Djokovic v Zverev Betting Tips
Novak Djokovic takes on Alexander Zverev in a winner-takes-all clash in Group Tokyo 1970 of the ATP World Tour Finals on Friday, in what is a repeat of the 2018 title decider.
Zverev toppled Djokovic in straight sets to claim the silverware in London two years ago and the German youngster reached the semi-finals at the O2 last year, while Djokovic exited at the group stage.
With Daniil Medvedev already through to the semi-finals after recording straight-set successes over Djokovic and Zverev, there is one last-four berth still up for grabs in the Tokyo Group.
Neither player offered much resistance to a fired-up Medvedev but both were victorious against Diego Schwartzman which, in effect, has made this a knockout clash.
Despite there being no spectators at the 02, Friday's clash promises to be a cracker.
Djokovic v Zverev Betting Odds
Djokovic and Zverev were both brushed aside by Russian ace Medvedev, so are relying on victory here to book their place in the last four.
For all of Djokovic's superiority in Grand Slam events, he hasn't been as reliable in this season-closing event in recent years.
The Serb won the ATP World Tour finals for a fourth consecutive year in 2015 but hasn't landed it since and was dumped out in the group stages last season, with Roger Federer and Dominic Thiem advancing at his expense.
Djokovic leads his head-to-head series with Zverev 4-3, but the Serb made many uncharacteristic mistakes in Wednesday's defeat to Medvedev, hitting 24 unforced errors and five double faults in a 6-3 6-3 loss.
That was only a fourth defeat of the year for Djokovic but his performance painted a worrying picture and there are enough concerns for backers willing to take their chance.
The Serb lost seven consecutive games in that reverse and he was unable to match the energy of Medvedev, which suggests Zverev has every chance of landing the upset.
The German must improve on what he has shown in London himself but he finished strongly in his three-set win over Schwartzman and his run to the final of the US Open in September, where he had led Thiem by two sets, shows he is getting nearer to a top-tier triumph.
Djokovic v Zverev Prediction
Djokovic and Zverev have locked horns only once this year, as the action has been affected by the pandemic, but that exhibition meeting went the distance and this may do so too.
Zverev required three sets to see off Scwhazrtman and with Djokovic seemingly operating below the levels of earlier in the season and the German having a tendency to dip during a match, backing this crunch clash to go down to the wire appeals greatly.
Zverev is full of confidence, having lost only two of his last 15 matches - both defeats came against a red-hot Medvedev - but it is interesting seven of those outings went to a deciding set.
With a three-set encounter a likely outcome, backing this contest to feature at least 23 games looks a wise move.
Zverev is extremely strong on serve and is a difficult man to break, while Djokovic has the ability to dig deep even when operating below his best.
A first-set tie-break wouldn't be a great surprise, which means this match might not even have to go the distance for 23 service games to take place.
The gulf in class between Djokovic and Zverev is not what it used to be and while the German's well-being can be confirmed, there are doubts surrounding the world number one, who has lost three of his last six competitive matches.
Djokovic v Zverev Tips
Below are our three betting tips for Friday's ATP World Tour Finale encounter between Djokovic and Zverev at London's O2 Arena.
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Djokovic v Zverev Frequently Asked Questions
Who is the favourite to win the match?
Novak Djokovic at 1/3.A
What is our recommended bet?
Over 22.5 games.A
What round of play are these matches?
This the final group match in Group Tokyo 1970.A
What time does play start?
The earliest play will start is 2pm but could be subject to delay.A
What is the prize money for the winner of the ATP World Tour Finals?
Up to $1,564,000 (depending on group-stage results).A