Well, we've done the maths and if you had backed all of Gavin's tips for Easyodds for the month of June you would have been in profit and that includes a profitable Royal Ascot.
Can Gavin get the first weekend of racing in July off to a strong start with his 7 point outlay for the cards at Haydock and Sandown?
Don't miss Saturday's horse racing tips and predictions.
Saturday Horse Racing Tips
1:50 Sandown Tips
5f (5f10y) Coral Charge (Group 3) (Registered As The Sprint Stakes) (Class 1) (3yo+)
IWAC - Arecibo – 0.5pt Each Way – 14/1 (Paddy Power/Betfair, 3 places)
The first bet of the day is Arecibo, who I am surprised to see as the outsider of the field at 14/1.
If he can re-find his form from this time last year, he would have a massive chance in this race.
This horse was second in the King’s Stand Stakes (Group 1) at Royal Ascot last year. Arecibo and Oxted were finishing off by far the best and the latter went on to win. Oxted was rated 117 that day whereas our lad was rated 104 and they raced off level weights, so it really was a superb run considering. They went a strong gallop and Arecibo loved it.
He backed that run up in this race last year when only being headed in the final strides and being beaten just a neck. In those two runs, he achieved very good RPRs of 115 and 114.
His form tailed off over the next few runs and he faded disappointingly on his seasonal reappearance at the end of April dropping from 2nd to 7thinside the final furlong. However, he showed a much-improved display when only being headed inside the final furlong to finish third in the Temple Stakes (Group 2) at Haydock. That run showed he retained plenty of his ability, running to a RPR of 107.
This horse does need a good pace to aim at which is a slight concern here. However, Method led last time, so hopefully he can push on and set a strong tempo and if so, Arecibo will be flying home with a late run.
2:25 Sandown Tips
1m Coral Challenge (Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)
NAP - Trais Fluors – 2pts Each Way – 11/1 (WH, 4 places)
Trais Fluours is my NAP of the day.
In April last year, this horse was rated 104.
He couldn’t handle running off that mark and then had two lesser efforts on Good to Soft and Soft where I feel you can forgive him due the ground.
After those runs, he dropped to a mark of 92, returned to Good to Firm ground and won a Class 2 C&D handicap in June last year with something to spare. He really bounced off the faster ground that day, so hopefully the ground can stay good as per the current official description.
He snuck into the Royal Hunt Cup next under a penalty and whilst finishing 10th, beaten 9.5 lengths does not read well, he was short of room and would have finished much closer with a clear run.
Through the rest of the season, he came down to a mark of 91 and went away for a 190-day break.
He came back out this season in the Spring Cup off a mark of 87. He didn’t get a run until 2f out and he began to keep on well. At the 1f pole, Silvestre De Sousa knew his race was over and gave him an easy hands and heels ride home. Despite this, he finished just as well as those ahead of him who had their jockey’s hard at work and he was again only beaten 3.5 lengths.
A fortnight later, he went for the Thirsk Hunt Cup and it was an extremely painful watch. He raced in rear until they turned in. He looked full of running but despite looking around for a gap, one never came. 1.5f from home, he was stuck behind a wall of horses all hard at work and he was still on the bridle. Silvestre De Sousa never drew his whip, he just coasted home hands and heels as yet again, the race was gone and he was still only beaten 3.5 lengths.
In both of these runs, they were big fields (17 & 15) and there was plenty of pace on, which is exactly what he needs. However, the next two runs were the complete opposite. They were 7 and 5 runner affairs and they were run at a slow tempo which never enabled him to get into the race. As a result, I feel we can easily draw a line through both of these.
In this race, he runs off just 85 which is 7lb lower than his C&D win and 19lb lower than his peak rating last season. If the ground stays good, there is a strong pace (11 runners should help) and he can get a clear run, I think he will take some beating here. Flyin’ High led last time out, so I’m hoping he will go on and give our lad a good pace to aim at.
Sandown is a fair, galloping course which places the emphasis on stamina courtesy of a gradual climb from the home turn, this should suit our horse who will be doing all his best work late.
Hopefully Silvestre De Sousa recreates his C&D win where he was tucked in at the back of the field before pulling him out wide between the 3f and 2f poles and allow the horse to gallop. By the time he hit the 1f pole, he had already hit the front and the race was over as none of them could lay a glove on him. He is a very well handicapped horse and I’m hoping for more of the same!
3:15 Haydock Tips
1m4f (1m3f175y) bet365 Old Newton Cup Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+)
NB - Brentford Hope – 1pt Each Way – 16/1 (Paddy Power, 6 places)
The third and final selection is Brentford Hope who looks a big price at 16/1.
On the form he has shown so far and, on his pedigree, I think this 1m4f trip could really suit him. His Dam was a French 1m3f winner and half-sister to 1m2f/1m4f Group 2 winner Beautiful Romance and useful 6f-1m2f winner Executive Force out of 1m4f Group 3 winner.
The key to this horse though is the ground. It is currently down as Good to Soft as I do this write up the night before but I believe it is raining through the night at Haydock, so I’m hoping it will be plenty soft enough for him come race time (it is now the morning and the going officially confirmed as soft, get in!). With him, it is quite literally a case of the softer the better. I’m hoping if Richard Hughes is not happy with the ground, they will pull the horse out, voiding our bet.
He carries the second top weight here of 9st 8lb but Deon Le Roux claims 7lb meaning he actually carries just 9st 1lb. This jockey rode his first winner for Richard Hughes last week aboard Brunel Charm and he gave the horse a lovely ride. The jump up to riding a horse like Brentford Hope in this Class 2 handicap is a big one, so hopefully Deon Le Roux can grab the opportunity with both hands and repay Richard Hughes for giving him the opportunity here.
With a big 17 runner field and some cut in the ground, I’m hoping this strong travelling sort can get covered up and be sat there on the bridle as the challengers start to fade one by one and then he can breeze into contention and finish bang there. Try not to get too excited if he does come there swinging though, as he doesn’t often find much off the bridle!
His second and third runs back are placed form in Group 3 and Group 2 races and he is dropping into a Class 2 Handicap here. So, at 16/1 and with a huge 6 places on offer here, I feel this horse has to be an each way bet here. Especially against a favourite who looks plenty short enough at 6/4.
Gaasee was not impressive last time out in my opinion, when winning in workmanlike fashion and lugging to his left. That may have been because he needed the run and he will improve for that but it equally may have simply just been a genuine performance from him. He is another 7lb higher here and there are plenty of other 6/4 shots I’d be backing ahead of him!
Total Outlay – 7 points.