The Premier League top four race is one of the most competitive in all of football. Finishing in the top four enables clubs to qualify for the Champions League. It also opens up the doors for more money to sign the best players in the world.
Last season, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, and Tottenham Hotspur finished the Premier League season in the top four. All four teams will be expected to battle for the Champions League qualifying positions once more.
The likes of Manchester United, Arsenal, and West Ham will be up for the fight again. Could one of these sides end the campaign in the Premier League's Champions League spots? The race for the Premier League top four will be exciting once again.
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Premier League Top 4 Betting Odds
The four teams that finished in the top four a season ago are the favourites to end the upcoming campaign in the same positions. Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea, and Tottenham Hotspur are predicted by leading bookies to end the season in the Champions League spots.
All four teams have been active in the transfer market this offseason to rebuild, strengthen, and prepare to go again. Here is a look at the betting odds on the Premier League top four.
- Manchester City 1/33
- Liverpool 1/10
- Chelsea 8/11
- Tottenham Hotspur 10/11
- Manchester United 11/8
- Arsenal 2/1
- Newcastle United 17/2
- West Ham 14/1
- Leicester City 20/1
- Aston Villa 20/1
- Brighton 25/1
- Wolverhampton Wanderers 33/1
- Crystal Palace 35/1
- Everton 40/1
- Southampton 66/1
- Brentford 90/1
- Fulham 100/1
- Leeds United 100/1
- Nottingham Forest 150/1
- Bournemouth 200/1
Who are the Favourites to Get Top 4?
Manchester City are not just one of the favourites to finish in the top four, but the Cityzens are the bookies' preseason choice to win the Premier League. Man City have qualified for the Champions League in each of the last 12 seasons by finishing in the top four spots.
Liverpool are expected to battle Man City for the title once more. The last few seasons saw Manchester City and Liverpool dominate the top flight, and it could occur once more in 2022-23. Liverpool finished in the top four in each of the last six seasons. Jurgen Klopp has made Liverpool a serial top four finisher once more.
Chelsea may have had upheaval at the club in 2021-22, but their new owners will expect more of the same success as in previous seasons. Thomas Tuchel's team fell off of the pace in the league title race in the second half of the previous campaign. Despite their form, the Blues have the talent to end 2022-23 in the top four places.
Tottenham Hotspur round out the four favourites to achieve Champions League football. Spurs ended last term very strongly. Antonio Conte knows how to win league trophies and battle for Champions League qualification. Tottenham have already signed some promising talent in the offseason which will only strengthen the side.
While Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea, and Tottenham are the favourites to finish in the Premier League top four, Man United and Arsenal will hope next season sees them return to Champions League qualification. Arsenal have not finished in the top four for the last six Premier League seasons. At one time, the Gunners were nailed on to finish one through four. Now, Mikel Arteta and company cannot end a campaign higher than fifth place.
Manchester United ended in sixth place last term after an up and down season. New manager Erik ten Hag is aiming to restore the Red Devils to where Sir Alex Ferguson regularly led them. A lot of work must be down to achieve a top four place at Old Trafford.
Why Do Clubs Want to Get Top 4?
Clubs that finish in the top four qualify for Champions League football. By qualifying for the Champions League, an English football club opens up the doors to make more money due to matchday revenue, prize money, and TV rights revenue.
In addition, entering the Champions League enables a team to battle for the richest continental club competition trophy in all of football. Depending on the place a team finishes in the Premier League standings, a large sum of money can be made in prize winnings. At the end of the 2021-22 season, the clubs in the top four received millions of pounds in prize money.
What is the Benefit of Champions League Spots?
There is a financial reward dependent on the place a team finishes in the Premier League table. Last season's prize money saw Man City earn £44 million. Liverpool took home £41.8 million. Chelsea made £39.6 million and Tottenham Hotspur earned £37.4 million in winnings
The benefits of earning millions of pounds enable clubs to spend money on wages and transfer fees. Although there is around a £2.2 million gap between each place in the table, the money made by finishing higher up the standings allows clubs to spend more.
Along with competing for the biggest continental club competition trophy in the world, making the Champions League provides prestige to each team that makes the tournament proper. Of course, for each round a club reaches, the amount of prize money increases.
Do the Same Teams Get the Top 4 Every Year?
Yes and no, the same teams often make the top four every year. Yet, in some cases, this changes. For a number of seasons, it seemed like Manchester United, Chelsea, Arsenal, and Liverpool qualified for the Champions League every year. They were the richest clubs in England, which made it slightly easier to finish in the top four.
The money in the Premier League is slightly more diverse. Despite Arsenal saying they cannot afford the same players as Man City and Liverpool, they still spend heavily - just on the wrong talent. There is a more level playing field in terms of money for some clubs than there was 20 years ago. In addition, coaching, scouting, and the quality of players that can be attracted is more level. It isn't completely level, however.
In 2021-22 Tottenham Hotspur qualified for the Champions League for the first time since 2018-19. Meanwhile, Man United failed to make the competition after qualifying in back to back campaigns. Some of the same teams, such as Man City and Liverpool, finish in the top four every year. However, the other two places are not always set.
Manchester City Top 4 Odds
Manchester City lead the way in odds to finish in the top four. The Cityzens are 1/33 to end in the top four for the 13th straight season. Man City are coming off of back to back Premier League title wins.
This offseason, the rich got richer by signing striker Erling Haaland from Borussia Dortmund. Pep Guardiola has reloaded the team and will be a devastating force once more.
Liverpool Top 4 Odds
Liverpool head into the season at the best betting odds of 1/10 to end in the top four places. The last six seasons ended with Liverpool qualifying for the Champions League.
The Reds battled Man City down to the final day of last season for the title. Like Man City, Liverpool have spent heavily on a striker this offseason. Although one of their key players, Sadio Mane, was sold to Bayern Munich, Liverpool have the squad to continue fighting the good fight against Man City.
Chelsea Top 4 Odds
Chelsea are at odds of 8/11 ahead of the 2022-23 Premier League season to finish in the top four. The Blues are an unknown going into the new campaign. If one of last season's top four teams is to slip out of the Champions League qualification places, it could be the Blues.
The club is under new ownership and it may not have the drive that Roman Abramovich had for success. Thomas Tuchel is looking for goalscorers as the Romelu Lukaku experiment did not work in 2021-22. Of the top four teams, Chelsea have the most question marks around them.
Manchester United Top 4 Odds
Manchester United's Erik ten Hag era kicks off this summer with the Dutchman attempting an Ajax style revolution. Ten Hag had gobs of success in Amsterdam, but he now takes over a team that hasn't won the Premier League since 2013. Manchester United's title and trophy drought is reminiscent of archrivals Liverpool in the 1990s and 2000s.
The Red Devils missed out on the Champions League qualification places last season by finishing sixth. It was an up and down season that saw the club sack Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and replace him with interim coach Ralf Rangnick. Man United won just won of their last six games in the league and limped to Europa League qualification.
A lot of work must be done at Old Trafford this offseason to achieve a top four place. The club cannot just throw money at the problem, because the issues go far deeper.
Arsenal Top 4 Odds
Arsenal have thrown money around in the last few seasons as Mikel Arteta attempts to turn the Gunners into the London version of Man City. Arsenal need goalscorers, which is something they are in the market for.
Yet, it isn't just a striker or two that Arteta needs. He has built Arsenal into a side that relies on attacking midfielders to score goals. Although the rumours of Arsenal sacking Arteta are quieted for now, if they get off to a bad start in 2022-23, it will be the door for the manager.
Arsenal are at the best betting odds of 2/1 to finish in the top four. It was difficult to see archrival Tottenham finish fourth last term. The Gunners will want nothing more than to replace Spurs in the Champions League qualification spots.
Tottenham Top 4 Odds
Spurs turned it on in the second half of the season under Antonio Conte. The Italian manager is still piecing together the squad he wants in north London. Conte has won league titles and top four battles before. He is tactically astute and Spurs should push Man City and Liverpool in the title race this season.
Tottenham are at the best betting odds of 10/11 to finish in the top four. Based on the squad Conte already has and the players coming in this offseason, Spurs should be nailed on for a top four finish. Last season, Spurs defeated Man City twice and drew twice with Liverpool.
Surprise Top 4 Chances?
West Ham's chances of making the top four depend on a few factors. The Hammers had a small squad that was stretched in the second half of the 2021-22 season. West Ham will play Europa Conference League football next term. If David Moyes does not address the squad size and sign a quality striker, then West Ham will finish away from the top four.
Newcastle United are an interesting club. The Magpies have millions (billions?) of pounds at their disposal. So far, they have spent the money wisely, but no big names have been signed this offseason. Newcastle United need to add quality to the squad to have a top four chance.
Leicester City could show some signs of top four life. Yet, in the last few seasons, with Champions League qualification possible, the Foxes fell off the pace at the last minute.
Will One of the Promoted Teams Get Top 4?
It is highly unlikely that one of the three recently promoted teams will achieve a top four finish. Bournemouth have the longest odds to finish in the top four places. There isn't a lot of hope from bookies that the Cherries can play consistent, top four football.
The three promoted teams will be focused on consolidating their places in the division. Fulham have been a yo yo club in recent campaigns. Marco Silva will want to establish the Cottagers as a top flight club. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest are back in the Premier League for the first time in over 20 years. Manager Steve Cooper will be focused on finishing anywhere outside of the relegation zone.
Make no mistake, the 2022-23 season in the Premier League will be difficult for the trio of promoted teams. While the rest of the league are established in the top flight, Fulham, Bournemouth, and Nottingham Forest are playing catch up.
Will Newcastle Challenge for the Top 4?
This is the big question going into the 2022-23 Premier League season. The Magpies have spent money wisely thus far. Even with mega rich owners, Newcastle United have spent well and are not throwing money at the problems - at least not yet.
Newcastle United are more likely to battle for a Europa Conference League or Europa League place. Sure, they will be difficult to defeat, like Aston Villa, yet, it looks too early for the Magpies to become a top four side.
The St James Park club showed quality under manager Eddie Howe last season. Newcastle went from the bottom of the table when Howe arrived to 11th in the final standings. The Magpies won't spend money wildly. There seems to be a plan in place to build the team slowly over time to become a winner. It may take a few seasons, but Newcastle could turn the English top flight into a league with seven extremely strong, rich clubs.
Which Teams Got Top 4 Last Season?
In 2021-22, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea, and Tottenham finished in the Premier League top four. Tottenham edged out Arsenal in the end by just two points. Meanwhile, Man City won the league by just one point over Liverpool.
Which Teams Just Missing Out on Top 4 Last Season?
Last season, Arsenal and Manchester United just missed out on the top four places. Arsenal finished two points behind Tottenham in the final standings. A 3-0 loss to Tottenham and 2-0 loss to Newcastle United on the penultimate day of the season ended their chances of finishing ahead of Spurs.
Manchester United, on the other hand, finished 13 points off of the top four. The Red Devils struggled down the stretch and won just one of their last six games in the league. By the end of the campaign, there was a large points gap between the top four and sixth place.
Which Team Has Qualified for the Champions League the most times?
Manchester United have appeared in the Champions League the most times of all English clubs. The Red Devils' success in the 1990s and 2000s under Sir Alex Ferguson enabled them to achieve this distinction.
Manchester United hold the record for the most English title wins as well. The Red Devils have won 20 English top flight titles. Thirteen of Man United's titles have come in the Premier League era. Unfortunately for Red Devils fans, they have not lifted a Premier League trophy since 2013. The club's final league title coincided with Ferguson retiring from management.
What Happens to the Teams That Just Miss Out on Top 4?
Teams that just miss out on the top four qualify for the Europa League and Europa Conference League for the next campaign. In 2022-23, Arsenal and Manchester United will compete in the UEFA Europa League. Meanwhile, West Ham will play in the UEFA Europa League.
The Europa League and Europa Conference League are considered alternatives to the Champions League, yet the two tournaments do not offer the same prestige as the European Cup.
Premier League Outright Winner Odds
English Premier League betting odds for the outright markets are in. Bookies have Man City and Liverpool as No. 1 and No. 2 in the odds. Yet, a sneaky London team has emerged as third favourite thanks to some excellent offseason transfer business. Could this season be a three horse race?
Here are the latest Premier League title odds for 2022-23:
- Man City 8/13
- Liverpool 5/2
- Chelsea 16/1
- Tottenham 18/1
- Manchester United 28/1
- Arsenal 66/1
- Newcastle United 100/1
- West Ham 225/1
- Aston Villa 250/1
- Leicester City 250/1
- Brighton 250/1
- Everton 500/1
- Crystal Palace 500/1
- Wolverhampton 500/1
- Leeds United 750/1
- Southampton 750/1
- Brentford 750/1
- Fulham 1000/1
- Nottingham Forest 1500/1
- Bournemouth 2000/1