Saturday Horse Racing Betting Tips
2:35 Ascot Tips
Orbaan – 0.5pt Each Way – 14/1 (Bet365, 4 places)
Escobar – 0.5pt Each Way – 28/1 (Bet365, 4 places)
My first selections for Saturday come in the 2:35 Ascot and I’m going in double handed with both horses trained by David O’Meara. Both horses are not in the greatest of form presently but as a result, both are very well handicapped.
Up first we have Orbaan. Last season he hit the crossbar a couple of times off a mark of 87 and a couple of runs later he went on to win at Glorious Goodwood off 87, before following up over course and distance here off 95. On those two occasions, he ran to RPRs of 102 and 104. He then kept that form up for the remainder of his season with form of 425 and RPRs of 103, 106 & 103 off marks of 99, 99 and 100. He races off 92 today which is 3lb lower than his course and distance win in August of last year. So if he can find that form again, he is handicapped to win.
Escobar has a similar profile to Orbaan in that he has been out of form this season albeit running respectably on occasions. However, if you look back to last year, he had two wins off marks of 104 and 107, running to RPRs of 112 and 116. He also ran to a RPR of 115 when beaten a head by his stablemate Blue For You at the Ebor Festival. The latter of his wins was also over this course and distance. His mark has now dropped all the way down to 97, which is 10lb lower than his course and distance win less than a year ago. So if he can find his best form, he too his certainly handicapped to win.
Hopefully David O’Meara can land this race with one of the two! It’d be some price if he landed the forecast…
Euchen Glen – 0.5pt Each Way – 10/1 (William Hill, Paddy Power & Betfair, 5 places)
Tritonic – 0.5pt Each Way – 18/1 (Bet365, 4 places)
My final two selections come in the Old Borough Cup at Haydock and again, we go in with two against the field. One is the old favourite Euchen Glen for Jim Goldie and the other is the classy Tritonic for Alan King.
As I have touched upon before, I have a massive soft spot for Euchen Glen and have put him up more than once this season already. He is 10 now but he has ran some fantastic races in defeat this season, showing that he has both the attitude and the ability to keep running in these races. On his best form this season, he has finished 4th three times and 3rd once with RPRs of 104, 105, 102 and 103 off marks of 102, 99, 96 and 96. The last twice in particular have been superb runs off 96 and he races here off just 1lb higher. Three years ago, he won this race off a mark of 101, running to a RPR of 111. Then more recently he ran in the race last year off 105 and finished 3rd with a RPR of 109. So running here off just 97, he would have a massive chance if he can put his best foot forward.
As mentioned, the other selection in the race is Tritonic for The McNeil Family. He is one of the classy horses in the race. He has two stand out pieces of form in the past 12 months. Firstly he won in October last year over 1m4f at Goodwood off a mark of 98, achieving a RPR of 107. More recently he finished 3rd in the Ascot Stakes off this current mark of 100, running to a RPR of 108. I fancied him at Glorious Goodwood off 101 but he did not handle the soft ground. Off a mark of 100 with the ground back in his favour, I think he can run a massive race. If he can perform to those figures of around 107/108, he must have a great chance today.
Total Outlay – 4 points.