Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 12th July 2024

Atletico MG welcome Sao Paulo on Friday in the Serie A, with the host motivated by the possibility of closing the gap in the table on the visitors. On the other hand, the latter could distance themselves even further with a win in this exciting round 16 match.

Atletico MG are placed 12th with 18 points after 13 matches. Sao Paulo occupy a position as fourth in the league on 27 points.

Atletico MG took down Sao Paulo in their most recent meeting, and bookmakers deem another win for the home side a likely scenario on Friday.

When it comes to goal-scoring Atletico MG could be more prolific, scoring 16 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.6 goals per game in which, they conceded 19 times. This is an average of 1.9 a game, achieving a clean sheet in one games.

Sao Paulo scored 16 goals, conceded 11 and managed three clean sheets in their previous ten matches.

Atletico MG had a good reading on Sao Paulo in their last two meetings, which they won by 2-0 and 2-1, respectively.

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Atletico MG Form

They came away from their last three matches with a mix of results, as Atletico MG beat Internacional 1-2, followed by a 1-1 draw against Atletico GO. Most recently, they were left licking their wounds in a 2-4 defeat against Flamengo. Atletico MG claimed just a single measly home win from a possible six in the Serie A, which also saw them drawing three and losing two matches, in which they scored eight and conceded 11 goals.

They had their sights set on gold, but Atletico MG could soon be forced to readjust the target to qualifying for Europe.

Sao Paulo Form

Sao Paulo are in awesome shape going into this next encounter, as they won their last three matches on the bounce. Bahia got left behind in a 3-1 win, before Athletico Paranaense got hammered in a 1-2 victory. Red Bull Bragantino was the most recent victim in a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo won three of a possible six away matches in the Serie A, as well as playing two draws and suffering one defeat. They scored 11 while also conceding eight times.

They are one of only a few teams capable of taking the title in the Serie A, and Sao Paulo currently remain on course.

Atletico MG go into their match at Independencia as favourites with the bookies, but form has been too shabby for us to back that claim. We prefer a bet on Sao Paulo, while the more cautious punter might prefer the double-chance.

Atletico MG fought their way to zero wins and one points from their last three games against teams inside the top six. They were on target three times in these matches, but also let in nine goals. Atletico MG have a record of four wins, six draws and three defeats in the Serie A this season. Sao Paulo are looking at eight wins, three draws and four defeats in the Serie A.

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Squads

Atletico MG Squad

Milito will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Sao Paulo from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season):

Everson (0/9), Gabriel Atila (0/0), Gabriel Delfim (0/0), Matheus Mendes (0/4), Bruno Fuchs (0/8), Guilherme Arana (1/6), Jemerson (0/3), Mariano (0/4), Mauricio Lemos (0/6), Paulo Monteiro (0/3), Renzo Saravia (0/10), Romulo (1/8), Rubens (0/0), Vitor Gabriel (0/0), Alan Franco (0/6), Bernard (0/0), Daniel Penha (0/0), Federico Zaracho (2/11), Gustavo Scarpa (3/12), Igor Gomes (0/11), Igor Rabello (0/9), Otavio (0/6), Pedrinho (0/8), Rodrigo Andres Battaglia (0/10), Alan Kardec (0/5), Alisson Santana (0/9), Brahian Palacios (1/7), Cadu (1/10), Eduardo Vargas (3/7), Fabio (0/0), Hulk (3/9), Isaac Aguiar (0/0), Paulinho (5/12), Robert Santos (0/0).

Sao Paulo Squad

Below is the full team squad of Sao Paulo. The manager Zubeldia will pick his starting XI against Atletico MG from these players:

Jandrei (0/8), Rafael (0/7), Young (0/0), Alan Franco (0/11), Igao (0/0), Igor Vinicius (0/14), Joao Moreira (0/0), Matheus Belem (0/0), Nahuel Ferraresi (1/4), Patryck (0/4), Rafinha (0/0), Robert Arboleda (1/13), Sabino (0/0), Welington (0/13), Alisson (1/14), Andre (3/11), Damian Bobadilla (1/6), Diego (0/14), Felipe Negrucci (0/0), Giuliano Galoppo (0/8), James Rodriguez (0/0), Jhegson Mendez (0/0), Lizeiro (0/0), Luiz Gustavo (0/9), Pablo Maia (0/3), Rodrigo Huendra (0/2), Rodrigo Nestor (0/11), Erick (0/6), Ferreira (4/11), Henrique Carmo (0/0), Jonathan Calleri (4/13), Juan (0/8), Lucas Moura (2/9), Luciano Neves (6/12), Michel Araujo (0/11), Wellington Rato (0/7), William Gomes (0/0).

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Team News

Atletico MG could be looking at three players on the injured and absent list ahead of their upcoming match against Sao Paulo. Atletico MG have to alter their line-up, as both Alan Franco, Guilherme Arana and Romulo get a day in the shade.

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Lineups

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo H2H

Atletico MG had a good reading on Sao Paulo in their last two meetings, which they won by 2-0 and 2-1, respectively. Atletico MG enter the match against Sao Paulo with a 4-4-2 record in their previous ten encounters. A win rate of 40%, which is perhaps worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Results

At least one team managed to keep a clean sheet seven times in the last ten matches between Sao Paulo and Atletico MG. Odds on both teams not to score are best priced at 7/10 with the bookies.

Atletico MG vs Sao Paulo Betting Tips

Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Hulk, who is performing well for Atletico MG. He found the back of the net twice in his most recent Serie A outings. He'll be out to add more goals against Sao Paulo.The visitors will be looking to Luciano Neves to find the net once again, after managing three Serie A goals for Sao Paulo in recent matches.

Atletico MG claimed four wins, drew four and lost two of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. Sao Paulo won six, drew two and lost two of their last 10 games away. Strap yourselves up for a goals at Independencia since both teams scored in six of the last 10 home matches for Atletico MG. The same occurred in seven of the last 10 league games away from home for Sao Paulo.

Both teams not to score was a winning bet seven times in the last ten encounters between Atletico MG and Sao Paulo as under 2.5 goals happened four times. Atletico MG scored an average of 1.1 goals a game, with Sao Paulo averaging 0.9 goals in this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in six of Atletico MG’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.5 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of the last ten outings for Sao Paulo, who managed to score 1.6 times in those matches.