Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 10th May 2026

Round 33 of the Bundesliga serves up an encounter between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin taking place at MEWA Arena this coming Sunday.
Ranked as number 10 in the Bundesliga standings, Mainz 05, have so far collected 37 points this season, while Union Berlin collected 33 points. This puts them up as number 13 after 32 rounds.
Mainz 05 are aiming to extend the lead on Union Berlin in the standings as they go toe-to-toe this coming Sunday. On the other hand, the hosts should be motivated to not let the current gap get any bigger.
When it comes to goal-scoring Mainz 05 could be more prolific, scoring 16 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.6 goals per game in which, they conceded 13 times. This is an average of 1.3 a game, achieving a clean sheet in one games.
Union Berlin are currently not the most scoring team in the Bundesliga, as they only found the back of the net nine times in ten matches. This is an average of just 0.9 goals a game in which they conceded 20 times, an average of two per game. They managed two clean sheets in these.
Their latest encounter was a belter of a game, which finished with a 2-2 scoreline. An uncommon result, but we would not mind a similar goal fest this coming Sunday.
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction
Mainz 05 Form
Their last three matches saw Mainz 05 drawing 1-1 with Borussia Moenchengladbach, losing 3-4 against Bayern Munich before beating St. Pauli by 1-2. Mainz 05 claimed a modest two wins in their past six home matches in the Bundesliga. They also drew two and lost two, scored ten goals and conceded nine.
Mainz 05 had their sights set on a top half finish this season, and as we are nearing the end, their target remains within sight.
Union Berlin Form
In their previous three games, Union Berlin lost 1-2 and 3-1 against Wolfsburg and RB Leipzig, respectively, before drawing 2-2 with FC Koln. Union Berlin claimed just one win from the last six away games in the Bundesliga. They also drew zero and were defeated five times, as they were outscored by 14 goals to five.
Mainz 05 were dreaming of finishing in the top three in the current campaign, but it has been a season to forget for the home side.
It seems both Union Berlin and Mainz 05 have some issues concerning their defence, as they seem to find themselves on the receiving end a bit too often lately. We believe the trend continues on Sunday, and we are rooting for goals.
Mainz 05 took 18 points from their last 14 encounters with teams from the bottom half of the Bundesliga table. This amounts to four wins after scoring 16 times and conceding 17. Union Berlin claimed five wins and 20 points from their last 17 encounters with teams in the top half of the Bundesliga, while scoring 20 goals to 32 against. Mainz 05 claimed nine wins, ten draws as well as 13 defeats in the Bundesliga this season. Union Berlin have a record of eight wins, nine draws and 15 defeats in the Bundesliga.
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Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Stats
- In 8 of the last 10 Mainz 05 matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Mainz 05 matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 8 Mainz 05 home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 3 of the last 4 Mainz 05 home matches in the Bundesliga, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Union Berlin have lost 6 of the last 8 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Union Berlin have lost 6 of the last 8 matches in the Bundesliga while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Union Berlin have lost the last 3 away matches in a row and the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Union Berlin have lost the last 3 away matches in a row while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Union Berlin have lost the last 3 away matches in a row in the Bundesliga and the sum of goals was over 3.5
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Squads
Mainz 05 Squad
Fischer will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Union Berlin from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Bundesliga this season):
Daniel Batz (0/20), Lasse Riess (0/4), Robin Zentner (0/9), Andreas Hanche-Olsen (0/13), Anthony Caci (0/8), Daniel Imafidon (0/0), Danny da Costa (2/32), Kacper Potulski (1/13), Lennard Maloney (0/20), Maxim Dal (0/0), Maxim Leitsch (0/0), Phillipp Mwene (1/27), Silvan Widmer (2/26), Stefan Bell (2/18), Stefan Posch (0/14), Daniel Gleiber (0/0), Dominik Kohr (2/27), Jae-Sung Lee (4/26), Jeremiah Debrah (0/0), Kaishu Sano (1/32), Nadiem Amiri (11/24), Niklas Tauer (0/0), Nikolas Veratschnig (0/20), Sota Kawasaki (0/10), Armindo Sieb (2/21), Benedict Hollerbach (1/14), Fabio Moreno Fell (0/0), Kasey Bos (0/0), Nelson Weiper (0/22), Paul Nebel (5/28), Phillip Tietz (5/27), Sheraldo Becker (2/12), Silas Katompa Mvumpa (1/8), William Boeving (0/0).
Union Berlin Squad
Listed below is the full squad of Union Berlin players that the manager Marie-Louise Eta will choose from for the upcoming game:
Carl Klaus (0/2), Frederik Roennow (0/30), Matheo Raab (0/1), Tom Wisbereit (0/0), Andrik Markgraf (0/0), Christopher Trimmel (0/27), Danilho Doekhi (5/32), Derrick Koehn (1/28), Diogo Leite (0/21), Stanley N'Soki (1/13), Tom Rothe (2/19), Alex Kral (0/20), Aljoscha Kemlein (0/28), Andras Schafer (1/26), Janik Haberer (0/28), Josip Juranovic (0/9), Leopold Querfeld (3/30), Linus Guether (0/0), Oliver Burke (5/27), Rani Khedira (5/31), Robert Skov (0/3), Tim Skarke (1/20), Woo-Yeong Jeong (3/26), Andrej Ilic (2/30), David Preu (0/0), Dmytro Bogdanov (0/1), Ilyas Ansah (5/31), Livan Burcu (1/16).
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Team News
Mainz 05 could be looking at four players on the injured and absent list ahead of their upcoming match against Union Berlin. Mainz 05 have to alter their line-up, as both Dominik Kohr, Phillipp Mwene and Sheraldo Becker get a day in the shade.
Sheraldo Becker sit this one out for Mainz 05 due to an injury.
Union Berlin just have a single unavailable player for squad selection, when facing Mainz 05 at the MEWA Arena. For instance, Union Berlin won't be able to field Tom Rothe as he serves out a ban following too many cards.
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Lineups
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin H2H
Supporters will be hoping to see a similarly thrilling encounter, as it turned out to be the last time Mainz 05 played against Union Berlin. It finished 2-2 in a great match between the pair. Union Berlin seem to have a bit of a love affair with Mainz 05, as they have beaten them five times in last ten encounters. The bookies have Union Berlin to win this match at best price odds of 31/10.
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Results
Over 2.5 goals came out four times in the last ten matches between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin. Odds on under 2.5 goals are at 1/1 with bookies.
Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Betting Tips
Phillip Tietz found the target one times in his previous six matches, whereas Oliver Burke just scored once in a similar number of matches.
Mainz 05 claimed all three points six times in their last 10 home matches across all tournaments, while also drawing two along the way. They endured defeat in two of the games in this run. Union Berlin won two of their last 10 games away, while drawing two and losing six in this series of matches. Goals are flowing freely for Mainz 05 on home soil currently, as both teams scored in six of their last 10 matches here. Both teams were also on target seven times in Union Berlin''s last 10 league games away from home.
Over 2.5 goals came out six times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Mainz 05 managed an average of one goal, with Union Berlin averaging 1.7 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of Mainz 05’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.6 goals during this run. In the last ten games for Union Berlin, six of them had more than 2.5 goals, and they scored an average of 0.9 times goals per game themselves.