Atletico MG vs Gremio Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 17th August 2025

Despite their unconvincing form, Atletico MG stand a good chance of adding three more points to their account in round 20. They face Gremio on Sunday, and they'll be disappointed to miss out on a win at Independencia.

Atletico MG approach round 20 as number 10 in the Serie A table with 24 points on their account so far. With 17 rounds behind them, Gremio have amassed 20 points, placing them as number 15 in the standings.

Atletico MG are looking for revenge after succumbing to a disappointing defeat in the last meeting against Gremio. Judging by the odds from the bookmakers, they have a good chance of making it.

Atletico MG go into their next Serie A match, scoring a humble average of 1.2 per game in their last ten matches. They scored a mundane 12 times, while conceding ten. That amounts to an average of one per game, where they kept their opponents from scoring four times.

Gremio travel to their next Serie A match, averaging a lowly 0.9 goals per game in their last ten matches. They scored a disappointing total of nine goals, while also conceding 12 goals. That amounts to an average of 1.2 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring two times.

Atletico MG were defeated by 2-1 in their last encounter with Gremio, but did win the reverse match 2-1, though.

Atletico MG vs Gremio Prediction

Atletico MG Form

In their last three matches, Atletico MG lost 1-0 against Flamengo, won 2-1 against Red Bull Bragantino, before drawing 1-1 against Vasco da Gama. Atletico MG won four of their past six matches on home soil in the Serie A, where they also drew twice and went undefeated. They scored 14 goals and conceded five times.

Gremio Form

Gremio have only one win in their last three matches, as they did beat Fortaleza by 2-1. Disappointment followed, going down 1-0 against Fluminense, and 0-1 against Sport Recife. Gremio managed to win just once in their past six away games in the Serie A. On top of winning once they also drew one as well as losing four, while scoring nine time and letting in five.

Head-to-head encounters tend to bring out the best in both sides, when it comes to goals. We see no reason for this trend to end here, and we expect an entertaining match once again between Atletico MG and Gremio.

Atletico MG recorded five points following one wins from their last four games against teams placed among the bottom six. They scored five goals, but also conceded five. Gremio scored seven goals and conceded 16 in their last nine encounters with teams in the top half of the Serie A. This lead to two wins and seven points. Atletico MG are looking at a record of six wins, six draws and five defeats in the Serie A this season. Gremio have a record of five wins, five draws and eight defeats in the Serie A.

Atletico MG vs Gremio Squads

Atletico MG Squad

Cuca will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against Gremio from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season):

Everson (0/16), Gabriel Atila (0/0), Gabriel Delfim (0/1), Robert Pinto (0/0), Guilherme Arana (0/7), Junior Alonso (0/17), Lyanco (0/12), Natanael (1/17), Renzo Saravia (0/8), Vitor Hugo (0/5), Alan Franco (0/13), Alexsander Gomes (0/2), Bernard (0/14), Biel (0/3), Caio Paulista (0/7), Dudu (1/7), Fausto Vera (1/8), Gabriel Menino (1/13), Gustavo Scarpa (0/17), Igor Gomes (2/15), Igor Rabello (0/4), Ivan Roman (0/2), Patrick Silva (0/3), Reinier (0/0), Tomas Cuello (1/12), Cadu (0/0), Hulk (4/15), Isaac Aguiar (0/0), Joao Marcelo (0/0), Junior Santos (2/12), Rony (3/16).

Gremio Squad

Here is the full team squad of Gremio. The 63 year-old Mano Menezes will select his starting lineup from the following players:

Gabriel Grando (0/0), Jorge (0/0), Tiago Volpi (0/18), Fabian Balbuena (0/0), Gustavo Martins (1/7), Jemerson (1/9), Joao Lucas (0/0), Luan Candido (0/0), Lucas Esteves (0/6), Luis Eduardo (0/0), Marlon (0/13), Rodrigo Ely (0/0), Viery (0/0), Wagner Leonardo (0/18), Walter Kannemann (0/8), Adilson (0/0), Alex Santana (0/6), Camilo (0/12), Dodi (0/15), Edenilson (1/13), Francis Amuzu (1/10), Franco Cristaldo (0/13), Gabriel (0/0), Gabriel Mec (0/0), Gustavo Cuellar (0/0), Joao Pedro (0/6), Mathias Villasanti (0/15), Miguel Monsalve (0/8), Riquelme Freitas (0/7), Ronald (0/5), Alexander Aravena (1/10), Alysson Edward (0/14), Andre (1/8), Carlos Vinicius (0/0), Cristian Olivera (2/12), Cristian Pavon (0/11), Jardiel da Silva (0/0), Martin Braithwaite (6/15), Nathan (0/2).

Atletico MG vs Gremio Team News

Atletico MG have an almost full squad available against Gremio at Independencia with only one player possibly missing. Alan Franco gets a day off from the Atletico MG squad, as he serves out a suspension.

Atletico MG vs Gremio Lineups

Atletico MG vs Gremio H2H

Atletico MG took a hit when Gremio handed them a 2-1 defeat in their latest encounter. The former did win the reverse match though, as they secured a triumph to their name by claiming a 2-1 win. Look for either side to win this encounter, as they have a tendency not to draw their matches, since only one of the last ten encounters finished all square. Atletico MG won five times, while Gremio ran out winners four times. A home win gets you odds at 8/11 with the bookies, while the best betting odds on an away win are at 4/1.

Atletico MG vs Gremio Results

Under 2.5 goals came out a winning bet only two times in ten matches between Atletico MG and Gremio. Over 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 11/10 with the bookies on Sunday.

Atletico MG vs Gremio Betting Tips

Martin Braithwaite shows decent form right now for Gremio, as he scored two goals in his last six games in the Serie A. The visitors need more from him, though, when facing Atletico MG, who are strong favourites on Sunday. Siding with Hulk also look a nice prospect as he scored three goals in his last six Serie A matches.

Atletico MG claimed a modest six wins from their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. They split the points with the visiting team in two of the games, whilst losing two. Gremio won one of their last 10 games away, drew three and lost six of the games in this run. Should Atletico MG pull off a home win this coming Sunday, it could be an entertaining affair, since they only won two games to nil in their last 10 attempts.

Over 2.5 goals came out eight times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Atletico MG managed an average of 1.9 goals, with Gremio averaging 1.7 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run of matches. Atletico MG saw over 2.5 goals in four of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of one goal during this run. Over 2.5 goals appeared in two of the last ten matches that Gremio played across all tournaments. They scored 0.8 times on average in the process.