Iceland vs Bulgaria Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 3rd October 2026

Iceland go up against Bulgaria on Saturday in a game played out at Laugardalsvoellur. We are entering the third round of the group stage in the Nations League C with both very eager to add points to their tally. Bulgaria won 3-2 and 3-1 in the two most recent meetings with Iceland, and go into their upcoming match with a psychological advantage.
While Iceland join this game on Saturday as number 74 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Bulgaria are number 85.
Following the second round of the group stage Iceland are number one on four, whereas Bulgaria have one as number four. Collecting four points in their first two Nations League C matches, Iceland are feeling good about their chances to see the next stage. Another win and they'll be bouncing.
Iceland show off very admirable numbers from their past two matches, as they scored two goals on average per match. That makes a total of four goals, whilst they allowed one goals against, for an average of 0.5 per outing. They pulled off one clean sheets.
Bulgaria would have wished for far more than a draw and a defeat from their first two outings in the Nations League C. Have confidence taken a decisive hit, or will they put their fighting spirit on show against Iceland?
Bulgaria travel to their next Nations League C match, averaging a lowly one goals per game in their last ten matches. They scored a disappointing total of ten goals, while also conceding nine goals. That amounts to an average of 0.9 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring six times.
Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction
Iceland Form
Iceland have seen it all in their last three matches. First, they went down 3-0 against Argentina, before picking up a 1-1 draw against Estonia. Their latest match brought a 0-3 win in their encounter with Luxembourg. Iceland claimed just a single measly win from a possible six, which also saw them drawing three and losing two matches, in which they scored seven and conceded eight goals.
Bulgaria Form
Bulgaria have been a tad mediocre in their last three matches where a win has failed to come their way. Against Moldova, they got a 2-2 draw, before coming up short against Luxembourg, who ran out 1-2 winners. Lately, they managed to draw once again in a 0-0 game with Estonia. In their last six internationals Bulgaria won twice, while also recording two draws. They endured two defeats in this run, with a scoreline from these matches saying seven goals conceded and 14 scored.
At least one side usually pull off a clean sheet, when Iceland take on Bulgaria, which suggests the value bet lies with both teams not finding the back of the net.
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Iceland vs Bulgaria Stats
- In 6 of the last 7 Iceland home matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Iceland home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 5 Iceland matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 7 of the last 8 Bulgaria away matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Bulgaria matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 9 Bulgaria away matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 4 of the last 5 Bulgaria away matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 1.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Bulgaria matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 2.5
Iceland vs Bulgaria Team News
Iceland vs Bulgaria H2H
Bulgaria won 3-2 and 3-1 in the two most recent meetings with Iceland, and go into their upcoming match with a psychological advantage. Iceland have a 0% win rate against Bulgaria, who won three of these matches. The total record reads 0-1-3, which is worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Iceland vs Bulgaria Results
Both teams found the back of the net four times in the past four matches between home side Iceland and Bulgaria. Best priced odds on BTTS with the bookies are at 1/1.
Iceland vs Bulgaria Betting Tips
When looking for in-form players to find the target, there are some interesting names popping up in both teams. Orri Oskarsson brings great form to the table, as he is now on three goals in six games. Surely, Iceland will start him against Bulgaria, who also have some appealing names to consider. Not least Marin Petkov, who notched up four goals in his past six international games across tournaments.
Iceland won three of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Laugardalsvoellur. They drew four and lost three as well, while Bulgaria won three of their last 10 games away. They drew one and lost six. Goals are flowing freely for Iceland on home soil currently, as both teams scored in seven of their last 10 matches here. Both teams were also on target three times in Bulgaria''s last 10 league games away from home.
In the last four encounters between Iceland and Bulgaria over 2.5 goals came out three times, as Iceland averaged 1.25 goals a game. Bulgaria scored an average of 2.25 goals in these, while both teams scored four times. Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Iceland, who scored an average of 1.1 goals along the way. In the last ten games for Bulgaria, six of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of 1.7 times goals per game themselves.