France vs Italy Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 2nd October 2026

France take on Italy at Stade de France, where an thrilling match is hopefully on the cards on Friday. It is one of the many matches in round three of the group stage in the Nations League A this season. Italy lost 3-1 against France in their latest encounter. This served as pay back for the 3-1 defeat, Italy handed out in the match before.
While France join this game on Friday as number 3 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Italy are number 15.
Following two rounds of matches in the group stage France sit as number one with six, while Italy collected three as number three. France head into their third group match of the Nations League A in red-hot form after winning both their first encounters. It puts them in a great position go all in on securing a third straight win, thus almost securing qualification to the next round.
When it comes to goal-scoring France could be more prolific, scoring 19 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.9 goals per game in which, they conceded ten times. This is an average of one a game, achieving a clean sheet in five games.
Having so far lost and won a match in their Nations League A group, Italy still have the next round firmly in sight. A win here would go a long way in keeping that target in sight and getting through to the next round.
Italy show off splendid stats in their last ten matches, where they hit the target 2.1 times on average per game. They scored 21 goals and conceded 16, an average of 1.6 a game. They held on for a clean sheet in one of these.
France vs Italy Prediction
France Form
France recorded two wins in their last three matches, but started off by losing 4-6 against England. They responded by beating Turkey 0-1, and followed that up by winning 0-1 against Belgium. France won four of their past six internationals, where they also drew zero and lost two. They scored nine goals and conceded eight times.
Italy Form
Two victories are what Italy have to show from their past three matches, as they first beat Greece 0-1. This was followed by a 0-2 defeat against Belgium, before winning again 1-4 against Turkey. Italy claimed a remarkable four wins from six internationals in which they drew zero and lost two. They also banged in ten goals, whilst conceding seven.
Their last two encounters at Stade de France finished with a tight 1-0 for France. Third time lucky serves up a tasty price with the bookmakers, especially when opting for the straight correct score bet.
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France vs Italy Stats
- In 10 of the last 12 France home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- France have won 5 of the last 7 home matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 5 of the last 6 France matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 4 of the last 5 France matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 4 of the last 5 France home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Italy matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 5 of the last 6 Italy away matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 3 Italy matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 6 of the last 8 Italy matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Italy have won 3 of the last 4 away matches and the sum of goals was under 2.5
France vs Italy Team News
France vs Italy H2H
Italy were knocked out cold when France took a 3-1 win in their latest encounter. It served as pay back for the 3-1 defeat, Italy handed out in the game before. France claimed six wins against Italy in the last ten encounters, leaving them with a small psychological edge before their next meeting.
France vs Italy Results
The scenario of both teams to score came out eight times in the last ten matches between France and Italy.
France vs Italy Betting Tips
Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Ousmane Dembele, who is performing well for France. He found the back of the net two times in his most recent national team outings. He'll be out to add more goals for his country against Italy. The visitors will be looking up to Francesco Pio Esposito to find the net once again, after managing three goals for Italy in his last six matches.
France won seven of their last 10 home matches across all tournaments, while losing three times. Italy won seven of their last 10 games away from home, with two draws and one defeats as well. France managed to open the scoring in no less than eight of their previous 10 league games on home soil. The visitors from Italy have been equally ready from the first whistle, scoring the opener in seven of their last 10 away games.
Over 3.5 goals happened five times in the last ten encounters between these two rivals. France managed an average of 1.8 goals, with Italy averaging 1.2 goals. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run of matches. France saw over 2.5 goals in five of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 2.2 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals appeared in four of the last ten matches that Italy played across all tournaments. They scored 1.8 times on average in the process.