Atletico MG vs Palmeiras Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 3rd August 2023
In an entirely Brazilian encounter, Atletico MG welcome rivals Palmeiras for a first leg encounter in the 1/8-finals of the Copa Libertadores. Played out on Thursday they face each other at the Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto.
Atletico MG already had the pleasure of playing another Brazilian side in this tournament. They finished second in the group behind Athletico Paranaense by claiming 10 points along the way.
Palmeiras was the most dominant team in the whole group phase, hammering their way to 15 points from a possible 18. No other side won their group by similar numbers.
Atletico MG only average a modest 1.4 goals per game in their last ten matches in this tournament, in which they scored 14 goals. They also conceded eight for an average of 0.8 per game. They kept their opponents from scoring three times.
Palmeiras scored 20 goals, conceded 11 and fought their way to a clean sheet four times in their last ten games in this tournament.
Naturally, they know each other quite well from playing in the Brazilian Serie A. Atletico MG failed to win any of their previous four home matches against Palmeiras with three finishing a draw.
Atletico MG vs Palmeiras Prediction
Atletico MG Form
In their previous three outings, Atletico MG drew 0-0 with Goias, before losing 1-0 against Gremio and 1-2 against Flamengo. Atletico MG won four of their last six Copa Libertadores matches on home soil, while drawing once and losing once. They conceded six and scored 12 goals.
Palmeiras Form
Palmeiras look well suited to take on any opponent with seven points to show off from three matches. They started off drawing 0-0 with Internacional, before downing first Fortaleza by 3-1, then America MG in a 1-4 win. Palmeiras won half their previous six away matches in the Copa Libertadores, as well as seeing one draw and suffering two defeats. They scored 11 goals whilst conceding six.
Palmeiras and Atletico MG are almost always cautious, when going toe-to-toe with each other, which makes under 2.5 goals the value bet this coming Thursday.
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Atletico MG vs Palmeiras Stats
- In 13 of the last 14 Atletico MG home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Atletico MG have scored in 19 of the last 21 home matches
- Atletico MG have scored in 17 of the last 19 matches
- In 12 of the last 14 Atletico MG matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Atletico MG have not lost 10 of the last 12 home matches
- In 9 of the last 11 Palmeiras away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Palmeiras have conceded in 10 of the last 12 matches
- In 5 of the last 6 Palmeiras away matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- Palmeiras have not won 6 of the last 7 matches
- In 6 of the last 8 Palmeiras matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 3 matches in a row Atletico MG versus Palmeiras played, both teams scored
- Atletico MG have not won the last 4 matches versus Palmeiras in a row
- Atletico MG have drawn 3 of the last 4 matches versus Palmeiras
- Atletico MG have scored in the last 3 matches in a row versus Palmeiras
- Atletico MG have conceded in the last 3 matches in a row versus Palmeiras
Atletico MG vs Palmeiras Team News
Atletico MG seem to only have two players missing from the squad ahead of their upcoming assignment on Thursday.
Guilherme Arana and Igor Rabello nurses various injuries and won't take part for Atletico MG against Palmeiras at Atletico MG's stadium.
Atletico MG vs Palmeiras H2H
Betting on the draw would have earned you a sound profit the last time Atletico MG played Palmeiras. The pair split the points in a 1-1 match, where no one managed to get the upper hand. Palmeiras held the upper hand and managed to stay undefeated against Atletico MG in the past four encounters. As a result of this, their recent h2h record against Atletico MG says 2-6-2.
Punters probably shouldn't go looking for both teams to score when Palmeiras come visiting Atletico MG. Of their last ten matches "both teams not to score" came out a winning bet six times. Odds on both teams not to score are best priced at 4/5 with the bookies.
Atletico MG vs Palmeiras Results
Atletico MG vs Palmeiras Betting Tips
Paulinho look like value in the goal scoring market with three strikes to his name in six Copa Libertadores matches. The visitors are crossing their fingers Artur Guimaraes adds to his five Copa Libertadores goals come this coming Thursday.
Atletico MG were able to win five of their previous 10 home games across all tournaments, while drawing three of the games. They suffered defeat in two of these outings. Palmeiras won three of their last 10 games away, drew four and suffered defeat in three of them. Atletico MG have been ready from the outset, scoring the opening goal no less than eight times in their previous 10 outings at Atletico MG's stadium. The visitors scored the first goal of the game in four of their last 10 games away from home.
Under 2.5 goals paid up eight times in the ten encounters most recent meetings between Palmeiras and Atletico MG. Both teams to not score was a winning punt six times. Atletico MG managed an average of one goal, with Palmeiras averaging 0.7 goals in these. Atletico MG saw over 2.5 goals in three of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 0.8 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of the last ten outings for Palmeiras, who managed to score 1.5 times in those matches.