Croatia vs Spain Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 6th October 2026

We have turned a corner and enter the final half of the Nations League A group stages. Lying ahead of us here is a round four match between Croatia and Spain this coming Tuesday at Stadion Poljud. Spain got the better of Croatia in the last two h2h meetings, winning by 4-1 and 3-0, respectively.
While Croatia join this game on Tuesday as number 14 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Spain are number 1.
Halfway through the group games Croatia rank as number three on three, whereas Spain have nine as number one.
Croatia are relatively average in the art of goal-scoring these days. They scored a steady 12 goals in their previous ten matches, for an average of 1.2 per game. They simultaneously allowed their opponents 20 goals, or an average of two a game. Furthermore, they fought their way to two clean sheets in this run.
Spain head to their fourth group match in the Nations League A in red-hot form after winning their first three encounters. It puts them in a great position to go all-in on reaching 12 points against Croatia. A positive result could be enough to see Spain through already.
Croatia vs Spain Prediction
Croatia Form
Croatia managed one win in the last three matches, which was a 1-2 victory against Czech Republic. They went on to lose 4-1 against Spain, before getting dumped in a 0-7 defeat against England. Croatia claimed a middle-of-the-road three wins in their previous six internationals. They also drew zero and lost three, as they scored seven and conceded 15 goals.
Spain Form
In their last three matches, Spain first beat England 2-3, then Croatia by 4-1 and finally Czech Republic by 3-1. Spain are in imperial form, doing the clean sweep of six wins in six internationals. They outscored their opponents by 15 goals to five along the way.
We don't expect Croatia to pull off a surprise, and with goals flowing freely, they could be in for a hammering against strong looking Spain.
Spain won their last 10 matches.
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Croatia vs Spain Stats
- In 11 of the last 13 Croatia matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Croatia have won 7 of the last 8 home matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Croatia have won 6 of the last 7 home matches and the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Croatia home matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Croatia home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 5 Spain matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 4.5
- In the last 9 Spain matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 7 Spain matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Spain have won 4 of the last 5 matches in the Nations League A and the sum of goals was over 4.5
- Spain have won 7 of the last 9 matches in the Nations League A and the sum of goals was over 2.5
Croatia vs Spain Team News
Croatia vs Spain H2H
Spain beat Croatia twice in their most recent meetings, as they claimed wins by 4-1 and 3-0, respectively. In total, they have played two matches in past seasons with Spain running away with most of the points. They won two encounters, with Croatia stealing all 3 points in zero matches. Naturally, the last zero games ended all square. The bookies have Spain to win this match at best price odds of 4/9.
Croatia vs Spain Results
Under 2.5 goals came out a winning bet only three times in ten matches between Croatia and Spain. Over 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 4/7 with the bookies on Tuesday.
Croatia vs Spain Betting Tips
Having scored just once lately for his country, Luka Modric will be eager to hit the target again, and the upcoming game presents an opportunity to step up. Spain hope Lamine Yamal can inflict some damage on their upcoming opponents by adding to his tally of four goals in his last six international matches.
Croatia claimed seven wins, drew one and lost two of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. Spain won eight, drew two and lost zero of their last 10 games away. It is a tough one to call who gets to draw first blood on Tuesday. Croatia managed to open the scoring in no less than six of their previous 10 league games at home. Spain have been equally quick to get off the mark, scoring the opener in ten of their last 10 away games.
The last ten encounters between Croatia and Spain saw over 2.5 goals scored seven times, with Croatia averaging one goal a game. Spain scored 2.4 goals on average in these, as both teams scored five times in this run. Over 2.5 goals came out eight times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Croatia, who scored an average of 1.2 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in six of the last ten games for Spain, who scored 2.4 times on average in these matches.