Gremio vs Atletico MG Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 23rd July 2023

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Gremio enjoy home advantage, when visitors Atletico MG swing by this coming Sunday for a clash in the Serie A. The former will be looking to make that home advantage count.

Placed three in the table Gremio have amassed 26 points after 14 matches. On 20 points, Atletico MG rank 12 with 14 matches played this season.

Atletico MG will play the match against Gremio hoping to gain some ground on the latter in Serie A standings. A positive result could be more than important for their upcoming challenges this season.

When it comes to goal-scoring Gremio could be more prolific, scoring 18 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.8 goals per game in which, they conceded 15 times. This is an average of 1.5 a game, achieving a clean sheet once.

Atletico MG managed a bearable 15 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.5 goals per game. They conceded nine goals in total, and while claiming three clean sheets, they conceded 0.9 goals an average per game.

The latest encounter between these two teams was a belter of a 4-3 match. Are we in for a similar goal-fest this coming Sunday?

Gremio vs Atletico MG Prediction

Gremio Form

Gremio failed to win any of their last three matches, though they gained a point against Bahia in a 1-1 draw, before coming up short against Botafogo RJ in a 0-2 defeat. Most recently, they settled for a 1-1 draw against Bahia. Gremio won four of their previous six Serie A games at the Gremio's stadium. They both drew and lost once, as they conceded six and scored 13 goals.

A top half finish seem very possibe for Gremio who have been a surprise package with a string of good performances.

Atletico MG Form

In their last three matches, Atletico MG drew 1-1 with Libertad, drew 2-2 with America MG and lost 0-1 against Corinthians. Atletico MG managed a decent return of three wins in their last six Serie A away matches, in which they scored nine while also conceding six times. They also experienced one draw and two defeats.

They had their sights set on gold, but Atletico MG could soon be forced to readjust the target to qualifying for Europe.

In our opinion, current form favours Gremio slightly more than current odds with the bookmakers suggest. We like the price on offer for the home win against Atletico MG.

Gremio scored 16 goals and conceded five in their last six games against teams from the bottom half of the Serie A table. They collected 18 points and six victories. Atletico MG claimed two wins and nine points from their last seven encounters with teams in the top half of the Serie A, while scoring seven goals to eight against. Gremio are looking at a record of eight wins, two draws and four defeats in the Serie A this season. Atletico MG enjoy a record of five wins, five draws and four defeats in the Serie A.

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Gremio vs Atletico MG Stats

  • Gremio have not lost 35 of the last 37 home matches
  • Gremio have scored in 23 of the last 25 home matches
  • In 8 of the last 10 home matches Gremio played, both teams scored
  • Gremio have conceded in 16 of the last 18 matches
  • Gremio have lost 5 of the last 6 home matches and both teams scored at the same time
  • Atletico MG have scored in 17 of the last 19 matches
  • In 12 of the last 14 Atletico MG matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 10 of the last 12 Atletico MG away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 5 of the last 6 matches Atletico MG played, both teams scored
  • Atletico MG have scored in the last 8 away matches in a row

Gremio vs Atletico MG Squads

Gremio Squad

Renato Gaucho will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against Atletico MG from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Serie A this season):

Adriel Ramos (0/2), Brenno (0/1), Felipe Scheibig (0/0), Gabriel Grando (0/11), Bruno Alves (0/0), Bruno Uvini (1/10), Cuiabano (0/0), Fabio (0/4), Geromel (0/0), Gustavo Martins (1/7), Jose Guilherme (0/0), Nata (0/1), Reinaldo (0/0), Rodrigo Ferreira (0/0), Thomas Luciano (0/6), Viery (0/0), Vinicius (1/14), Walter Kannemann (0/11), Wesley (0/0), Adilson (0/0), Bitello (3/13), Darlan Mendes (0/1), Diego Souza (0/0), Everton (2/10), Felipe Carballo (0/7), Franco Cristaldo (4/13), Gustavinho (0/1), Joao Pedro (1/9), Mathias Villasanti (3/11), Mila (0/0), Pepe (0/1), Ronald (0/0), Zinho (0/6), Andre (0/0), Ferreira (0/2), Jhonata Robert (0/0), Juan Iturbe (0/0), Lian (0/0), Luis Suarez (4/12), Nathan (0/10), Nathan Ribeiro (0/0), Ronald Barcellos (0/0).

Atletico MG Squad

Here is the full team squad of Atletico MG. The 74 year-old Luiz Felipe Scolari will select his starting lineup from the following players:

Everson (0/14), Gabriel Delfim (0/0), Matheus Mendes (0/0), Bruno Fuchs (0/0), Daniel Carlos (0/0), Guilherme Arana (0/5), Jemerson (0/0), Mariano (0/10), Mauricio Lemos (1/9), Paulo Monteiro (0/0), Renzo Saravia (0/0), Rever (0/2), Romulo (0/0), Rubens (0/11), Sandro Perpetuo (0/0), Alan Franco (0/0), Alexandre (0/0), Carlos Amaral (0/1), Edenilson (0/13), Federico Zaracho (1/12), Gustavo Blanco (0/0), Hyoran (2/11), Igor Gomes (0/0), Igor Rabello (0/1), Otavio (0/4), Patrick (0/0), Pedrinho (0/0), Rodrigo Andres Battaglia (0/0), Yan Phillipe (0/0), Alan Kardec (0/0), Cristian Pavon (0/0), Eduardo Vargas (1/10), Hulk (6/12), Isaac Aguiar (0/1), Paulinho (0/0).

Gremio vs Atletico MG Team News

Atletico MG have an almost full squad of players to choose from ahead of their next match on Sunday, as just two players seem to be forced up in the stands.

Names like Guilherme Arana and Igor Rabello most likely won't be deemed fit enough to play Gremio.

Gremio vs Atletico MG Lineups

Gremio vs Atletico MG H2H

Atletico MG lost 4-3 against Gremio in their latest encounter. This served as pay back for the 2-1 defeat, Atletico MG handed out in the match before. Gremio claimed six wins against Atletico MG in the last ten encounters, leaving them with a small psychological edge before their next meeting.

Gremio vs Atletico MG Results

Both teams found the back of the net six times in the last ten matches between Gremio and Atletico MG.

Gremio vs Atletico MG Betting Tips

Gremio claimed four wins in the previous 10 matches at home across all tournaments, as well as drawing five and losing one. Atletico MG won four of their last 10 away games, as they also drew three and lost three of these matches. Gremio won six times in their last 10 Serie A matches. Visitors Atletico MG claimed four wins in their previous 10 league matches.

Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Gremio managed an average of two goals, with Atletico MG averaging 1.4 goals in these games. Both teams to score was a winning bet six times in this run of matches. Gremio saw over 2.5 goals in six of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 1.7 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in two of Atletico MG's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 0.9 goals in these matches.

Tips

BTTS: Yes

Going forward, Gremio and Atletico MG are both in decent form, while at the same time being generous in defence. We are confident, both teams will find the back of the net on Sunday.

Gremio to win

We are a little surprise to see the prices on offer at the bookies for a home win, as we think the form of Gremio is better than odds suggest. We back them to claim a home win against Atletico MG.