Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 10th July 2024

When Bahia come to Independencia for the Serie A match on Thursday, Athletico Paranaense will be hoping to use their home advantage to their advantage.
Athletico Paranaense are number 6 in the table on 25 points after 15 matches. Bahia rank as number 5 with 27 points after 15 matches played.
Entering the match this coming Thursday as favourite, Athletico Paranaense will be looking to squeeze past Bahia in the Serie A table with a win. While not an impossible task, the visitors are of course highly motivated to at least maintain the current gap.
Athletico Paranaense are relatively average in the art of goal-scoring these days. They scored a steady 12 goals in their previous ten matches, for an average of 1.2 per game. They simultaneously allowed their opponents ten goals, or an average of one a game. Furthermore, they fought their way to two clean sheets in this run.
Bahia are currently decent goalscorers, as they managed a bearable 15 goals in the past ten outings for an average of 1.5 goals a game. Their opponents scored a total of 12 goals, and while Bahia claimed three clean sheets, they conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match.
Athletico Paranaense and Bahia had to settle for a draw each in their most recent match, which finished with a 1-1 scoreline. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 5/2.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Prediction
Athletico Paranaense Form
Athletico Paranaense beat Vitoria by 0-1, lost 1-2 against Sao Paulo, before defeating Atletico GO 1-2. Athletico Paranaense won three of their previous six matches at Independencia in the Serie A. They drew two and suffered one defeats, scoring eight goals to five against.
Ambitions are high for Athletico Paranaense, and winning the title is still possible, but they need to raise their level to achieve the highest prize.
Bahia Form
It is all or nothing with Bahia, who only triumphed once in their previous three outings. They were defeated 3-1 against Sao Paulo, before beating Juventude 2-0. Unable to build on that, they lost 2-0 against Palmeiras. Bahia claimed just one win from the last six away games in the Serie A. They also drew two and were defeated three times, as they were outscored by 11 goals to seven.
They are one of only a few teams capable of taking the title in the Serie A, and Bahia currently remain on course.
Bahia and Athletico Paranaense always seem to tread carefully, when taking on each other, and history makes under 2.5 goals the call on Thursday.
Athletico Paranaense earned five points from their last four matches against teams inside the top 6. They claimed one wins, following five goals scored while also conceding four. Bahia scored 11 goals and conceded 11 in their last seven games against teams from the top half of the Serie A table. This earned them four wins and 12 points. Athletico Paranaense claimed seven wins, four draws as well as four defeats in the Serie A this season. Bahia enjoy a record of eight wins, three draws and four defeats in the Serie A.
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Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Stats
- Athletico Paranaense have scored in 36 of the last 37 home matches in the Serie A
- Athletico Paranaense have not lost 26 of the last 28 home matches in the Serie A
- In 21 of the last 23 Athletico Paranaense matches in the Serie A, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 16 of the last 18 Athletico Paranaense matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 11 of the last 13 Athletico Paranaense matches in the Serie A, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- Bahia have scored in 38 of the last 40 matches
- Bahia have conceded in the last 17 away matches in a row in the Serie A
- Bahia have scored in the last 16 matches in a row in the Serie A
- In the last 9 away matches in a row Bahia played in the Serie A, both teams scored
- Bahia have scored in 20 of the last 22 away matches
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Squads
Athletico Paranaense Squad
The 44-year-old coach of the home team, Juca, will select the lineup against Bahia from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season:
Bento Krepski (0/7), Emersonn (0/0), Gabriel Pereira (0/0), Leonardo Linck (0/7), Mycael (0/2), Felipinho (0/6), Fernando (0/4), Kaique Rocha (0/15), Leonardo Godoy (1/12), Luan Patrick (0/0), Lucas Belezi (0/0), Lucas Esquivel (0/14), Madson (0/12), Marcos Andre Paulino Maia (0/0), Thiago Heleno (0/11), Alex Santana (0/4), Andrey (0/0), Bernardo Benitez (0/0), Bruno Zapelli (0/14), Christian Cardoso (1/10), Diogo Riquelme (0/0), Erick (1/15), Fernandinho (2/14), Gabriel (0/3), Jader Barbosa (0/0), Mateo Gamarra (0/6), Nikao (1/9), Tomas Cuello (1/10), Ze Vitor (0/0), Agustin Canobbio (2/6), Dudu (0/0), Gonzalo Mastriani (4/11), Julimar (0/0), Kayke Evaristo (0/0), Lucas Di Yorio (1/5), Pablo (2/13), Petterson (0/0), Renan (0/0).
Bahia Squad
Here is the full team squad of Bahia. The 51 year-old Rogerio Ceni will select his starting lineup from the following players:
Adriel Ramos (0/0), Danilo Fernandes (0/0), Gabriel Souza (0/0), Marcos Felipe (0/15), Tiago Gomes (0/0), Cicinho (0/4), Gabriel Xavier (0/14), Gilberto Junior (1/8), Kanu (0/11), Luciano (0/15), Marcos Victor (0/0), Nicolas Acevedo (0/0), Ryan Santos (0/0), Santiago Arias (0/7), Victor Leandro Cuesta (0/4), Vitor Hugo (0/0), Biel (0/0), Caio Alexandre (2/15), Carlos De Pena (0/14), Cauly (2/15), David Duarte (0/0), Diego Rosa (0/0), Everaldo (5/15), Everton Ribeiro (0/15), Gabriel Teixeira (0/0), Jean Lucas (1/15), Rezende (0/12), Ricardo Goulart (0/0), Thaciano (4/14), Yago (0/3), Ademir Santos (1/14), Lucas Aruba (0/0), Oscar Estupinan (3/11), Rafael Ratao (1/3).
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Team News
At the time of writing, Athletico Paranaense have five players on their injured and absent list as they prepare to meet Bahia this coming Thursday. Athletico Paranaense have to alter their line-up, as both Lucas Esquivel, Agustin Canobbio, Bento Krepski and Leonardo Linck get a day in the shade.
Athletico Paranaense are unable to field Fernando this coming Thursday against Bahia, as he is sidelined with an injury.
Bahia just have a single unavailable player for squad selection, when facing Athletico Paranaense at the Independencia. Santiago Arias is ineligible for selection in the Bahia squad, as he is suspended.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Lineups
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia H2H
Betting on the draw would have earned you a sound profit the last time Athletico Paranaense played Bahia. The pair finished even in a 1-1 match, where no one managed to get the upper hand. Athletico Paranaense hold a 5-2-3 advantage against Bahia from their latest encounters. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 21/20.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Results
Recent meetings between Athletico Paranaense and visiting side Bahia might have been action-packed, but not rich on goals. Backing under 2.5 goals was a winning bet no less than eight times in the last ten matches. Under 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 4/5 with the bookies.
Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Betting Tips
Julimar is the most prolific Serie A marksman for the home team, scoring twice recently. Bahia look to Oscar Estupinan, hoping he can add to his current total of three Serie A goals in his latest games.
Athletico Paranaense won five of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Independencia. They drew two and lost three as well, while Bahia won two of their last 10 games away. They drew three and lost five. Bahia have been generous visitors, since they pulled only once clean sheet in their previous 10 away games. Athletico Paranaense managedfour clean sheets in their previous 10 matches played at home.
Both teams not to score was a winning bet seven times in the last ten encounters between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia. Under 2.5 goals came out eight times in these with Athletico Paranaense managing an average of one goal, and Bahia 0.7 goals a game. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of Athletico Paranaense’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of one goal during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of Bahia's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 1.6 goals in these matches.