Leeds vs Burnley Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 1st May 2026

Leeds enjoy home advantage, when visitors Burnley swing by on Friday for a clash in the Premier League. The former will be looking to make that home advantage count.
Sitting bottom of the table, Burnley have claimed 20 points after 34 rounds, while Leeds have amassed 40 points. This places the latter as number 15 in the Premier League at the moment.
Leeds are looking for a payback after suffering a disappointing defeat in their latest encounter with Burnley and odds favour them to pull it off.
Leeds go into their next Premier League match, scoring a humble average of 1.3 per game in their last ten matches. They scored a mundane 13 times, while conceding nine. That amounts to an average of 0.9 per game, where they kept their opponents from scoring three times.
Burnley are currently not the most scoring team in the Premier League, as they only found the back of the net nine times in ten matches. This is an average of just 0.9 goals a game in which they conceded 21 times, an average of 2.1 per game. They managed one clean sheets in these.
Leeds lost to 2-0 Burnley in their last encounter. This served as payback for the 3-1 win, which Leeds dished out the match before that.
Leeds vs Burnley Prediction
Leeds Form
Judging by their last three matches, we can expect a bit of everything from Leeds at the moment. Against Wolverhampton, they came out on top in a 3-0 win, before drawing 2-2 against Bournemouth. Most recently, they were left reeling in a 1-0 defeat against Chelsea. Leeds claimed a modest two wins in their past six home matches in the Premier League. They also drew one and lost three, scored six goals and conceded seven.
Leeds are closer to the relegation zone than they would have wished for at this late stage of the season. They are still capable of pulling clear though and securing another season in the top flight.
Burnley Form
Burnley endured a tough spell in their last three matches, from which they have nothing to show. They were beaten 0-2 by Brighton, before Nottingham Forest ran out 4-1 winners. A third defeat on the trot followed against Manchester City, who came out 0-1 winners. Burnley only have one paltry win to show from the last six away games in the Premier League. In these six matches they drew one and lost four as well as being outscored by 15 goals to six.
Burnley are closer to the relegation zone than they would have wished for at this late stage of the season. They are still capable of pulling clear though and securing another season in the top flight.
Bookmakers have Leeds down as rather big favourites for the win against Burnley. While it might prove a bit more troublesome than odds suggest, we find it equally tempting to side with the hosts.
Leeds won 12 points from their last seven encounters with teams from the bottom six, like their upcoming opponent. They won four, scored 13 and let in ten goals. Burnley claimed two wins from 11 goals scored and 17 conceded from their past eight matches against teams placed in the bottom six. This handed them eight points to their account. Leeds have a record of nine wins, 13 draws and 12 defeats in the Premier League this season. Burnley are looking at four wins, eight draws and 22 defeats in the Premier League.
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Leeds vs Burnley Stats
- In 7 of the last 8 Leeds matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 4 Leeds matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Leeds matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 5 Leeds home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 4 Leeds home matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Burnley have lost the last 4 matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Burnley have lost the last 4 matches in a row in the Premier League while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Burnley have lost the last 3 away matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Burnley have lost the last 3 away matches in a row in the Premier League while scoring less than 1.5 goals
Leeds vs Burnley Squads
Leeds Squad
The 49-year-old coach of the home team, Daniel Farke, will select the lineup against Burnley from the squad below. The information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Premier League this season:
Alex Cairns (0/0), Illan Meslier (0/0), Karl Darlow (0/18), Lucas Perri (0/16), Gabriel Gudmundsson (0/32), James Justin (2/25), Jayden Bogle (1/32), Joe Rodon (2/31), Pascal Struijk (0/31), Sam Byram (0/1), Sebastiaan Bornauw (0/9), Anton Stach (4/26), Ao Tanaka (2/24), Brenden Aaronson (4/33), Charlie Crew (0/0), Daniel James (0/15), Ethan Ampadu (1/31), Facundo Buonanotte (0/3), Ilia Gruev (0/23), Jaka Bijol (1/21), Sean Longstaff (2/20), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (11/31), Joel Piroe (0/14), Lee Erwin (0/0), Lukas Nmecha (6/27), Noah Okafor (7/27), Wilfried Gnonto (0/19).
Burnley Squad
Listed below is the full squad of Burnley players that the manager Scott Parker will choose from for the upcoming game:
Martin Dubravka (0/34), Max Weiss (0/0), Vaclav Hladky (0/0), Axel Tuanzebe (1/11), Connor Roberts (0/0), Hjalmar Ekdal (0/18), Joe Worrall (0/11), Jordan Beyer (0/0), Kyle Walker (0/32), Lucas Pires (0/16), Maxime Esteve (0/31), Quilindschy Hartman (0/20), Florentino (0/27), Hannibal Mejbri (1/23), James Ward-Prowse (0/14), Josh Cullen (2/18), Josh Laurent (1/30), Lesley Ugochukwu (3/32), Marley Leuluai (0/0), Mike Tresor (0/6), Oliver Pimlott (0/0), Zian Flemming (9/25), Armando Broja (1/23), Ashley Barnes (0/6), Enock Agyei (0/0), Jacob Bruun Larsen (0/25), Jaidon Anthony (7/33), Loum Tchaouna (1/25), Lyle Foster (3/25), Marcus Edwards (1/22), Zeki Amdouni (0/0).
Leeds vs Burnley Team News
Leeds seem to only have two players missing from the squad ahead of their upcoming assignment this coming Friday. Joe Rodon and Dominic Calvert-Lewin can't be called up by the Leeds-manager, with both serving a ban.
Burnley are juggling with three absent players on this coming Friday when travelling to Leeds. Hannibal Mejbri, Maxime Esteve and Joe Worrall racked up too many penalty points and won't be in the Burnley travelling party for their next match.
Leeds vs Burnley Lineups
Leeds vs Burnley H2H
Leeds were defeated by 2-0 in their last encounter with Burnley, but did win the reverse match 3-1, though. Leeds go into their upcoming match against Burnley with a 60% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 3-1-1 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Leeds vs Burnley Results
In two of the previous five matches between Leeds and Burnley both teams scored.
Leeds vs Burnley Betting Tips
Zian Flemming shows decent form right now for Burnley, as he scored two goals in his last six games in the Premier League. The visitors need more from him, though, when facing Leeds, who are strong favourites this coming Friday. Siding with Noah Okafor also look a nice prospect as he scored three goals in his last six Premier League matches.
Leeds claimed a modest five wins from their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. They split the points with the visiting team in two of the games, whilst losing three. Burnley won one of their last 10 games away, drew three and lost six of the games in this run. Burnley seem incapable of keeping things tight away from home, conceding at least once in their last 10 away games. Leeds kept four clean sheets in their last 10 games on home soil.
Over 2.5 goals happened two times in the past five encounters between Leeds and Burnley, with Leeds scoring 1.8 goals on average per game. Burnley averaged 0.8 goals, while both teams scored two times. Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Leeds, who scored an average of 1.2 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of the last ten outings for Burnley, who managed to score one time in those matches.