Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 12th April 2026

With both Mainz 05 and Freiburg sitting comfortably mid-table, both teams will be out to strengthen their position when facing off on Sunday at MEWA Arena. Three more points could prove valuable in achieving their targets for this Bundesliga campaign.
Freiburg could be facing Mainz 05 at the wrong time, since the latter go into their next assignment at MEWA Arena with three wins in a row.
When it comes to goal-scoring Mainz 05 could be more prolific, scoring 17 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.7 goals per game in which, they conceded 12 times. This is an average of 1.2 a game, achieving a clean sheet in two games.
Freiburg scored 12 goals, conceded 16 and managed one clean sheets in their previous ten matches.
Their latest encounter was a belter of a game, which finished with a 4-0 scoreline. An uncommon result, but we would not mind a similar goal fest on Sunday.
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction
Mainz 05 Form
In their last three outings, Mainz 05 won 2-1 against Eintracht Frankfurt, beat Hoffenheim by 1-2 and hammered Strasbourg 2-0. Mainz 05 won four of their past six matches on home soil in the Bundesliga, where they also drew twice and went undefeated. They scored 11 goals and conceded six times.
Freiburg Form
Their past three matches saw Freiburg beating St. Pauli 1-2, losing 2-3 against Bayern Munich, and beating Celta Vigo by 3-0. Freiburg managed to win just once in their past six away games in the Bundesliga. On top of winning once they also drew one as well as losing four, while scoring 11 time and letting in four.
Freiburg and Mainz 05 always seem to tread carefully, when taking on each other, and history makes under 2.5 goals the call this coming Sunday.
Mainz 05 have taken 13 points from their last 14 games against teams from the top half of the Bundesliga table. They won three of these matches with a scoreline of 16 goals to 27. Freiburg took two wins from their last 13 games against teams from the top half of the Bundesliga table. They collected ten points, scored 18 goals and conceded 27. Mainz 05 have a record of eight wins, nine draws and 11 defeats in the Bundesliga this season. Freiburg have a record of ten wins, seven draws and 11 defeats in the Bundesliga.
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Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Stats
- In 13 of the last 15 Mainz 05 home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Mainz 05 have won the last 3 matches in a row while scoring less than 2.5 goals
- In 8 of the last 10 Mainz 05 matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Mainz 05 home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Mainz 05 have won the last 3 matches in a row while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Freiburg have lost 5 of the last 7 away matches while scoring less than 0.5 goals
- In 10 of the last 12 Freiburg matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Freiburg have lost 5 of the last 7 away matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Freiburg have lost 3 of the last 4 away matches in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 0.5 goals
- In 6 of the last 7 Freiburg away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Squads
Mainz 05 Squad
Fischer will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Freiburg from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season):
Daniel Batz (0/16), Lasse Riess (0/4), Robin Zentner (0/9), Andreas Hanche-Olsen (0/13), Anthony Caci (0/4), Daniel Imafidon (0/0), Danny da Costa (2/28), Kacper Potulski (1/12), Lennard Maloney (0/18), Maxim Dal (0/0), Maxim Leitsch (0/0), Phillipp Mwene (0/23), Silvan Widmer (2/22), Stefan Bell (2/18), Stefan Posch (0/10), Daniel Gleiber (0/0), Dominik Kohr (1/23), Jae-Sung Lee (4/26), Jeremiah Debrah (0/0), Kaishu Sano (1/28), Nadiem Amiri (10/20), Niklas Tauer (0/0), Nikolas Veratschnig (0/18), Sota Kawasaki (0/9), Armindo Sieb (2/17), Benedict Hollerbach (1/14), Fabio Moreno Fell (0/0), Kasey Bos (0/0), Nelson Weiper (0/18), Paul Nebel (4/24), Phillip Tietz (4/23), Sheraldo Becker (1/8), Silas Katompa Mvumpa (1/8), William Boeving (0/0).
Freiburg Squad
Below is the full team squad of Freiburg. The manager Schuster will pick his starting XI against Mainz 05 from these players:
Florian Mueller (0/0), Jannik Huth (0/0), Noah Atubolu (0/28), Anthony Jung (0/10), Bruno Ogbus (0/12), Christian Guenter (0/20), Jordy Makengo (0/16), Lukas Kuebler (2/17), Matthias Ginter (2/27), Max Rosenfelder (0/12), Philipp Lienhart (0/14), Philipp Treu (1/24), Daniel-Kofi Kyereh (0/0), Johan Manzambi (4/22), Maximilian Eggestein (2/28), Nicolas Hoefler (0/8), Patrick Osterhage (1/20), Vincenzo Grifo (7/27), Cyriaque Irie (0/8), Derry Scherhant (4/25), Igor Matanovic (8/25), Lucas Hoeler (2/27), Maximilian Philipp (0/0), Yuito Suzuki (4/23).
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Team News
Mainz 05 might be looking at four missing players for their upcoming assignment against Freiburg. Mainz 05 have to alter their line-up, as both Dominik Kohr, Phillipp Mwene and Sheraldo Becker get a day in the shade.
Sidelined with an injury, Mainz 05 can't field Sheraldo Becker on Sunday against Freiburg.
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Lineups
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg H2H
Their latest encounter was a belter of a game, which finished with a 4-0 scoreline. An uncommon result, but we would not mind a similar goal fest on Sunday. Mainz 05 go into their upcoming match against Freiburg with a 10% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 1-6-3 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Results
A high scoring match is a fairly rare occurrence when Mainz 05 face Freiburg as under 2.5 goals happened in seven times in the last ten matches. Under 2.5 goals is best priced at odds of 10/11 with the bookies.
Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Betting Tips
Paul Nebel look like value in the goal scoring market with three strikes to his name in six Bundesliga matches. The visitors are crossing their fingers Igor Matanovic adds to his three Bundesliga goals come on Sunday.
Mainz 05 won seven of their last 10 matches on home soil, while drawing three in a run that saw them avoid defeat in front of their home supporters. Freiburg won two of their last 10 away games across all tournaments, whilst also drawing two and losing six. Mainz 05 are no doubt looking for goals on Sunday, since Freiburg have been unable to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 away games. The former fought their way to five clean sheets in their last 10 games on home soil.
Both teams not to score was a winning bet five times in the last ten encounters between Mainz 05 and Freiburg as under 2.5 goals happened three times. Mainz 05 scored an average of 0.7 goals a game, with Freiburg averaging 1.2 goals in this run. Mainz 05 saw over 2.5 goals in four of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 1.4 goals during this run. In the last ten games for Freiburg, seven of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of 1.7 times goals per game themselves.