Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 21st December 2025

Both Mainz 05 and St. Pauli need points to escape their current position at the relegation-end of the Bundesliga table. The match takes place at MEWA Arena and could be labelled a serious six-pointer.
Placed 18th in the table Mainz 05 have amassed seven points after 14 matches. On 11 points, St. Pauli rank 16th with 14 matches played this season.
Mainz 05 took down St. Pauli in their most recent meeting, and bookmakers deem another win for the home side a likely scenario on Sunday.
Mainz 05 scored eight times in the last ten outings for an average of 0.8 goals a game. They conceded 22 and managed zero clean sheets.
St. Pauli are currently not the most scoring team in the Bundesliga, as they only found the back of the net six times in ten matches. This is an average of just 0.6 goals a game in which they conceded 20 times, an average of two per game. They managed zero clean sheets in these.
Mainz 05 had a good reading on St. Pauli in their last two meetings, which they won by 3-0 and 2-0, respectively.
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Prediction
Mainz 05 Form
In their last three matches, Mainz 05 drew 1-1 with Lech Poznan before recording another draw with Bayern Munich in a 2-2 match and beat Samsunspor with a 2-0 scoreline. Mainz 05 did not win any of their last six Bundesliga matches at the MEWA Arena. They came through these matches with a record of two draws and two defeats, in which they conceded six and scored six goals.
A mid-table finish seemed likely for Mainz 05 but in current form they could be dragged into a relegation battle.
St. Pauli Form
St. Pauli are unbeaten in their last three matches, first beating Borussia Moenchengladbach by 1-2. This was followed by a 1-1 with FC Koln and a 2-1 win against FC Heidenheim. St. Pauli didn't manage a single away win in their last six Bundesliga matches, but managed one draws, while suffering five defeats. They conceded 11 and scored three goals themselves.
Aiming for a mid-table finish St. Pauli would require a quick upturn in form to achieve even that.
Mainz 05 find it just as tough as St. Pauli to get on the scoreboard these days, and a match short on goal looks highly likely, when they clash at MEWA Arena.
Mainz 05 won four points from their last three encounters with teams from the bottom six, like their upcoming opponent. They won one, scored five and let in six goals. St. Pauli earned nine points from their last three games against teams placed in the bottom six of the Bundesliga table. They scored six goals in those matches, but also allowed two goals against on their way to three wins. Mainz 05 have so far been able to win just once after 14 Bundesliga games played, in stead showing off four draws and nine defeats. St. Pauli have a record of three wins, two draws and nine defeats in the Bundesliga.
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Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Stats
- In 10 of the last 12 Mainz 05 matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 10 of the last 12 Mainz 05 home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Mainz 05 home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Mainz 05 home matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Mainz 05 home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- St. Pauli have lost 9 of the last 11 matches in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 11 of the last 13 St. Pauli matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- St. Pauli have lost 5 of the last 6 away matches in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 8 of the last 9 St. Pauli away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 St. Pauli away matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Squads
Mainz 05 Squad
Urs Fischer will choose the starting lineup for the upcoming game against St. Pauli from the players listed below (the information in the brackets refers to goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season):
Daniel Batz (0/2), Lasse Riess (0/4), Robin Zentner (0/9), Andreas Hanche-Olsen (0/12), Anthony Caci (0/4), Danny da Costa (1/14), Kacper Potulski (1/2), Konstantin Schopp (0/0), Lennard Maloney (0/8), Maxim Dal (0/0), Maxim Leitsch (0/3), Phillipp Mwene (0/13), Silvan Widmer (1/9), Stefan Bell (0/11), Daniel Gleiber (0/0), Dominik Kohr (1/10), Jae-Sung Lee (2/12), Jeremiah Debrah (0/0), Kaishu Sano (1/14), Nadiem Amiri (3/12), Niklas Tauer (0/0), Nikolas Veratschnig (0/10), Sota Kawasaki (0/6), Armindo Sieb (2/11), Arnaud Nordin (0/11), Ben Bobzien (0/1), Benedict Hollerbach (0/10), Kasey Bos (0/0), Nelson Weiper (0/12), Paul Nebel (1/10), William Boeving (0/4).
St. Pauli Squad
Listed below is the full squad of St. Pauli players that the manager Alexander Blessin will choose from for the upcoming game:
Ben Alexander Voll (0/0), Nikola Vasilj (0/14), Simon Spari (0/0), Arkadiusz Pyrka (0/11), Connor Metcalfe (0/14), David Nemeth (0/0), Eric Smith (1/14), Fin Stevens (0/0), Jannik Robatsch (0/0), Karol Mets (0/8), Lars Ritzka (0/7), Louis Oppie (1/14), Adam Dzwigala (1/8), Erik Ahlstrand (0/0), Hauke Wahl (1/13), Jackson Irvine (0/7), James Sands (0/13), Joel Chima Fujita (0/14), Manolis Saliakas (0/8), Marwin Schmitz (0/0), Abdoulie Ceesay (0/10), Andreas Hountondji (4/11), Danel Sinani (2/13), Martijn Kaars (2/12), Mathias Pereira Lage (0/14), Oladapo Afolayan (0/7), Ricky-Jade Jones (1/2), Romeo Aigbekaen (0/0).
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Team News
Mainz 05 seem to only have two players missing from the squad ahead of their upcoming assignment this coming Sunday. Mainz 05 have to alter their line-up, as both Dominik Kohr and Phillipp Mwene get a day in the shade.
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Lineups
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli H2H
Mainz 05 won the last two meetings against St. Pauli, as they followed up a 3-0 win by beating their upcoming opponent by a 2-0 score. Mainz 05 have a 100% win rate against St. Pauli, who won zero of these matches. The total record reads 4-0-0, which is worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Results
In the last four matches between Mainz 05 and St. Pauli, both teams to score came up two times.
Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli Betting Tips
Having scored just once lately in the Bundesliga, Danny da Costa will be eager to hit the target again, and the upcoming game presents an opportunity to step up. St. Pauli hope Martijn Kaars can inflict some damage on their upcoming opponents by adding to his tally of two Bundesliga goals in his last six Bundesliga games.
Mainz 05 claimed a modest three wins from their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. They split the points with the visiting team in two of the games, whilst losing five. St. Pauli won two of their last 10 games away, drew three and lost five of the games in this run. Both teams have been poor at keeping their opponents from scoring in recent matches. While Mainz 05 managed to keep a clean sheet in two of the games at MEWA Arena, St. Pauli kept their hosts from scoring in two of their last 10 away games.
In the last four encounters between Mainz 05 and St. Pauli over 2.5 goals came out three times, as Mainz 05 averaged 2.75 goals a game. St. Pauli scored an average of 0.75 goals in these, while both teams scored two times. Over 2.5 goals came out three times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Mainz 05, who scored an average of 0.9 goals along the way. Of the last ten games for St. Pauli, seven had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of 0.9 times goals per game.