England v Australia ODI TipsRay Corniche - 10:09, 8th September 2015
England head to Old Trafford on the verge of a series defeat to Australia following the 59-run loss in the controversial one-dayer at Lord’s on Saturday. Australia lead 2-0 with a win here securing the series win and Tom Powell has two tips to share…
England v Australia 3rd ODI (Tues, 14:00, Sky Sports 2)
First of all it’s hard to argue with the match odds. Australia have comfortably won the first two matches and although I think England will win a match eventually in this series, it’s hard to build much a case for them based on their performances in Southampton and North West London.
However, they look value to get off to a decent start once again. Alex Hales and Jason Roy are yet to make a real impact as individuals (though Roy did make 67 in the first ODI) they have got their side off to a good start in both matches, scoring 37 and 40 in the first six overs and outscoring their Australian counterparts on both occasions. This time around, David Warner won’t be starting for the tourists after he fractured a thumb at Lord’s but I still think England’s openers are the most likely to start quickly.
Elsewhere, I like the look of Jonny Bairstow to top score for England after he was called up to replace the ineffectual Jos Buttler. Buttler has had a poor summer by his standards, his Ashes performances with the bat were poor and he’s made just four in two innings in this series. As for Bairstow, his form has been good all summer. When called upon in the Test series he managed scores a score of 74 while his first class form has been…first class. He was also called upon late in the ODI series with New Zealand earlier in the summer with his 83 not out winning England the series.
No-one has really stood out for England in the batting department so far. James Taylor has made handy knocks while Eoin Morgan has also looked decent but a part from that there’s not been much to shout about so back Bairstow at a healthy price.
Series Outright Tips:
In terms of who I think will win the series, I’m leaning towards Australia. I don’t think they are a huge amount of value at a best price 1/2 but I can understand why the bookmakers are making them such heavy favourites. Australia did of course win the Cricket World Cup earlier in the year, a victory which saw them reach the top of the ODI world rankings with England down in sixth despite their improvements against New Zealand earlier in the summer. England still seem to be searching for their best side, plus they’ll be without arguably their best player in Joe Root.
In Root’s absence it looks like James Taylor could replace him in the middle order and if he does he looks value to be England’s top scorer in the series at a best price 5/1. Taylor hit 98 not out when the two sides met in the world cup back in February and boasts an ODI average of over 35 from 18 ODIs. He offers something different to the big-hitters around him in England’s top order and he’s the perfect player to accumulate runs in the middle overs of an innings.
For the tourists, I like the look of Glenn Maxwell as top runscorer during the five matches. He hit a useful 44 before being dismissed in the T20, with Steve Smith the only player to outscore him. Admittedly, Smith will be a danger to Maxwell in this market but Maxwell has been playing one-day cricket all summer in England so is used to the conditions.