Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 29th April 2026

Arsenal travel to Riyadh Air Metropolitano to face Atletico Madrid this coming Wednesday for the first of two meetings in Semi Finals round of qualifying for the Champions League.
Booking their place in this round was not without its problems for Atletico Madrid, who lost the second leg against Barcelona in the round Quarter Finals. A comfortable win in the first leg turned out to be enough to see them through, though, with an aggregate score of 3-2. Arsenal managed to get to this stage with an aggregate score of 1-0 after defeating Sporting CP in the Quarter Finals round.
Having managed to defeat Sporting CP in the previous round, Arsenal have been called out as favourites by the bookmakers for a win in this first leg match at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Against Atletico Madrid it does appear to be an even match-up on paper, though, and the home side could easily turn out to be too strong for Arsenal. At least with the crowd behind them this coming Wednesday.
Atletico Madrid scored 24 goals on average in their previous ten matches in this tournament, hitting the target 24 times. They conceded 17 goals as well, an average of 1.7 and pulled off one clean sheets.
The Gunners are brimming with confidence in front of goal before the upcoming match in the Champions League, as they show off very handsome numbers from their previous ten games. They scored 2.3 on average per match, for a total of 23 goals in this tournament. They also let in five goals, leaving an average of 0.5 per match. Furthermore, they fought their way to a clean sheet six times.
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction
Atletico Madrid Form
Their last three matches saw Atletico Madrid drawing 2-2 with Real Sociedad, losing 3-2 against Elche before beating Athletic Club by 3-2. It has been a bit hit-and-miss for Atletico Madrid but at least mostly hit, as they put four wins on the board in their previous six Champions League matches. They didn't draw any matches, but lost twice, scoring 16 goals while conceding nine.
Arsenal Form
In their last three matches, Arsenal drew 0-0 with Sporting CP, lost 2-1 against Manchester City and beat Newcastle 1-0. Arsenal recorded no less than five in their previous six Champions League away matches, as well drawing once and losing none. They hit the target 13 themselves while allowing two goals against.
Atletico Madrid and Arsenal seem a fairly equal pairing right now, with not a lot to separate the two sides. As such, going for a draw in the betting market seem worth a punt.
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Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Stats
- In 25 of the last 27 Atletico Madrid matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 14 Atletico Madrid home matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Atletico Madrid home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Atletico Madrid matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Atletico Madrid have lost 5 of the last 6 matches and the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 11 Arsenal matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 7 of the last 8 Arsenal away matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 4 Arsenal matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 5 Arsenal away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 8 Arsenal matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- Atletico Madrid have scored in 4 of the last 5 matches versus Arsenal
- Atletico Madrid have conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches versus Arsenal
- Atletico Madrid have not lost 3 of the last 4 matches versus Arsenal
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Team News
Arsenal face a list of four absentees from the squad ahead of their next match this coming Wednesday against Atletico Madrid. Myles Lewis-Skelly, Christian Noergaard, Declan Rice and Leandro Trossard racked up too many penalty points and won't be in the Arsenal travelling party for their next match.
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal H2H
The last time these two teams clashed, The Gunners emerged victorious by a 4-0 score. Are we in for a similar outcome on Wednesday? Entering the clash against Arsenal at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Atletico Madrid have a 2-1-2 record in their past five encounters against their upcoming visitors.
Both teams found the back of the net in three of the last five matches between Atletico Madrid and Arsenal.
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Results
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal Betting Tips
Julian Alvarez has five strikes in six Champions League matches for Atletico Madrid, who will be relying on his services, when clashing with Arsenal. The visitors are looking to Kai Havertz, who has provided his team with three Champions League goals.
Atletico Madrid were able to win seven of their previous 10 home games across all tournaments, while drawing one of the games. They suffered defeat in two of these outings. Arsenal won five of their last 10 games away, drew three and suffered defeat in two of them. Atletico Madrid managed twowins without conceding a goal in their previous 10 matches at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Over 2.5 goals came out two times in the last five encounters between these two teams. Atletico Madrid managed an average of 0.8 goals, with Arsenal averaging 1.6 goals in these games. Both teams to score was a winning bet three times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals came out eight times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Atletico Madrid, who scored an average of 1.7 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of the last ten outings for Arsenal, who managed to score one time in those matches.