Italy vs Moldova Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 9th June 2025
Italy welcome Moldova at Stadio Giglio in round 4 of the World Cup Qualification campaign. Only three matches remain this season, and important points are at stake on Monday. Italy last faced Moldova on 7 October 2020 at Artemio Franchi, Firenze, when Italy scored a 6-0 win.
Italy came away from their premiere match of the season with nothing to show for it and hope to make amends in the upcoming match.
Italy only average a modest 1.3 goals per game in their last ten matches in this tournament, in which they scored 13 goals. They also conceded six for an average of 0.6 per game. They kept their opponents from scoring six times.
Moldova travel to their next World Cup Qualification match, averaging a lowly 0.6 goals per game in their last ten matches. They scored a disappointing total of six goals, while also conceding 29 goals. That amounts to an average of 2.9 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring zero times.
Italy vs Moldova Prediction
Italy Form
Only a single draw prevents Italy from having nothing to show for their previous three games. They came up short in a 1-2 defeat against Germany, before drawing 3-3 with Germany. They came up empty-handed once again when Norway ran out as 3-0 winners. Italy only pulled off two wins from a possible six in recent World Cup Qualification matches on home soil. Of the remaining four matches, they drew three and lost one, as they scored nine and conceded three goals.
Moldova Form
Moldova were unable to pick up a single good result in their last three matches, as they were first beaten 0-5 by Norway. Next up, Estonia won 2-3, before losing 2-0 against Poland. Moldova are winless in their last six away games in the World Cup Qualification, in which they drew zero and lost six. They conceded 19 goals while scoring three themselves.
Both Italy and Moldova seem a little too focused on not losing than actually chasing a win, and as such, the draw is a tasty value bet from our perspective.
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Italy vs Moldova Stats
- In 13 of the last 14 Italy matches in the World Cup Qualification UEFA, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 14 of the last 15 Italy matches in the World Cup Qualification UEFA, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Italy home matches in the World Cup Qualification UEFA, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 7 of the last 8 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 5 Italy home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Moldova have lost 14 of the last 16 matches in the World Cup Qualification UEFA while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Moldova have lost the last 8 away matches in a row in the World Cup Qualification UEFA while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Moldova have lost the last 3 matches in a row in the World Cup Qualification UEFA and the sum of goals was over 4.5
- In 12 of the last 14 Moldova away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 3 Moldova matches in the World Cup Qualification UEFA, the sum of goals was over 4.5
Italy vs Moldova Team News
At the time of writing, it looks as if only two players are unavailable for Italy, when they prepare for their upcoming assignment. Luca Ranieri and Alessandro Bastoni can't be called up by the Italy-manager, with both serving a ban.
Italy vs Moldova H2H
Italy face off against Moldova for the first time in a while, with Italy claiming a 6-0 win at Artemio Franchi, Firenze back then. Italy enjoyed a field day, when they last squared up to Moldova. A 6-0 win left the former in a jubilant mood, with the latter licking their wounds. The bookies have Italy to win this match at best price odds of 1/24.
Italy vs Moldova Results
In one of the previous three matches between Italy and Moldova both teams scored.
Italy vs Moldova Betting Tips
Giovanni Di Lorenzo has shown good form lately for Italy, managing to score twice for his country, which is one more than Victor Mudrac. Moldova put their faith in him to score again.
Italy won six of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Stadio Giglio. They drew two and lost two as well, while Moldova won three of their last 10 games away. They drew three and lost four. Goals are usually flowing for Italy on home soil these days, and at both ends of pitch. Both teams found the back of the net in seven of their last 10 matches here. In contrast, both teams to score happened four times for Moldova in their last 10 league games away from home.
Over 2.5 goals came out two times in the last three encounters between these two teams. Italy managed an average of three goals, with Moldova averaging 0.33 goals in these games. Both teams to score was a winning bet one time in this run of matches. Italy saw over 2.5 goals in eight of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 1.7 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of the last ten outings for Moldova, who managed to score 0.9 times in those matches.