield last time out. Still, he has a bit to find on the book with his more experienced rivals and a chance is taken on last year’s winner BERTIE MILAN repeating the dose now he is back down to the same handicap mark.
Three miles was clearly too far for the nine-year-old last time out, but a previous third on ground that would have been too quick augurs well. You never know what you are going to get form one day to the next with old Etxalar, but Baltic Pathfinder shouldn’t be ruled out if coming here in the same kind of form which saw him win comfortably at Sedgefield as he only has a five pound higher mark to deal with.
BET NOW – BERTIE MILAN
3.15 – Ludlow – This feature race of the afternoon is a mares' only handicap hurdle over two mile and five furlongs and Come On Annie will be at the top of many people’s list for this after easing home off marks of 96 and 101. Upped to 108 here this is a much better race than the one she won at Taunton and I suspect she may meet her maker here in the form of BENEFIQUE ROYALE.
As soon as this daughter of Beneficial was given a test of stamina in the mud she left her previous form way behind when slamming Teochew at Sandown Park. Her previous run was in a pretty good novice event at Warwick and a five pound penalty seems rather lenient with plenty more to come.
Top weight Top Totti eased home by a full 19 lengths over three miles here, but that may have flattered her as several of her rivals simply could not act in the conditions and she may not be as big a danger as both Floral Spinner and Land of Vic.
BET NOW – BENEFIQUE ROYALE
4.40 – Lingfield – The last time that PRESUMIDO ran over seven furlongs, he raced prominently in a well-run race and seemingly never really got home. Since that outing he has shaped as though another try at this distance would suit him down to the ground and off a rating only four pounds higher than his last win he should be in the mix here.
Several of these are much more exposed than the selection and probably in the grip of the assessor notably Run It Twice, The Happy Hammer, Shifting Star and the hugely disappointing Magical Rose, but you could make out a case for the top weight Kyllachy Star.
Richard Fahey’s grand servant showed there was life in the old dog last time out when running on nicely on the Fibresand behind Ace Master and he is arguably a better horse on this surface. He scored in a similar set up of a race here three outings back and is only five pounds higher and looks a bigger danger than the admirably consistent Go Far.
BET NOW - PRESUMIDO
5.00 – Kempton – With Daneglow having run two very moderate races here, bets runs at Wolverhampton, I am going to look elsewhere for the winner in what is arguably the weakest race of the day on the level. Old Vhujon showed that there is life in the old dog last time out when running on from way back to finish on the heels of the leaders over six furlongs here so the drop to five isn’t an obvious plus so the nod goes to the veteran ISHETOO following a cracking run at Wolves when third to Volcanic Dust, Daneglow just ahead of him. However, unlike that rival the selection has performed well here in the past and runs off a career low mark.
Fantasy Invader ran a better race than his finishing position suggested last time out, but has still to be placed let alone win in 12 career outings to date so a bigger danger could well come from Brandywell Boy, dropped in grade today.
BET NOW – ISHETOO
8.00 – Kempton – There are plenty of runners here that like to go forward in the early stages and that could set it up for one of the closers, notably NEW RICH and Ghostwing. The last named in incredibly well weighted on his best form, but previous visits here have all been hugely below par.
In contrast, the selection ran a cracker in a similar race here last time out and is a mere two pounds higher than his game victory two outings back when the son of Bahamian Bounty had a similar set-up to the one he has got here.
Of the remaining runners you could make out a case for Daring Dragon taking a huge drop in grade, but he isn’t the most reliable, while maiden winner Ex Ex may not be thrown in off a rating of 70.
BET NOW – NEW RICH (e/w)