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Saturday Horse Racing Betting Tips

11:40 Cheltenham Tips

Scriptwriter – 1pt Win - 11/4 - (Bet365) 

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My first selection today is Scriptwriter for Milton Harris and Paddy Brennan in the opener, the Triumph Trial. 

I tipped this horse up at the November meeting and he won well at 4/1. 

He is rated 104 on the flat, so he has the potential to be seriously smart over hurdles and he has already shown that he acts around Cheltenham. 

I’m happy to take on Jupiter Du Gite and I would rate Comfort Zone the main danger here. 

As the outsider of the three in the market, I think he is worth a bet here. 

William Hill are also offering a special for him to win today and the Triumph at 33/1 and I would not put you off that as I could see him winning this and being shortened considerably for the race as the best of the British. I’d particularly advise doing this if you already have the likes of Lossiemouth and/or Blood Destiny at nice prices as a cover.  

12:10 Cheltenham Tips

Panic Attack – 0.25pt Each Way – 17/2 (William Hill, 4 places)  

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Llandinabo Lad – 0.25pt Each Way – 20/1 (Bet365, Betfair & Paddy Power, 4 places) 

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I tipped up Fire Dancer when he won on his reappearance and he could absolutely hose up here as he looks extremely well handicapped. However, I’d fear the bounce factor for this horse. For those not familiar, you often see a horse run well after a lengthy absence and then run a stinker on the second run. If he improves for his first run, I cannot see him beaten but at the price, I’m happy to take him on in an open race with the bounce risk.  

I’m going in to this race with two and I’m splitting the stake between them. 

First up, we have Panic Attack who I really like. She was third in a decent race at Kempton last time and has other nice pieces of form. I think ultimately she will want 3m to be seen to her best but I think this stiffer tracker and the extended 2m4f trip could be good for her, especially if they go a strong gallop which looks likely. 

The other is a bit more left of field and that is Llandinabo Lad for Tom Symonds. He had some lovely Novice Hurdle form beating horses like Minella Drama and Do Your Job and chasing home My Drogo. As a result, he had an opening mark of 141. That has since come all the way down to 133 over hurdles and he runs off 131 over fences. The way he has been running has suggested that this step up in trip should suit and I think he’ll also enjoy the juice in the ground today. He looks to be overpriced to me. 

I’m happy to play the two against the field with a total outlay of 1pt as it is a very competitive handicap.  

12:40 Cheltenham Tips

Easysland – 0.5pt Each Way – 8/1 (Paddy Power, 4 places)

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Next up we have Easysland in the Cross Country. 

Unfortunately, this one was backed from 18/1 into 6/1 yesterday as a couple of folk put him up. He’s drifted back out to 7/1 now and I’m happy to play him at the current price. 

He won at around the Cross Country horse here off 139 and was raised up to 152. He then toppled the mighty Tiger Roll when the ground was in Easylands favour, achieving an RPR of 171 and being raised up to 167. As a result, he has struggled ever since. 

He travelled nicely for a long way last time out and he has now tumbled all the way back down to 134. If he is going to spring back to win, it will be here as this race is a handicap where he receives chunks of weight from Delta Work. At the Festival, it will be level weights and I give him no chance. 

I get the feeling this race may well have been on the radar all along.  

Double – 2:05 Doncaster & 2:11 Fairyhouse  

Epatante & Ashroe Diamond – 2pt Win – 1.71/1 (Bet365, BoyleSports, Betway & Betfred) 

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Next up I’m play a double of Epatante (2:05 Doncaster) & Ashroe Diamond (2:11 Fairyhouse). 

Epatante should be far too good for her opposition and Henderson has said she just needs a confidence boost after bumping into Constitution Hill the last time. Baring mishaps, she simply wins this. So, I’m using her as leverage to boost the odds on the second leg of the double. 

The second leg is Ashroe Diamond. She looks a great bet today. She has been running very respectably in strong Grade 1 races and sets a very high standard here. I’d say she is the better of the two from the Mullins yard and she also received weight from Saylavee who has to carry a penalty. Halka Du Tabert could be anything but she is going to have to run to serious level to beat Ashroe Diamond and if she can, fair play to her. 

I think Ashroe Diamond wins, lands the double for us and cements her claims for the Mares Novices’ Hurdle at the Festival. If you want to get her onside, William Hill have a special to win both races again, like they have with Scriptwriter. She is available at 7/1 to win both.  

3:00 Cheltenham Tips

Dashel Drasher – 1pt Win – 3/1 (Bet365, William Hill & BetVictor) 

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My next selection is Dashel Drasher in the Cleeve Hurdle. 

I may end up with egg on my face but I’m keen to take on an 11-year-old Paisley Park at 11/8 here despite as much as I’d love to see him win.  

I had it between Dashel Drasher and Gelino Bello and I’ve sided with the former on recent form and at the weights.  

Dashel Drasher has done little wrong winning 6 of his 10 races over hurdles. He started this season off with a win at Aintree over Hurdles before going back there to only find Noble Yeats too strong over fences. That was over 3m1f and he appeared to stay well. He then dropped back to 2m4f here and ran extremely well, only finding Marie’s Rock (Mares’ Hurdle favourite) too strong. 

I think this trip and track could suit Dashel Drasher well as he looks the type that will just keep on galloping for you. I think he could cause an upset here, winning the race and putting himself in the Stayers Hurdle picture. Again, William Hill will give you 50/1 to win both and I wouldn’t put you off a small bet.  

3:35 Cheltenham Tips

Mofasa 0.5pt Each Way – 16/1 (Betfair, Paddy Power, BetVictor & Boylesports, 4 places) 

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Last but not least, we have Mofasa in the 3:35 Cheltenham. 

Michael has always seemed to have held this horse in high regard and he justified that when winning here at the October meeting. He travelled into the race very strongly and looked the winner before making a mess of the last. Despite this he dug deep to go on and win anyway which impressed me. 

I was excited to see what he could do next but unfortunately that was to get turned over at odds on, finishing last of the four runners. 

I’m always willing to forgive a horse one bad run and if you do, he has form up here with the best of them. I have a sneaking suspicion that he might have just been feeling having three runs within the space of two months. Particularly as Michael has given him a break of two months since. 

He looks overpriced to me here and I’m happy to play him here at a big price!  

Total Outlay – 7 points.