Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 27th September 2025

Atletico Madrid play host to Real Madrid, when the local rivals team up for another spicy derby in LaLiga this coming Saturday at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Atletico Madrid are number 8 in the table on nine points after six matches. Real Madrid rank as number 1 with 18 points after six matches played.
A match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid has been such an equal encounter lately, that none of their last three matches produced a winner. This has the look of a match which could be decided by the odds mistake.
Atletico Madrid are confident they will be scoring goals in their next assignment in the LaLiga, as they show off very admirable numbers from their past ten matches. The hosts scored 2.1 goals on average per match, or 21 goals in total, while allowing ten goals against, for an average of one per outing. They managed three clean sheets along the way.
Real Madrid scored 23 goals, conceded eight and held on for a clean sheet in five of their last ten matches.
Betting on the draw would have earned you a sound profit the last time Atletico Madrid played Real Madrid. The pair finished even in a 1-1 match, where no one managed to get the upper hand.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction
Atletico Madrid Form
Atletico Madrid have seen it all in their last three matches. First, they went down 3-2 against Liverpool, before picking up a 1-1 draw against Mallorca. Their latest match brought a 3-2 win in their encounter with Rayo Vallecano. Atletico Madrid won five of their last six LaLiga matches at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, scoring 17 and conceding four along they way. They also drew once as they remained without defeat.
Atletico Madrid were spoken of as contenders for a title, but current form has them running a little behind in the LaLiga.
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid look fabulous with three wins on the trot, starting off against Marseille, who were defeated by 2-1. Then, Espanyol got outclassed in a 2-0 win, before beating Levante by 1-4. Real Madrid recorded no less than five in their previous six LaLiga away matches, as well losing once and drawing none. They hit the target 15 themselves while allowing six goals against.
Spoken of as title contenders, Real Madrid are currently doing a good job of living up to the hype in the LaLiga this season.
Curiously enough, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid played out a draw in their three latest matches against each other. Clearly, the draw is the value bet, when they face each other again.
Atletico Madrid won one matches, scored five goals and conceded four in their last four games against teams from the top half of the LaLiga table. This earned them five points. Atletico Madrid lost just once so far this season in the LaLiga and after six games played they recorded two wins and three draws Real Madrid are looking at six wins, zero draws and zero defeats in the LaLiga.
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Stats
- In 8 of the last 9 Atletico Madrid matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Atletico Madrid have won 5 of the last 6 home matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 7 of the last 9 Atletico Madrid matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 4 Atletico Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 5 Atletico Madrid matches in the LaLiga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Real Madrid have won 8 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won the last 6 matches in a row while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Real Madrid have won 7 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga while scoring less than 2.5 goals
- In 8 of the last 9 Real Madrid away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Real Madrid have won 8 of the last 9 matches in the LaLiga and the sum of goals was under 3.5
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Squads
Atletico Madrid Squad
The 55-year-old coach of the home team, Diego Simeone, will select the lineup against Real Madrid from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the LaLiga this season:
Bernabe Barragan (0/0), Jan Oblak (0/6), Juan Musso (0/0), Clement Lenglet (0/3), David Hancko (0/6), Javi Galan (0/3), Jose Gimenez (0/0), Marc Pubill (0/2), Nahuel Molina (0/3), Robin Le Normand (0/6), Conor Gallagher (1/6), Johnny Cardoso (0/3), Koke (0/5), Marcos Llorente (0/6), Matteo Ruggeri (0/6), Pablo Barrios (1/6), Thiago Almada (0/3), Alejandro Baena (0/1), Alexander Soerloth (1/5), Antoine Griezmann (0/6), Carlos Martin (0/0), Giacomo Raspadori (0/5), Giuliano Simeone (1/6), Julian Alvarez (4/6), Nico Gonzalez (1/3).
Real Madrid Squad
Listed below is the full squad of Real Madrid players that the manager Xabi Alonso will choose from for the upcoming game:
Andriy Lunin (0/0), Fran Gonzalez (0/0), Thibaut Courtois (0/6), Alvaro Carreras (0/6), Antonio Rüdiger (0/1), Daniel Carvajal (0/5), David Alaba (0/2), Dean Huijsen (0/5), Eder Militao (1/4), Ferland Mendy (0/0), Francisco Garcia (0/2), Raul Asencio (0/3), Trent Alexander-Arnold (0/4), Aurelien Tchouameni (0/6), Brahim Diaz (0/5), Daniel Ceballos (0/5), Eduardo Camavinga (0/2), Federico Valverde (0/6), Jude Bellingham (0/2), Arda Guler (2/6), Endrick (0/0), Franco Mastantuono (1/5), Gonzalo Garcia (0/4), Kylian Mbappe (7/6), Rodrygo (0/4), Vinicius Junior (3/6).
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Team News
Real Madrid are juggling with four absent players on this coming Saturday when travelling to Atletico Madrid. Daniel Carvajal is suspended from the Real Madrid squad with too many penalty points to his name.
Real Madrid need to do without Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba, who are not fit enough to travel to Riyadh Air Metropolitano.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Lineups
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid H2H
Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid had to settle for a draw each in their most recent match, which finished with a 1-1 scoreline. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 13/5. Atletico Madrid go into their upcoming match against Real Madrid with a 20% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 2-5-3 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Results
Over 2.5 goals happened only two times in the last ten matches Atletico Madrid took on Real Madrid. Under 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 11/10 with the bookies.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
It is difficult to look past Kylian Mbappe, when searching for a goalscorer, as he is seems in wonderful shape. He hit the target seven times in recent LaLiga matches for Real Madrid, with a total for the season saying seven goals scored in this LaLiga campaign. With four goals lately for Atletico Madrid in the LaLiga, Julian Alvarez is also a player to look out for.
Atletico Madrid claimed seven wins, drew one and lost two of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. Real Madrid won seven, drew zero and lost three of their last 10 games away. Who'll impose themselves on the match first at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Saturday? Atletico Madrid scored the opening goal eight times in 10 home games, while Real Madrid did it in eight of their last 10 away games.
Under 2.5 goals happened eight times in the last ten encounters between these two rivals. Atletico Madrid managed an average of one goal, with Real Madrid averaging 1.2 goals in these. Both teams not to score was a winning bet three times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of Atletico Madrid’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.4 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals were scored in eight of the ten most recent games across all tournaments for Real Madrid. They performed an average of 2.3 goals in these.