Aston Villa vs Leeds Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 21st February 2026

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When Leeds come to Villa Park for the Premier League match on Saturday, Aston Villa will be hoping to use their home advantage to their advantage.

Aston Villa are third in the Premier League standings after collecting 50 points from their initial 26 encounters. Leeds trail them on 30 points after 26 rounds, leaving them as number 15 in the table.

Aston Villa took down Leeds in their most recent meeting, and bookmakers deem another win for the home side a likely scenario this coming Saturday.

Aston Villa go into their next Premier League match, scoring a humble average of 1.2 per game in their last ten matches. They scored a mundane 12 times, while conceding ten. That amounts to an average of one per game, where they kept their opponents from scoring three times.

Leeds travel to their next away match this coming Saturday having performed a tolerable average of 1.6 goals in ten matches. They scored a total of 16 goals, whilst shipping 15 goals against. An average of 1.5 goals against a game. They hung on to two clean sheets in this streak.

The Villans had a good reading on Leeds in their last two meetings, which they won by 2-1 and 2-1, respectively.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction

Aston Villa Form

Aston Villa have seen it all in their last three matches, which added four points to their account. They first shared the points in a 1-1 draw with Bournemouth, before claiming 3 points in a 1-0 win against Brighton. Unfortunately for them, this was followed by a 1-3 defeat at the hands of Newcastle. It has been a bit hit-and-miss for Aston Villa but at least mostly hit, as they put four wins on the board in their previous six Premier League matches. They didn't draw any matches, but lost twice, scoring eight goals while conceding five.

Leeds Form

Leeds currently look solid after going three matches unbeaten. They laid the groundworks by beating Nottingham Forest with a 3-1 scoreline, before settling for a draw in a 2-2 game against Chelsea. Their latest match once again had them draw, this time 1-1 against Birmingham. Leeds are winless in their last six away games in the Premier League, in which they drew five and lost one. They conceded nine goals while scoring eight themselves.

The way Aston Villa are performing right, a home win looks the most likely outcome, when Leeds swing by. The visitors don't seem to possess enough stability currently to prevent the home side from a win.

Aston Villa scored 22 goals and conceded 14 in their last 12 games against teams from the bottom half of the Premier League table. They collected 29 points and nine victories. Leeds claimed one wins and seven points in their last nine games against teams from the top six. They scored 12 times in these matches, but also conceded 21 goals. Aston Villa claimed 15 wins, five draws as well as six defeats in the Premier League this season. Leeds are looking at seven wins, nine draws and ten defeats in the Premier League.

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Aston Villa vs Leeds Stats

  • In the last 6 Aston Villa matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • In the last 3 Aston Villa home matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 1.5
  • In 8 of the last 9 Aston Villa matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In the last 6 Aston Villa matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 6 of the last 7 Aston Villa matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
  • In the last 3 Leeds matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In the last 3 Leeds matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In the last 3 Leeds matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In the last 3 Leeds matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 3 of the last 4 Leeds away matches the sum of goals was over 3.5

Aston Villa vs Leeds Squads

Aston Villa Squad

The 54-year-old coach of the home team, Unai Emery, will select the lineup against Leeds from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Premier League this season:

Emiliano Martinez (0/22), Marco Bizot (0/5), Rhys Oakley (0/0), Ronnie Hollingshead (0/0), Ezri Konsa (0/25), Ian Maatsen (0/20), Lamare Bogarde (0/21), Lucas Digne (0/23), Matty Cash (3/24), Pau Torres (0/15), Tyrone Mings (0/10), Victor Lindelof (0/12), Yeimar Mosquera (0/0), Amadou Onana (2/17), Boubacar Kamara (1/18), Douglas Luiz (0/11), Emiliano Buendia (5/24), Harvey Elliott (0/5), John McGinn (3/22), Leon Bailey (0/4), Mohamed Kone (0/0), Ross Barkley (1/9), Youri Tielemans (0/17), Alysson Edward (0/1), Andres Garcia (0/2), Brian Madjo (0/0), Jadon Sancho (0/15), Morgan Rogers (8/26), Ollie Watkins (8/25), Tammy Abraham (0/3).

Leeds Squad

Here is the full team squad of Leeds. The 49 year-old Daniel Farke will select his starting lineup from the following players:

Alex Cairns (0/0), Illan Meslier (0/0), Karl Darlow (0/10), Lucas Perri (0/16), Gabriel Gudmundsson (0/25), James Justin (1/17), Jayden Bogle (1/24), Joe Rodon (2/24), Pascal Struijk (0/23), Sam Byram (0/1), Sebastiaan Bornauw (0/9), Anton Stach (3/21), Ao Tanaka (2/20), Brenden Aaronson (4/25), Charlie Crew (0/0), Daniel James (0/12), Ethan Ampadu (1/23), Facundo Buonanotte (0/3), Ilia Gruev (0/17), Jaka Bijol (1/13), Sean Longstaff (1/16), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (10/23), Joel Piroe (0/11), Lee Erwin (0/0), Lukas Nmecha (6/20), Noah Okafor (4/23), Wilfried Gnonto (0/14).

Aston Villa vs Leeds Team News

At the time of writing, Leeds just have two players on the injured and absent list, as they prepare for their match this coming Saturday. Joe Rodon and Dominic Calvert-Lewin racked up too many penalty points and won't be in the Leeds travelling party for their next match.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Lineups

Aston Villa vs Leeds H2H

Aston Villa had a good reading on Leeds in their last two meetings, which they won by 2-1 and 2-1, respectively. Aston Villa hold a 5-3-2 advantage against Leeds from their latest encounters. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 8/11.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Results

In the last ten matches between Aston Villa and Leeds over 2.5 goals came out four times. Odds on at least three goals are at 4/5 with bookies.

Aston Villa vs Leeds Betting Tips

Despite having scored only one times in his last 6 league matches, Ollie Watkins has actually netted eight goals during this Premier League season. He will surely want to add some more until the end of the campaign, and the upcoming match against outsiders Leeds should be a good opportunity for him to improve on his recent goalscoring ratio. In short, siding with Ollie Watkins to add another goal this season should be a bet to consider.

Aston Villa claimed seven wins in their previous 10 matches at Villa Park across all tournaments. They lost three as well, while visitors Leeds won one of their last 10 away matches. They drew six and lost three. Strap yourselves up for a goals at Villa Park since both teams scored in six of the last 10 home matches for Aston Villa. The same occurred in nine of the last 10 league games away from home for Leeds.

Both teams scored four times in the last ten encounters between Aston Villa and Leeds, while over 2.5 goals came out six times. Aston Villa scored 1.4 goals on average, while Leeds pulled 1.1 goals on average. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of Aston Villa’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.1 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of Leeds's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 1.5 goals in these matches.

Tips

Aston Villa to win

Aston Villa look in strong shape, while Leeds don't look quite as convincing, which makes betting on the home win a no-brainer in this match.