Italy vs Estonia Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 5th September 2025
The penultimate round of the World Cup Qualification season presents an interesting battle between Italy and Estonia. The match takes place on Friday at Gewiss Stadium. Italy last faced Estonia on 11 November 2020 at Artemio Franchi, Firenze, when Italy scored a 4-0 win.
Italy are placed threeth with three points after two matches. Estonia occupy a position as fourth in the league on three points.
Italy are relatively average in the art of goal-scoring these days. They scored a steady 13 goals in their previous ten matches, for an average of 1.3 per game. They simultaneously allowed their opponents six goals, or an average of 0.6 a game. Furthermore, they fought their way to six clean sheets in this run.
Estonia are currently not the most scoring team in the World Cup Qualification, as they only found the back of the net ten times in ten matches. This is an average of just one goals a game in which they conceded 19 times, an average of 1.9 per game. They managed two clean sheets in these.
Italy vs Estonia Prediction
Italy Form
Italy hope for some consistency, as their fans saw their team win, lose and draw in their last three matches. A close game with Germany resulted in a 3-3 draw, followed by a 3-0 defeat against Norway, before beating Moldova by 2-0. Italy won half of their previous six matches on home soil in the World Cup Qualification, while also drawing two. They suffered one defeats, while they scored 11 and conceded three goals.
Estonia Form
In their last three matches, Estonia won 2-3 win against Moldova, lost 1-3 against Israel and lost 0-1 against Norway. Estonia only have one paltry win to show from the last six away games in the World Cup Qualification. In these six matches they drew one and lost four as well as being outscored by 13 goals to seven.
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Italy vs Estonia Stats
- In 14 of the last 16 Italy matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 16 of the last 17 Italy matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Italy home matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Italy home matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Estonia have lost 6 of the last 7 matches in the World Cup Qualification while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 8 of the last 10 Estonia away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Estonia have lost 4 of the last 5 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 5 of the last 7 Estonia away matches in the World Cup Qualification, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Estonia have lost 3 of the last 4 away matches in the World Cup Qualification while scoring less than 1.5 goals
Italy vs Estonia Team News
Italy are as close to having an entire squad available as they can, with only one playerout for the side which faces Estonia. For their upcoming match in round 5, Italy are unable to call upon Alessandro Bastoni, who is suspended.
Italy vs Estonia H2H
Italy last faced Estonia on 11 November 2020 at Artemio Franchi, Firenze, when Italy scored a 4-0 win. The home side were in awesome shape, the last time they played Estonia, as the latter got taught a lesson in a 4-0 win for a high-flying Italy team. The bookies have Italy to win this match at best price odds of 1/16.
Italy vs Estonia Results
In one of the previous three matches between Italy and Estonia both teams scored.
Italy vs Estonia Betting Tips
Moise Kean is the most prolific scorer for his national team, with two goals in six international matches. Italy will undoubtedly rely on him to shine once again in their upcoming match. Meanwhile, Estonia will be looking up to Mattias Kaeit, hoping he can add to his current total of two national team goals in his last six games.
Italy won six of the previous 10 home matches across all tournaments, while drawing two and losing two as well. Estonia won one from a possible 10 away from home, as they also drew two and lost seven in this run. Goals are usually flowing for Italy on home soil these days, and at both ends of pitch. Both teams found the back of the net in six of their last 10 matches here. In contrast, both teams to score happened six times for Estonia in their last 10 league games away from home.
Over 2.5 goals came out three times in the last three encounters between these two teams. Italy managed an average of three goals, with Estonia averaging 0.33 goals in these games. Both teams to score was a winning bet one time in this run of matches. Italy saw over 2.5 goals in eight of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 1.9 goals during this run. In the last ten games for Estonia, six of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of 0.8 times goals per game themselves.