Estonia vs Italy Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 11th October 2025
Italy go up against Estonia on Saturday for a World Cup Qualification meeting at A Le Coq Arena. The last three times Estonia faced Italy in the World Cup Qualification, Italy didn't concede a single goal, as they won by 5-0, 4-0 and 3-0 scoreline. Italy go into the game on Saturday at the best betting odds of 1/11 for a fourth win on the bounce.
One spot behind the leader of the table, Italy have claimed nine points after four rounds, while Estonia have amassed three points and are now ranked as number 4 in the World Cup Qualification standings.
Estonia are not a high scoring team these days, as they only found the back of the net eight times in the last ten outings. That is an average of just 0.8 goals per game, as they conceded 19 goals. They managed two clean sheets in these matches.
Italy scored 19 goals, conceded ten and managed five clean sheets in their previous ten matches.
Estonia vs Italy Prediction
Estonia Form
In their last three matches, Estonia lost 0-1 against Norway, 5-0 against Italy and drew 0-0 with Andorra. Estonia claimed just a single measly home win from a possible six in the World Cup Qualification, which also saw them drawing zero and losing five matches, in which they scored seven and conceded 16 goals.
Italy Form
Italy look fabulous with three wins on the trot, starting off against Moldova, who were defeated by 2-0. Then, Estonia got outclassed in a 5-0 win, before beating Israel by 4-5. Italy won half their previous six away matches in the World Cup Qualification, as well as seeing two draws and suffering one defeat. They scored nine goals whilst conceding seven.
Estonia fought their way to zero wins and zero points from their last one games against teams inside the top six. They were on target zero times in these matches, but also let in one goals.
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Estonia vs Italy Stats
- Estonia have lost 7 of the last 8 matches in the World Cup Qualification while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Estonia have lost the last 3 home matches in a row in the World Cup Qualification while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Estonia have lost 5 of the last 7 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 4 of the last 5 Estonia matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Estonia have lost 3 of the last 4 home matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 10 of the last 12 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 8 of the last 9 Italy away matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Italy have won the last 3 matches in a row while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Italy have won the last 3 matches in a row in the World Cup Qualification while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 5 of the last 6 Italy away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
Estonia vs Italy Team News
Italy are juggling with four absent players on on Saturday when travelling to Estonia. Alessandro Bastoni, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia and Hans Nicolussi Caviglia can't be called upon by Italy, as they are all sidelined with a suspension.
Estonia vs Italy H2H
Estonia were unable to penetrate the Italy defence the last three times they met in the World Cup Qualification. The latter ended up winning by a 5-0, 4-0 and 3-0 scoreline. Estonia go into their upcoming match against Italy with a 0% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 0-0-4 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Estonia vs Italy Results
In the last four matches between Estonia and Italy, both teams to score came up one time.
Estonia vs Italy Betting Tips
Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Mattias Kaeit, who is performing well for Estonia. He found the back of the net two times in his most recent national team outings. He'll be out to add more goals for his country against Italy. The visitors will be looking up to Moise Kean to find the net once again, after managing five goals for Italy in his last six matches.
Estonia claimed a modest two wins from their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. They split the points with the visiting team in two of the games, whilst losing six. Italy won four of their last 10 games away, drew three and lost three of the games in this run. Both teams have been poor at keeping their opponents from scoring in recent matches. While Estonia managed to keep a clean sheet in one of the games at A Le Coq Arena, Italy kept their hosts from scoring in two of their last 10 away games.
Over 2.5 goals happened four times in the past four encounters between Estonia and Italy, with Estonia scoring 0.25 goals on average per game. Italy averaged 3.5 goals, while both teams scored one time. Over 2.5 goals happened in six of Estonia’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 0.8 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in eight of the last ten games for Italy, who managed to hit the net 2.4 times on average in these games.