England vs Italy Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 17th October 2023

England and Italy will be facing each other on Tuesday at Wembley. As we approach the final rounds of the qualifying group stage, both these teams are still vying for a spot at the European Championship. England triumphed in a 2-1 win against Italy, the last time they faced off. However, Italy secured a 1-0 win in the match before that.
We have arrived at the final round of the group stage qualifying and England find themselves ranked as number one, having accrued 13 points. Meanwhile, Italy have ten points, placing them as number two. England sit at number three in the FIFA world ranking, while Italy enter their match on Tuesday as number nine.
England are in with a good shot at topping their group, as even a draw in this game puts them in a strong position before their final matches.
Italy, on the other hand, can hardly afford a defeat. They are level on points with Ukraine but at least have a game in hand. However, they also face two tough matches in the final rounds. They'll want to avoid defeat at Wembley at all cost.
England vs Italy Prediction
England Form
England should be high on confidence, as their last three matches saw them gain seven points. They started off drawing 1-1 with Ukraine, before beating first Scotland by 1-3, then Australia in a 1-0 win. England won five of their last six internationals, scoring 18 and conceding two along the way. They also drew one and lost zero as well.
Italy Form
Italy went unbeaten through their last three matches, which began with a 1-1 draw against North Macedonia. A 2-1 win against Ukraine followed, before they beat Malta by 4-0. Italy claimed four wins in six internationals, whilst drawing one and losing one in which the score said 13 scored to eight conceded.
We expect England to make home advantage count but, the value bet could easily be the low scoring home win. We expect the guests from Italy to put up a decent fight.
England scored at least one goal in their last 10 matches on the spin.
Italy have gone four games without suffering a defeat.
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England vs Italy Stats
- England have not lost 22 of the last 24 home matches
- England have not lost 11 of the last 12 matches
- England have won 7 of the last 9 matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- England have won 3 of the last 4 home matches without conceding a goal
- England have scored in 11 of the last 12 matches
- In the last 4 matches in a row Italy played, both teams scored
- Italy have scored in 12 of the last 14 matches
- In 8 of the last 10 Italy matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 3 away matches in a row Italy played, both teams scored
- Italy have scored in 7 of the last 8 away matches
England vs Italy Team News
England might be looking at three missing players for their upcoming assignment against Italy.
Harry Maguire, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Jack Grealish are all absent from the England squad that faces Italy at Wembley.
Italy have an almost full squad of players to choose from ahead of their next match on Tuesday, as just two players seem to be forced up in the stands.
Italy need to do without Mattia Zaccagni and Federico Chiesa, who are not fit enough to travel to Wembley.
England vs Italy H2H
When these two nations last faced off against each other, England ended up taking all three points in a 1-2 victory. All in all, Italy have a fine reading on England in previous seasons with a 5-3-2 advantage going into this match. The bookies have Italy to win this match at best price odds of 9/2.
England vs Italy Results
As both teams found their way to the goal eight times in their previous ten matches, betting on BTTS naturally would have been profitable. Odds on both teams finding the back of the net are best priced at 11/10 with the bookies.
England vs Italy Betting Tips
The most productive European Championship scorer for England is Harry Kane, having scored five goals recently. The home side will be counting on him to give another great performance in their upcoming match. On the other hand, Italy will be relying on Davide Frattesi, who has netted four European Championship goals in his most recent games.
England did great recently at Wembley, winning five of their last 10 home games across all tournaments. They also drew three while losing two. Italy won five of their last 10 away games, while drawing two and losing three in this streak. In their previous 10 matches away from home, Italy claimed two wins to nil.
There were over 2.5 goals five times in the last ten encounters between England and Italy. England managed an average of 1.1 goals, while the latter scored 1.4 goals on average. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run. England performed an average of 2.7 goals a game in their previous ten matches in which over 2.5 goals came out seven times. In the last ten games for Italy, six of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of 1.9 times goals per game themselves.