Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 29th August 2025

Hamburger SV play host to St. Pauli at Volksparkstadion on Friday for the first derby of the new Bundesliga season between these two clubs.
Hamburger SV failed to win their Bundesliga opening match, when they settled for a single point on the board.
Hamburger SV perhaps would have hoped for more in their opening match of the season, but eventually had to settle for a point.
Both Hamburger SV and St. Pauli aim to show their respective set of fans they are the better side this coming Friday, and we are bound to see an exciting game.
Hamburger SV go into their next Bundesliga match, scoring a humble average of 1.1 per game in their last ten matches. They scored a mundane 11 times, while conceding 18. That amounts to an average of 1.8 per game, where they kept their opponents from scoring two times.
St. Pauli scored 12 goals, conceded 14 and managed two clean sheets in their previous ten matches.
The last time these two teams faced off against each other, St. Pauli came away as 0-1 winners. No doubt they are planning a similar outcome this coming Friday.
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Prediction
Hamburger SV Form
In has been a bit of everything for Hamburger SV in their previous three matches, where they first beat Ulm by 6-1. This was followed by a disappointing 3-2 defeat against Greuther Fuerth, before an encounter with Borussia Moenchengladbach produced a 0-0 draw. Hamburger SV won half of their previous six matches on home soil in the Bundesliga, while also drawing one. They suffered two defeats, while they scored eight and conceded seven goals.
St. Pauli Form
St. Pauli have been a tad mediocre in their last three matches where a win has failed to come their way. Against Eintracht Frankfurt, they got a 2-2 draw, before coming up short against Bochum, who ran out 0-2 winners. Lately, they managed to draw once again in a 3-3 game with Borussia Dortmund. St. Pauli managed to win just once in their past six away games in the Bundesliga. On top of winning once they also drew three as well as losing two, while scoring nine time and letting in seven.
In our opinion, current form favours Hamburger SV slightly more than current odds with the bookmakers suggest. We like the price on offer for the home win against St. Pauli.
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Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Stats
- In 22 of the last 24 Hamburger SV home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 12 of the last 14 Hamburger SV matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 11 of the last 13 Hamburger SV home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Hamburger SV have lost 4 of the last 5 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In the last 3 Hamburger SV matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 13 of the last 15 St. Pauli away matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 5 of the last 7 St. Pauli matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 5 of the last 7 St. Pauli away matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 5 of the last 7 St. Pauli matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 5 of the last 7 St. Pauli away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Squads
Hamburger SV Squad
Merlin Polzin will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against St. Pauli from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season):
Daniel Heuer Fernandes (0/1), Daniel Peretz (0/0), Fernando Dickes (0/0), Hannes Hermann (0/0), Aboubaka Soumahoro (0/0), Giorgi Gocholeishvili (0/1), Guilherme Ramos (0/0), Joel Agyekum (0/0), Jordan Torunarigha (0/1), Miro Muheim (0/1), Noah Katterbach (0/0), Silvan Hefti (0/0), Warmed Omari (0/1), William Mikelbrencis (0/1), Daniel Elfadli (0/1), Immanuel Pherai (0/0), Jonas Meffert (0/1), Nicolai Remberg (0/1), Nicolas Capaldo (0/1), Alexander Roessing (0/1), Bakery Jatta (0/0), Emir Sahiti (0/1), Fabio Balde (0/0), Jean-Luc Dompe (0/1), Otto Stange (0/0), Ransford Koenigsdoerffer (0/1), Rayan Philippe (0/1), Robert Glatzel (0/0), Yussuf Poulsen (0/1).
St. Pauli Squad
Below is the full team squad of St. Pauli. The manager Blessin will pick his starting XI against Hamburger SV from these players:
Ben Alexander Voll (0/0), Nikola Vasilj (0/1), Simon Spari (0/0), Arkadiusz Pyrka (0/1), Connor Metcalfe (0/1), David Nemeth (0/0), Eric Smith (1/1), Fin Stevens (0/0), Jannik Robatsch (0/0), Karol Mets (0/0), Lars Ritzka (0/0), Louis Oppie (0/1), Adam Dzwigala (0/1), Erik Ahlstrand (0/0), Hauke Wahl (0/1), Jackson Irvine (0/0), James Sands (0/1), Joel Chima Fujita (0/1), Manolis Saliakas (0/1), Marwin Schmitz (0/0), Scott Banks (0/0), Abdoulie Ceesay (0/1), Andreas Hountondji (1/1), Danel Sinani (1/1), Mathias Pereira Lage (0/1), Oladapo Afolayan (0/1), Ricky-Jade Jones (0/0), Romeo Aigbekaen (0/0).
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Team News
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Lineups
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli H2H
The last time these two teams faced off against each other, St. Pauli came away as 0-1 winners. No doubt they are planning a similar outcome on Friday. Hamburger SV go into their upcoming match against St. Pauli with a 50% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 2-1-1 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Results
The scenario of both teams to score came out two times in the last four matches between Hamburger SV and St. Pauli.
Hamburger SV vs St. Pauli Betting Tips
As the new Bundesliga campaign has recently started, we are still a bit in the dark, as to which striker will dominate the top scorer table for Hamburger SV and St. Pauli this season. However, there might be some interesting prospects, when looking at the list of players who are in the best form at the moment.
Hamburger SV claimed five wins, drew two and lost three of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. St. Pauli won four, drew four and lost two of their last 10 games away. Both teams scored in six of the last 10 Bundesliga matches for Hamburger SV at Volksparkstadion. Both teams also found their way to the target in four of the previous 10 away games for St. Pauli.
Over 2.5 goals came out two times in the last four encounters between these two teams. Hamburger SV managed an average of 2.25 goals, with St. Pauli averaging 1.25 goals in these games. Both teams to score was a winning bet two times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals happened in seven of Hamburger SV’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 2.1 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of St. Pauli's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 2.6 goals in these matches.