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Remind me next time

Betting against Rafael Nadal to win the French Open is a fool’s error. The Spanish tennis sensation is a 13-time winner at Roland Garros and this year, it could be No. 14. Nadal saw off world No. 1 Novak Djokovic in four sets on Tuesday in the French Open quarterfinals. Now, Nadal turns his attention to world No. 3, Alexander Zverev in the semifinals on Thursday.

Despite being the world’s No. 5 ranked player, Nadal is the bookies’ favourite to win the men’s tournament at Roland Garros at 8/15. Zverev is the second-favourite to win the men’s tournament at 10/3. The player that wins on Thursday will likely be the French Open champion as this half of the bracket has the strongest men’s players.

If Nadal wins the French Open, it could be the Spaniard’s swansong. Nadal has talked about retiring due to the number of injuries he has sustained over the years. Winning the French Open for the 14th time would be a great way to go out.

Zverev has 19 career tournament titles to his name. Nadal won’t ease past the German in the semifinals. This will be a difficult game for both competitors. Thursday's semifinal will be the 10th all-time meeting between these players. Nadal leads the head-to-head versus Zverev, but will the youngster upset the master at this year’s French Open?

Rafael Nadal vs Alexander Zverev Betting Odds

Nadal goes into the semifinal at the best betting odds of 3/10 to win against Zverev. Few onlookers would have expected Nadal to play with so much fury versus Novak Djokovic in the quarterfinals. Yet, from the start, Nadal was on top winning the first set 6-2. He dropped the second set 6-4 in a back-and-forth before winning set three 6-2 and set four 7(7)-6(4).

The majority of the crowd were behind Nadal the entire match against Djokovic. Against Zverev, the French Open fans should be backing Nadal to get the win and progress to the final. Nadal is at the best betting odds of 6/4 to win in three sets. Bookies’ best betting odds on a 3-1 win are at 11/4. Prior to the fourth round, Nadal had won in straight sets to open the tournament. He was forced to five sets against Canadian Felix Auger Aliassime in the fourth round before meeting Djokovic.

Zverev didn’t start the tournament strongly, going five sets with unseeded Sebastian Baez. The German looked out of sorts versus Baez dropping the opening two sets before turning it around to win the match. Straight set wins followed in the second, third, and fourth round before meeting upstart Carlos Alcaraz. The German was the underdog ahead of the quarterfinal with Alcaraz, but came out on top 6-4, 6-4, 4-6, 7(9)-6(7).

The underdog German is at the best betting odds of 5/2 to defeat Nadal on clay. Zverev is unlikely to win in straight sets, but is at the best betting odds of 10/1 to defeat Nadal 3-0. Zverev is at the odds of 15/2 to win 3-1. Nadal is 7/5 to win the match with both players winning a set. Meanwhile, Zverev is 7/2 to win the match and both players to claim a set.

Rafael Nadal vs Alexander Zverev H2H

Thursday’s semifinal at Roland Garros will be the 10th all-time meeting between Nadal and Zverev. Nadal leads the head-to-head against Zverev 6-3. Five of their nine previous meetings took place on clay. Based on history, the playing surface should play into Nadal’s hands. He is the “King of Clay”, right? Nadal won four of those five meetings on clay against Zverev and the Spaniard will be confident of winning once more on the surface.

The last match between Nadal and Zverev took place in 2021 at the Rome Masters. The match was on clay with Nadal winning 6-3, 6-4. The last four matches between these two tennis stars ended after just two sets.

The big talking point surrounding Nadal prior to the French Open concerned his recent foot injury. There were worries the injury would crop back up and stop Nadal from going deep into the tournament. So far, Nadal’s foot injury issues have not been a worry for him. Nadal has looked fine and Zverev should be worried that the Spaniard is just coming into form.

Zverev started the 2022 season slowly and recently find form during the clay surface portion of the tennis season. Keep in mind that Zverev has been hot and cold at Roland Garros. He has looked brilliant at times, while at others he looked destined to go out of the competition.

Rafael Nadal vs Alexander Zverev Betting Tips

How can you bet against Nadal at this point? All of those punters that didn’t bet on Nadal to win the tournament outright before it started are likely kicking themselves now. He can the “King of Clay” do it every year at Rolando Garros?

Zverev will need to be at his best to defeat Nadal in the semifinals. The German has shown that he can defeat Nadal in the past. Yet, Nadal has been dominant on clay versus Zverev. It is difficult to believe the German will win the match and eliminate one of tennis’s greatest-ever players.

Nadal’s serve and back-hand have worked well thus far in Paris. He wore down Djokovic and had the Serbian running all over the court. Zverev needs to produce from the serve. Against Alcaraz, he won 73% of his first-serve points. He will need to be just as potent if not more so versus Nadal.

Our betting tips prediction is for Nadal to pick up the win against Zverev. This should be tight at times with Nadal overcoming the German to reach the final. Both players should win a set with Nadal picking up the match win in the end. There should be no stopping Nadal from winning the French Open, especially if Zverev is vanquished in the same manner as Djokovic. Our betting tips prediction is for Nadal to claim the win 3-1.