Benfica vs Real Madrid Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 17th February 2026

Real Madrid travel to Estadio da Luz to face Benfica this coming Tuesday for the first of two meetings in of 32 round of qualifying for the Champions League.
Benfica go into their next Champions League match, averaging a fairly humble 1.1 per game in their last ten matches in this tournament. They scored 11 goals, while conceding 16. That amounts to an average of 1.6 conceded per game, where they kept their opponents from scoring two times.
Real Madrid scored 22 goals, conceded 17 and held on for a clean sheet in two of their last ten matches in this tournament.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Prediction
Benfica Form
Benfica are unbeaten in their last three matches, first beating Real Madrid 4-2, and then drawing 0-0 with Tondela. They were back as winners when they defeated Santa Clara 1-2. Benfica only pulled off two wins from a possible six in recent Champions League matches on home soil. Of the remaining four matches, they drew one and lost three, as they scored 11 and conceded ten goals.
Real Madrid Form
Real Madrid look fabulous with three wins on the trot, starting off against Rayo Vallecano, who were defeated by 2-1. Then, Valencia got outclassed in a 0-2 win, before beating Real Sociedad by 4-1. Real Madrid managed a decent return of three wins in their last six Champions League away matches, in which they scored 15 while also conceding 14 times. They also experienced zero draws and three defeats.
Real Madrid picked up some decent results recently, which makes them our preferred pick, when they turn up at Estadio da Luz to challenge Benfica.
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Benfica vs Real Madrid Stats
- In the last 4 Benfica home matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In the last 4 Benfica home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Benfica have won 3 of the last 4 home matches while scoring more than 2.5 goals
- In 6 of the last 7 Benfica matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 4 of the last 5 Benfica matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 15 of the last 17 Real Madrid matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 8 of the last 9 Real Madrid away matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Real Madrid away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 3 of the last 4 Real Madrid matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 5.5
- In 5 of the last 7 Real Madrid away matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 4.5
Benfica vs Real Madrid Team News
Benfica are as close to having an entire squad available as they can, with only one playerout for the side which faces Real Madrid. For their upcoming match in round of 32, Benfica are unable to call upon Richard Rios, who is suspended.
Real Madrid face a list of four absentees from the squad ahead of their next match on Tuesday against Benfica. Daniel Carvajal is suspended from the Real Madrid squad with too many penalty points to his name.
Names like Daniel Carvajal, Vinicius Junior and David Alaba most likely won't be deemed fit enough to play Benfica.
Benfica vs Real Madrid H2H
Their latest encounter in the Champions League was a belter of a game, which finished with a 4-2 scoreline. An uncommon result, but we would not mind a similar goal fest on Tuesday. As Benfica enter the match against Real Madrid at Estadio da Luz, they do so with a 2-0-0 h2h record in their previous two encounters.
Both teams found the back of the net in two of the last two matches between Benfica and Real Madrid.
Benfica vs Real Madrid Results
Benfica vs Real Madrid Betting Tips
Look no further than Leandro Barreiro, when searching for a marksman currently in good shape. He hit the target twice lately for Benfica in the Champions League, while Kylian Mbappe managed eight goals in the last half dozen matches for Real Madrid in this tournament. No doubt, both are looking to add to their total once again.
Benfica were able to win six of their previous 10 home games across all tournaments, while drawing two of the games. They suffered defeat in two of these outings. Real Madrid won six of their last 10 games away, drew one and suffered defeat in three of them. Benfica managed to open the scoring no less than seven of their previous 10 league games on home soil. The visitors from Real Madrid performed a similar feat as they scored the opener in seven of their last 10 away games.
Over 2.5 goals happened two times in the past two encounters between Benfica and Real Madrid, with Benfica scoring 4.5 goals on average per game. Real Madrid averaged two goals, while both teams scored two times. Over 2.5 goals came out six times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Benfica, who scored an average of 1.8 goals along the way. Of the last ten games for Real Madrid, seven had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of 2.6 times goals per game.