Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 10th May 2026

Burnley face Aston Villa at Turf Moor in one of the last matches of the season, as only three rounds remain in this current Premier League campaign.
Burnley are chasing revenge after succumbing to a disappointing defeat in the latest encounter against Aston Villa. However, judging by prices from the bookmakers, they are in for a tough assignment on Sunday.
The Clarets only average a modest one goals per game in their last ten matches in this tournament, in which they scored ten goals. They also conceded 22 for an average of 2.2 per game. They kept their opponents from scoring one times.
Aston Villa managed a bearable 12 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.2 goals per game. They conceded 17 goals in total, and while claiming two clean sheets, they conceded 1.7 goals an average per game.
Aston Villa won 2-1 and 3-2 in the two most recent meetings with Burnley, and go into their upcoming match with a psychological advantage.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction
Burnley Form
In their last three matches, Burnley lost 4-1 against Nottingham Forest, 0-1 against Manchester City and 3-1 against Leeds. Burnley did not win any of their last six Premier League matches at the Turf Moor. They came through these matches with a record of one draws and five defeats, in which they conceded 11 and scored four goals.
They went into the season as candidates for the drop, and unfortunately for Burnley, they have lived up to expectations. As the season draws to a close, they are still in with a chance of escaping relegation, though.
Aston Villa Form
Aston Villa suffered a couple of disappointments in their last three matches as they were run over by Nottingham Forest in a 1-0 defeat. Tottenham also proved too hard to handle as they won 1-2, before Aston Villa were able to strike back in a 4-0 win against Nottingham Forest. Aston Villa claimed just one win from the last six away games in the Premier League. They also drew two and were defeated three times, as they were outscored by eight goals to five.
Most people had Aston Villa down among favourites for relegation, but they have surpassed all expectations. With the season coming to an end, they look destined for another season in the Premier League.
Aston Villa are in for a win on Sunday, but at Turf Moor we expect Burnley to put up a fight and limit the expected defeat.
Burnley fought their way to zero wins and four points from their last ten games against teams inside the top six. They were on target eight times in these matches, but also let in 18 goals. Aston Villa recorded six wins from their last 11 games against teams placed in the bottom six and collected 20 points. They scored 15 goals while conceding 13. Burnley claimed four wins, eight draws as well as 23 defeats in the Premier League this season. Aston Villa are looking at 17 wins, seven draws and 11 defeats in the Premier League.
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Burnley vs Aston Villa Stats
- Burnley have lost the last 5 matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Burnley have lost the last 5 matches in a row in the Premier League while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In the last 3 Burnley home matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 3 Burnley home matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 5 of the last 6 Burnley home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Aston Villa away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Aston Villa away matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- Aston Villa have lost the last 3 matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 6 of the last 7 Aston Villa away matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Aston Villa away matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
Burnley vs Aston Villa Squads
Burnley Squad
Jackson will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Aston Villa from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Premier League this season):
Martin Dubravka (0/35), Max Weiss (0/0), Vaclav Hladky (0/0), Axel Tuanzebe (1/11), Connor Roberts (0/0), Hjalmar Ekdal (0/19), Joe Worrall (0/11), Jordan Beyer (0/0), Kyle Walker (0/33), Lucas Pires (0/17), Maxime Esteve (0/32), Quilindschy Hartman (0/21), Florentino (0/28), Hannibal Mejbri (1/24), James Ward-Prowse (0/15), Josh Cullen (2/18), Josh Laurent (1/31), Lesley Ugochukwu (3/32), Marley Leuluai (0/0), Mike Tresor (0/6), Oliver Pimlott (0/0), Zian Flemming (9/26), Armando Broja (1/24), Ashley Barnes (0/6), Enock Agyei (0/0), Jacob Bruun Larsen (0/25), Jaidon Anthony (7/34), Loum Tchaouna (2/26), Lyle Foster (3/25), Marcus Edwards (1/22), Zeki Amdouni (0/1).
Aston Villa Squad
Here is the full team squad of Aston Villa. The 54 year-old Unai Emery will select his starting lineup from the following players:
Emiliano Martinez (0/30), Marco Bizot (0/6), Rhys Oakley (0/0), Ronnie Hollingshead (0/0), Ezri Konsa (0/32), Ian Maatsen (0/27), Lamare Bogarde (0/26), Lucas Digne (0/29), Matty Cash (3/32), Pau Torres (0/19), Tyrone Mings (0/15), Victor Lindelof (0/14), Yeimar Mosquera (0/0), Amadou Onana (2/24), Boubacar Kamara (1/18), Douglas Luiz (1/18), Emiliano Buendia (6/33), Harvey Elliott (0/5), John McGinn (4/27), Leon Bailey (0/11), Ross Barkley (2/18), Youri Tielemans (0/22), Alysson Edward (0/3), Andres Garcia (0/5), Brian Madjo (0/0), Jadon Sancho (0/22), Morgan Rogers (9/35), Ollie Watkins (11/34), Tammy Abraham (2/12).
Burnley vs Aston Villa Team News
Burnley might be looking at three missing players for their upcoming assignment against Aston Villa. Burnley have to alter their line-up, as both Hannibal Mejbri, Maxime Esteve and Joe Worrall get a day in the shade.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Lineups
Burnley vs Aston Villa H2H
The Villans got the better of The Clarets in the last two h2h meetings, winning by 2-1 and 3-2, respectively. All in all, Aston Villa have a fine reading on Burnley in previous seasons with a 5-3-2 advantage going into this match. The bookies have Aston Villa to win this match at best price odds of 3/5.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Results
Entertainment seems close to guaranteed when Burnley welcome Aston Villa as over 2.5 goals came out a winning bet seven times in ten matches. Over 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 8/11 with the bookies on Sunday.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
It's been a great season for Ollie Watkins so far with 11 goals to his name across all tournaments this season. He also hit the target three times in his last six games, and no doubt Aston Villa want him to continue this productive spell against Burnleyon Sunday.
Burnley won only once in their last 10 outings at Turf Moor, but they drew three and lost six in this run. Aston Villa won four, drew two and lost four of their last 10 games away from home. Strap yourselves up for a goals at Turf Moor since both teams scored in six of the last 10 home matches for Burnley. The same occurred in four of the last 10 league games away from home for Aston Villa.
Over 3.5 goals happened five times in the last ten encounters between these two rivals. Burnley managed an average of 1.3 goals, with Aston Villa averaging 1.8 goals. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Burnley, who scored an average of 0.8 goals along the way. In the last ten games for Aston Villa, six of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of two times goals per game themselves.