Aston Villa vs Brighton Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 30th September 2023

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Aston Villa enjoy home advantage, when visitors Brighton swing by on Saturday for a Premier League clash.

Aston Villa are sixth in the rankings with 12 points after six matches played , whereas Brighton rank third in the Premier League on 15 points.

Although outsiders on Saturday, Brighton will be highly motivated to at least keep their current gap in the Premier League table to home side Aston Villa.

When it comes to goal-scoring Aston Villa could be more prolific, scoring 17 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.7 goals per game in which, they conceded 14 times. This is an average of 1.4 a game, achieving a clean sheet in two games.

Brighton scored an average of 2.4 goals in ten matches for a total of 24 goals. They also conceded 16 goals or an average of 1.6 per game, as they managed zero clean sheets.

Aston Villa won the last two meetings against Brighton, as they followed up a 2-1 win by beating their upcoming opponent by a 2-1 score.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction

Aston Villa Form

Aston Villa are currently performing inconsistently, as they lost against Legia Warszawa by a 3-2 score, before winning 0-1 against Chelsea. They lost again in their most recent match, this time 1-2 against Everton. Aston Villa swept all opposition aside in the six most recent Premier League matches at their home ground. They won all six, adding 18 points to their account, whilst scoring 15 and conceding three goals.

Brighton Form

Brighton are inconsistent at the moment, with two defeats and a win to show from their last three matches. They lost 2-3 against AEK Athen, won 3-1 against Bournemouth, before dropping points again in a 1-0 defeat against Chelsea. Brighton managed a decent return of three wins in their last six Premier League away matches, in which they scored 13 while also conceding 11 times. They also experienced zero draws and three defeats.

Aston Villa and Brighton seem a fairly equal pairing right now, with not a lot to separate the two sides. As such, going for a draw in the betting market seem worth a punt.

Aston Villa have taken three points from their last three games against teams from the top half of the Premier League table. They won one of these matches with a scoreline of four goals to nine. Aston Villa are yet to play a draw this season, in stead recording four wins and two defeats in the Premier League. Brighton enjoy a record of five wins, zero draws and one defeat in the Premier League.

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Aston Villa vs Brighton Stats

  • Aston Villa have scored in the last 18 home matches in a row
  • Aston Villa have not lost the last 12 home matches in a row
  • Aston Villa have won 11 of the last 12 home matches
  • In 11 of the last 12 Aston Villa matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • Aston Villa have won the last 4 home matches in a row while scoring more than 2.5 goals
  • Brighton have scored in the last 30 matches in a row
  • Brighton have scored in the last 23 away matches in a row
  • In 14 of the last 15 matches Brighton played, both teams scored
  • In the last 7 Brighton matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In 9 of the last 10 Brighton away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5

Aston Villa vs Brighton Squads

Aston Villa Squad

The 51-year-old coach of the home team, Unai Emery, will select the lineup against Brighton from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Premier League this season:

Emiliano Martinez (0/5), Robin Olsen (0/1), Alex Moreno (0/0), Calum Chambers (0/0), Clement Lenglet (0/0), Diego Carlos (0/4), Ezri Konsa (0/6), Leander Dendoncker (0/2), Lucas Digne (0/6), Matty Cash (2/6), Pau Torres (0/6), Tyrone Mings (0/1), Boubacar Kamara (0/6), Douglas Luiz (2/6), Emiliano Buendia (0/0), Jacob Ramsey (0/1), John McGinn (1/6), Nicolo Zaniolo (0/4), Youri Tielemans (0/6), Bertrand Traore (0/1), Jhon Duran (2/5), Leon Bailey (2/5), Moussa Diaby (2/6), Ollie Watkins (1/6).

Brighton Squad

Here is the full squad of the away team. The 44 year-old Brighton manager De Zerbi will select his starting XI from these players:

Bart Verbruggen (0/3), Jason Steele (0/3), Thomas McGill (0/0), Adam Webster (0/3), Igor (0/0), Jan Paul van Hecke (0/3), Joel Veltman (0/6), Lewis Dunk (0/6), Pervis Estupinan (1/5), Tariq Lamptey (0/3), Adam Lallana (0/4), Billy Gilmour (0/6), Carlos Baleba (0/1), Facundo Buonanotte (0/1), Jakub Moder (0/0), James Milner (0/5), Julio Enciso (0/2), Kaoru Mitoma (3/6), Mahmoud Dahoud (0/5), Pascal Gross (2/5), Solly March (3/4), Ansu Fati (0/2), Danny Welbeck (1/5), Evan Ferguson (4/6), Joao Pedro (2/6), Simon Adingra (1/5).

Aston Villa vs Brighton Team News

At the time of writing, Aston Villa have four players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Brighton this coming Saturday.

Diego Carlos, Bertrand Traore, Tyrone Mings and Emiliano Buendia are missing from the squad, Aston Villa will field against Brightonon Saturday.

Brighton have three on the list of injured and absent players before their next match against Aston Villa this coming Saturday.

Brighton need to do without James Milner, Pascal Gross and Jakub Moder, who are not fit enough to travel to Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Lineups

Aston Villa vs Brighton H2H

Aston Villa hope to extend their grip on Brighton, whom they outclassed in their last two meetings, winning 2-1 and 2-1, respectively. Aston Villa tend to have the upper hand against Brighton, grabbing all three points five times in eight matches. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 16/11.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Results

In the last eight matches between Aston Villa and Brighton, both teams to score came up five times.

Aston Villa vs Brighton Betting Tips

Leon Bailey is the most prolific Premier League marksman for the home team, scoring twice recently. Brighton look to Evan Ferguson, hoping he can add to his current total of four Premier League goals in his latest games.

Aston Villa collected eight wins, drew one and lost one in the 10 most games across all tournaments at Villa Park. Brighton won five of their previous 10 away, drew zero and lost five times. In their previous 10 away games Brighton scored the opening goal five times, with Aston Villa getting the first goal in eight of their last 10 games on home soil.

In the past eight encounters between Aston Villa and Brighton over 2.5 goals came out four times, with Aston Villa scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game. Brighton averaged 0.77 goals, while both teams scored five times. There were over 2.5 goals scored in nine of Aston Villa’s previous ten matches across all tournaments. They scored an average of 2.3 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in eight of the last ten outings for Brighton, who managed to score 2.2 times in those matches.

Tips

Aston Villa to win

While it might not be a big surprise to see Brighton steal a good result at Villa Park, form nevertheless looks better for Aston Villa. They get the nod this coming Saturday.

Draw

Aston Villa and Brighton looks like an equal pairing, and since it's difficult to separate one from the other currently, we wouldn't be surprised by a draw.